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The global shipping industry is grappling with a new set of IMO regulations, the Carbon Intensity Indicator Operations Clause (CII) and the Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index (EEXI), that are intended to reduce shipping's carbon emissions. The CII in particular is expected to have a marked impact on ship operations.

This webcast will analyze what this means, in a practical and concrete sense, for the global multipurpose and heavy-lift fleet and the project and breakbulk cargo shippers that rely on this sector. Moderator: Janet Nodar, Senior Editor, Breakbulk, Project, and Heavy-Lift Shipping, Journal of Commerce by S&P GlobalSpeaker(s): Thomas Damsgaard, Head of Americas, BIMCO

Sam Norton, President and CEO, Overseas Shipholding Corp.

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Uncertainty over space on the Asia-Europe trade in 2022 has given way to uncertainty about demand in 2023, with those involved in the European import markets divided over when an expected inventory recovery will occur. The sooner the better, as the sustained weak demand is increasing pressure on European shippers to reduce working capital tied up in excess inventory. The problem is that ocean schedule reliability on the Asia-Europe trade stood at just 52 percent in January, up significantly from the low levels of the past year but still below a level where shippers would feel comfortable reducing buffer stocks. Some forwarders and carriers believe a late second-half replenishment campaign by the retail sector is likely as the risk of a recession subsides, while others point to full warehouses subduing a return of demand until late this year or early 2024. Still, there are emerging signs that inventory levels are slowly receding. February PMI survey data by S&P Global, parent company of the Journal of Commerce, found that pre-production inventories in Europe fell for the first time since September 2021 as companies stepped up efforts to unwind safety stock buffers. This webcast will take stock of the Asia-Europe trade and deliver an outlook for what is shaping up as a transition year between the chaos of the past and a resumption of more traditional trade flows.

Moderator: Greg Knowler, Europe Editor, Journal of Commerce, S&P Global Market Intelligence Speaker(s):

Andreas Buetfering, Senior Director-Far East Trade Management, Hapag-Lloyd Markus Panhauser, Senior Vice President-Oceanfreight Europe, DHL Global Forwarding Peter Sand, Chief Analyst, Xeneta

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Significant savings won by US truck shippers in contract negotiations became clearer in first-quarter data such as the US producer price indices for truckload and less-than-truckload carriers. But so did the differences between trucking modes. Pricing strategies that work in one sector of trucking won’t necessarily pay off in another sector. Shippers may have already locked in the biggest share of available savings, with transactional truckload spot market rates expected to bottom out and move sideways, relieving pressure on contract truckload rates. Now all eyes are on the spring retail season and manufacturing. An uptick in sales and output would benefit shippers and their transportation partners, but is that uptick likely to come that soon, or will it be delayed by high inventories and tight warehousing capacity? 

Join us for this hourlong webcast as we assess the current market and look toward the second half of the year. 

Moderator:

William Cassidy, Senior Editor, Trucking and Domestic Transportation, Journal of Commerce, S&P Global Market Intelligence

Speaker(s):

Dean Croke, Principal Analyst DAT Freight & Analytics

Holly Pearce, Director-Materials and Logistics, C+D Technologies and Trojan Battery Company Tom Nightingale, CEO, AFS Logistics

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After weathering a tumultuous couple of years, breakbulk and project cargo shippers are wondering what to expect from the multipurpose and heavy-lift shipping segment through 2023 and into 2024. What is the outlook for MPV/HL capacity, demand, ship orderbook, and rates? Although the pandemic-driven spillover market has dissipated, strong demand for roll-on, roll-off shipments is pushing high and heavy cargo toward MPV and container carriers, and looming energy-related oil and gas and renewables demand continues to keep the long-term outlook buoyant for breakbulk shippers, carriers, and logistics service providers. Susan Oatway, who recently joined the Journal of Commerce and S&P Global Market Intelligence teams as a research analyst with a focus on breakbulk and project shipping, will join senior editor Janet Nodar for this in-depth look at breakbulk and project market expectations. The webcast also will serve to lay the groundwork for the Breakbulk & Project Cargo Conference, to be held in New Orleans on April 19-21.

Moderator:

Janet Nodar, Senior Editor, Breakbulk, Project, and Heavy-Lift Shipping, Journal of Commerce, S&P Global Market Intelligence

Speaker(s):

Susan Oatway, Research Analyst-Project and Breakbulk Cargo, Journal of Commerce, S&P Global Market Intelligence

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Shippers and carriers are sizing up the second half of 2023 as they plan their import requirements and vessel deployments. Some economists are forecasting a "soft landing" for the US economy, with interest rates stabilizing, inflation receding, and consumer demand building for the 2023 peak-shipping season. Other economists are forecasting a "hard landing" marked by stubbornly high inflation with the Federal Reserve continuing to raise interest rates until the inflation threat subsides. As retailers plan their import requirements going forward, they must balance the risks involved if they order too much merchandise for the summer-fall peak-shipping season with the risks involved in stock outages if they order too little. In this webcast, S&P economist Paul Bingham and the National Retail Federation's Jon Gold will present their forecasts and discuss the core issues the market will face this year. 

Moderator:

Bill Mongelluzzo, Senior Editor, West Coast, Journal of Commerce, S&P Global Market Intelligence

Speaker(s):

Paul Bingham, Director-Transportation Consulting, S&P Global Market Intelligence Jonathan Gold, Vice President-Supply Chain and Customs Policy, National Retail Federation 

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