<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">US shippers have pulled forward as much cargo as they can ahead of the latest deadlines for higher US tariffs, leaving carriers little choice but to cancel more voyages. </div>

US shippers have pulled forward as much cargo as they can ahead of the latest deadlines for higher US tariffs, leaving carriers little choice but to cancel more voyages.

Feature image

<div class="phx-topic">Ocean carriers have begun to reel in capacity ahead of the mid-August expiry of the 90-day pause on higher US tariffs on Chinese goods, with an increasing number of trans-Pacific container services getting blanked for the rest of July. And with most pre-higher tariff imports on the water or ready to ship, spot rates look set for further weakness through the end of summer. Some 175,000 TEUs of container capacity is set to be blanked during July, according to data from maritime intelligence provider eeSea, amounting to 11% of deployed capacity between Asia and the US West Coast. That is an uptick from the 118,500 TEUs of capacity blanked in June, which accounted for about 9% of deployed capacity. The canceled departures from Asia coincide with <a href="https://www.tradecomplianceresourcehub.com/2025/07/17/trump-2-0-tariff-tracker/">the Aug. 12 deadline for the Trump administration to impose country-specific tariffs on China</a> in the absence of a new trade deal. With an Aug. 1 deadline for trade talks with other Asian countries, demand was already drying up, with Chinese goods the last that could get on a ship and enter the US in time to avoid the higher rates. “It’s already too late to ship product from Vietnam and Southeast Asia to beat the Aug. 1 deadline,” an ocean carrier source told the Journal of Commerce. “There has been no spike in imports from Vietnam since June, when it was possible to beat the Aug. 1 deadline, so demand simply isn’t there.” Indeed, many of the services culled through July also call southern Chinese ports that serve as transshipment points for other Asian goods, or services that directly call Southeast Asia. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="1c1d9578-c129-4d4e-a136-e220473bd136"></dynamic-object></div>OOCL canceled eastbound sailings on its Pacific South China Express (PSX) service for the last two weeks of July, according to Hong Kong-based logistics provider Honour Lane Shipping. The PSX service will offer an eastbound ad hoc call to Shanghai, though, during the last week of July, with only one call at the southern port of Yantian. Express services are typically the first to get blanked, with CU Lines, SeaLead and other niche carriers also canceling services through July. But the demand slowdown is also hitting big-ship services as well. CMA CGM canceled an eastbound voyage on its Columbus Jax service, which offers average weekly capacity of about 13,000 TEUs, for the last week of July. The pendulum service, which switches to US East Coast ports on its westbound voyages, also calls Malaysia’s Port Klang, Thailand’s Laem Chabang and Vietnam’s Cai Mep.Cosco Shipping canceled a July voyage on its 13,000-TEU Asia-US West Coast service, while the Premier Alliance has also canceled two July voyages on its 13,000-TEU MP2 service. <h3>Weaker second half expected</h3>While a trade deal with China or other Asian countries may be in the offing, forwarders and shippers are not hopeful that it would spark more demand. US importers have mostly frontloaded goods already and will just be dribbling in product as needed through the rest of the year, Sanjay Tejwani, chief executive of consulting firm 365 Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. “A lot of frontloading has happened, which means that the volumes will remain soft,” Tejwani said. “August through December will be soft. Even if the tariffs were to drop back to zero, a lot of merchandise has been shipped and inventory levels are decent, why would anyone bring in more cargo?”Ocean carriers are quoting spot rates near $2,500 per standard container to the US West Coast as of July 15, hoping the step-up in blank sailings for July would tighten the market, Robert Khachatryan, chief executive of Freight Right Global Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. But he doesn’t expect the rate level to hold, adding that he is seeing a number of voyage-specific West Coast rates near $1,700. The mid-July rates “were driven largely by a reduction in capacity,” Khachatryan said. “There is no pickup in demand.” Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global, pegged Asia-USWC rates at $1,733 per FEU as of July 16, down 2% on the week. But Drewry’s Shanghai-Los Angeles rate as of July 17 was $2,817 per FEU.Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com ">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a>.Senior Editor Bill Mongelluzzo and Associate Editor Laura Robb contributed to this report.</div>

Ocean carriers have begun to reel in capacity ahead of the mid-August expiry of the 90-day pause on higher US tariffs on Chinese goods, with an increasing number of trans-Pacific container services getting blanked for the rest of July. And with most pre-higher tariff imports on the water or ready to ship, spot rates look set for further weakness through the end of summer. Some 175,000 TEUs of container capacity is set to be blanked during July, according to data from maritime intelligence provider eeSea, amounting to 11% of deployed capacity between Asia and the US West Coast. That is an uptick from the 118,500 TEUs of capacity blanked in June, which accounted for about 9% of deployed capacity. The canceled departures from Asia coincide with the Aug. 12 deadline for the Trump administration to impose country-specific tariffs on China in the absence of a new trade deal. With an Aug. 1 deadline for trade talks with other Asian countries, demand was already drying up, with Chinese goods the last that could get on a ship and enter the US in time to avoid the higher rates. “It’s already too late to ship product from Vietnam and Southeast Asia to beat the Aug. 1 deadline,” an ocean carrier source told the Journal of Commerce. “There has been no spike in imports from Vietnam since June, when it was possible to beat the Aug. 1 deadline, so demand simply isn’t there.” Indeed, many of the services culled through July also call southern Chinese ports that serve as transshipment points for other Asian goods, or services that directly call Southeast Asia. OOCL canceled eastbound sailings on its Pacific South China Express (PSX) service for the last two weeks of July, according to Hong Kong-based logistics provider Honour Lane Shipping. The PSX service will offer an eastbound ad hoc call to Shanghai, though, during the last week of July, with only one call at the southern port of Yantian. Express services are typically the first to get blanked, with CU Lines, SeaLead and other niche carriers also canceling services through July. But the demand slowdown is also hitting big-ship services as well. CMA CGM canceled an eastbound voyage on its Columbus Jax service, which offers average weekly capacity of about 13,000 TEUs, for the last week of July. The pendulum service, which switches to US East Coast ports on its westbound voyages, also calls Malaysia’s Port Klang, Thailand’s Laem Chabang and Vietnam’s Cai Mep. Cosco Shipping canceled a July voyage on its 13,000-TEU Asia-US West Coast service, while the Premier Alliance has also canceled two July voyages on its 13,000-TEU MP2 service. Weaker second half expected While a trade deal with China or other Asian countries may be in the offing, forwarders and shippers are not hopeful that it would spark more demand. US importers have mostly frontloaded goods already and will just be dribbling in product as needed through the rest of the year, Sanjay Tejwani, chief executive of consulting firm 365 Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. “A lot of frontloading has happened, which means that the volumes will remain soft,” Tejwani said. “August through December will be soft. Even if the tariffs were to drop back to zero, a lot of merchandise has been shipped and inventory levels are decent, why would anyone bring in more cargo?” Ocean carriers are quoting spot rates near $2,500 per standard container to the US West Coast as of July 15, hoping the step-up in blank sailings for July would tighten the market, Robert Khachatryan, chief executive of Freight Right Global Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. But he doesn’t expect the rate level to hold, adding that he is seeing a number of voyage-specific West Coast rates near $1,700. The mid-July rates “were driven largely by a reduction in capacity,” Khachatryan said. “There is no pickup in demand.” Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global, pegged Asia-USWC rates at $1,733 per FEU as of July 16, down 2% on the week. But Drewry’s Shanghai-Los Angeles rate as of July 17 was $2,817 per FEU. Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com . Senior Editor Bill Mongelluzzo and Associate Editor Laura Robb contributed to this report.

Trans-Pacific

Container lines

Looming August tariff deadline prompts carriers to pull trans-Pacific capacity

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">US retailers are, not surprisingly, importing only what is “absolutely necessary” given the frequent changes in new tariffs and tariff deadlines announced by the Trump administration, writes Lars Jensen. </div>

US retailers are, not surprisingly, importing only what is “absolutely necessary” given the frequent changes in new tariffs and tariff deadlines announced by the Trump administration, writes Lars Jensen.

<div class="phx-topic">Under normal circumstances, the peak season for goods imports from Asia to the US would be well underway. However, cargo demand developments this year on the trans-Pacific are anything but normal. Clearly, the reason for the atypical development is the rapid changes in US trade policy, which has caused significant problems for US importers as well as US exporters to China. <div class="wrapper-narrow float-right-element"><img src="/images/phoenix/6045387_0.1.jpg"></img></div>A government can, of course, choose to change its trade policy with little notice. But it is worthwhile exploring how rapid changes are detrimental to the management of container shipping supply chains. Most “reciprocal” US tariffs announced on April 2 by the Trump administration almost immediately were postponed until July 9. At the same time, tariffs on China escalated to 145% from the US side and 125% on the Chinese side. These were then, mostly, put on pause from May 14. What does the hard data tell us about how shippers and carriers are managing the situation? From a demand perspective, it is interesting to take a closer look at the volume developments as measured by Container Trade Statistics (CTS), which measure cargo at the time of loading at origin. The impact on US ports will come as a delayed effect when the cargo finally arrives. For non-Chinese origins, the announced 90-day pause in April led to an assumption that US importers would attempt to frontload cargo prior to the expiry of the pause to reduce their risk — the caveat being that, despite the pause, there is still a 10% baseline tariff on all countries. Initially, the data appears to support the notion of frontloading as volumes from Europe, South America, Africa, the Indian subcontinent and Middle East all grew faster in April than in the first quarter. However, this changed in May as growth rates dropped sharply compared with April, with the Indian subcontinent and Middle East as the only exception. That implies that US importers changed their method from frontloading cargo to a wait-and-see approach, limiting their imports instead. For Asia, the impact of the tariffs on China was substantial. In April, volumes from Asia to North America declined 8% month over month; in May, they dropped 15% from April. Data for cargo loaded in June is not yet available, but we can infer what happened based on capacity and spot rate data. The tariffs on China were paused in mid-May, leading instantly to a surge in demand. This was largely demand based on cargo that had been held back in China and hence was ready to go. Prior to the pause, ocean carriers had reduced capacity on the trans-Pacific in response to the sharp decline in demand. Despite rapid efforts to reassign vessels to the Pacific, it effectively took three weeks before an actual increase in capacity was in place. This caused spot rates to surge due to high demand and low capacity. The expectation at the time was that the surge would continue as US importers would want to frontload their peak season volume prior to the Aug. 14 expiry of the 90-day US pause on the higher China tariffs. This is also what many shippers told the carriers at the time, and the carriers responded by phasing in more capacity. However, as we got into June, US importers changed their perspective and pulled back on the notion of frontloading as valid risk mitigation in the face of increasing tariff uncertainty. The surge, therefore, fizzled out once the initial excess cargo had been shipped. As a result, the spike in spot rates was short-lived, and carriers are now quickly reversing their operational planning and are in the process of withdrawing capacity from the trans-Pacific again. <h3>Importing only what is ‘absolutely necessary’ </h3>Given the frequent, and significant, announcements regarding new tariffs and tariff deadlines, combined with the clear uncertainty as to which of the stated new tariffs will actually be implemented or not, it is not surprising that US importers are mainly adopting a wait-and-see strategy, importing only what they believe to be absolutely necessary. The problem, as seen during the recent trans-Pacific spike, is that the physical supply chain simply cannot react as fast as regulations change. Even in the face of the cargo surge once the pause on Chinese tariffs was announced, it took the carriers three weeks to properly inject capacity as needed. And by then, conditions were changing again. This tells us that the short but strong spike in spot rates experienced in May/June is an event we are quite likely to experience again — just as we might experience short and sharp downturns that are then reversed. Shippers react to trade conditions, and while they cannot necessarily react as quickly as they would like to, they can certainly make day-to-day decisions related to holding back bookings or surging bookings if they have added inventory at the origin side. The carriers, however, are restricted by the sailing speeds of their vessels and cannot react as swiftly. This sets the scene for future events where supply and demand can be temporarily and severely unbalanced. Contact Lars Jensen at <a href="mailto:lars.jensen@vespucci-maritime.com">lars.jensen@vespucci-maritime.com</a>. </div>

Under normal circumstances, the peak season for goods imports from Asia to the US would be well underway. However, cargo demand developments this year on the trans-Pacific are anything but normal. Clearly, the reason for the atypical development is the rapid changes in US trade policy, which has caused significant problems for US importers as well as US exporters to China. A government can, of course, choose to change its trade policy with little notice. But it is worthwhile exploring how rapid changes are detrimental to the management of container shipping supply chains. Most “reciprocal” US tariffs announced on April 2 by the Trump administration almost immediately were postponed until July 9. At the same time, tariffs on China escalated to 145% from the US side and 125% on the Chinese side. These were then, mostly, put on pause from May 14. What does the hard data tell us about how shippers and carriers are managing the situation? From a demand perspective, it is interesting to take a closer look at the volume developments as measured by Container Trade Statistics (CTS), which measure cargo at the time of loading at origin. The impact on US ports will come as a delayed effect when the cargo finally arrives. For non-Chinese origins, the announced 90-day pause in April led to an assumption that US importers would attempt to frontload cargo prior to the expiry of the pause to reduce their risk — the caveat being that, despite the pause, there is still a 10% baseline tariff on all countries. Initially, the data appears to support the notion of frontloading as volumes from Europe, South America, Africa, the Indian subcontinent and Middle East all grew faster in April than in the first quarter. However, this changed in May as growth rates dropped sharply compared with April, with the Indian subcontinent and Middle East as the only exception. That implies that US importers changed their method from frontloading cargo to a wait-and-see approach, limiting their imports instead. For Asia, the impact of the tariffs on China was substantial. In April, volumes from Asia to North America declined 8% month over month; in May, they dropped 15% from April. Data for cargo loaded in June is not yet available, but we can infer what happened based on capacity and spot rate data. The tariffs on China were paused in mid-May, leading instantly to a surge in demand. This was largely demand based on cargo that had been held back in China and hence was ready to go. Prior to the pause, ocean carriers had reduced capacity on the trans-Pacific in response to the sharp decline in demand. Despite rapid efforts to reassign vessels to the Pacific, it effectively took three weeks before an actual increase in capacity was in place. This caused spot rates to surge due to high demand and low capacity. The expectation at the time was that the surge would continue as US importers would want to frontload their peak season volume prior to the Aug. 14 expiry of the 90-day US pause on the higher China tariffs. This is also what many shippers told the carriers at the time, and the carriers responded by phasing in more capacity. However, as we got into June, US importers changed their perspective and pulled back on the notion of frontloading as valid risk mitigation in the face of increasing tariff uncertainty. The surge, therefore, fizzled out once the initial excess cargo had been shipped. As a result, the spike in spot rates was short-lived, and carriers are now quickly reversing their operational planning and are in the process of withdrawing capacity from the trans-Pacific again. Importing only what is ‘absolutely necessary’ Given the frequent, and significant, announcements regarding new tariffs and tariff deadlines, combined with the clear uncertainty as to which of the stated new tariffs will actually be implemented or not, it is not surprising that US importers are mainly adopting a wait-and-see strategy, importing only what they believe to be absolutely necessary. The problem, as seen during the recent trans-Pacific spike, is that the physical supply chain simply cannot react as fast as regulations change. Even in the face of the cargo surge once the pause on Chinese tariffs was announced, it took the carriers three weeks to properly inject capacity as needed. And by then, conditions were changing again. This tells us that the short but strong spike in spot rates experienced in May/June is an event we are quite likely to experience again — just as we might experience short and sharp downturns that are then reversed. Shippers react to trade conditions, and while they cannot necessarily react as quickly as they would like to, they can certainly make day-to-day decisions related to holding back bookings or surging bookings if they have added inventory at the origin side. The carriers, however, are restricted by the sailing speeds of their vessels and cannot react as swiftly. This sets the scene for future events where supply and demand can be temporarily and severely unbalanced. Contact Lars Jensen at lars.jensen@vespucci-maritime.com .

Maritime

Whiplash of US tariff policy forces importers into ‘wait-and-see’ mode

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The agreement clears the way for BNSF to move cargo from Los Angeles, Long Beach and Oakland to Salt Lake City for ocean carriers CMA CGM and Mediterranean Shipping Co.</div>

The agreement clears the way for BNSF to move cargo from Los Angeles, Long Beach and Oakland to Salt Lake City for ocean carriers CMA CGM and Mediterranean Shipping Co.

<div class="phx-topic">BNSF Railway and Union Pacific Railroad (UP) have reached an agreement ending a dispute that delayed the launch of international intermodal train service between ports in California and Salt Lake City. The two railroads <a href="https://dcms-external.s3.amazonaws.com/DCMS_External_PROD/1752685668843/52671.pdf">notified the US Surface Transportation Board (STB)</a> of the deal ahead of a briefing that had been scheduled for next week to discuss details of the dispute with regulators. The meeting between the railroads and the STB has been canceled in light of the deal. The agreement clears the way for BNSF to move cargo from Los Angeles, Long Beach and Oakland to <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/bnsf-up-dispute-threatens-oakland-slc-service-triggers-stb-petition-6040399">Salt Lake City</a> for ocean carriers CMA CGM and Mediterranean Shipping Co. As part of the deal, BNSF agreed to use a southern route through Donner Pass, coming to an undisclosed financial agreement on compensation it will provide to UP. BNSF originally balked at the idea of the southern route crossing between Lake Tahoe and Reno because it said UP could charge for upgrades it made to the Donner Pass tunnel in 2009, which BNSF said would amount to tens of millions of dollars. UP owns the tracks and dispatching, but BNSF has trackage rights and provides the locomotives and railcars to operate the service. Originally, BNSF wanted to route trains to Keddie, California, then east to Salt Lake City via a northern route that would allow the company to avoid paying the fees to use the southern route through Donner Pass. BNSF argued that UP’s reluctance to agree on the northern route was rooted in a desire to recoup funds for the Donner Pass upgrades and out of retribution because MSC and CMA CGM were former UP customers that switched to BNSF last year. UP said the Salt Lake City service could not begin last week as planned because BNSF did not provide adequate notice to UP management, so it required more time on UP’s part to hire the crews and build work schedules to accommodate BNSF. BNSF is hopeful the new route will result in volume growth. On average, about 25,000 containers per year move from the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach to Salt Lake City and about 15,000 annually from the Port of Oakland to Salt Lake City, according to Journal of Commerce estimates of data filed with the STB. Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

BNSF Railway and Union Pacific Railroad (UP) have reached an agreement ending a dispute that delayed the launch of international intermodal train service between ports in California and Salt Lake City. The two railroads notified the US Surface Transportation Board (STB) of the deal ahead of a briefing that had been scheduled for next week to discuss details of the dispute with regulators. The meeting between the railroads and the STB has been canceled in light of the deal. The agreement clears the way for BNSF to move cargo from Los Angeles, Long Beach and Oakland to Salt Lake City for ocean carriers CMA CGM and Mediterranean Shipping Co. As part of the deal, BNSF agreed to use a southern route through Donner Pass, coming to an undisclosed financial agreement on compensation it will provide to UP. BNSF originally balked at the idea of the southern route crossing between Lake Tahoe and Reno because it said UP could charge for upgrades it made to the Donner Pass tunnel in 2009, which BNSF said would amount to tens of millions of dollars. UP owns the tracks and dispatching, but BNSF has trackage rights and provides the locomotives and railcars to operate the service. Originally, BNSF wanted to route trains to Keddie, California, then east to Salt Lake City via a northern route that would allow the company to avoid paying the fees to use the southern route through Donner Pass. BNSF argued that UP’s reluctance to agree on the northern route was rooted in a desire to recoup funds for the Donner Pass upgrades and out of retribution because MSC and CMA CGM were former UP customers that switched to BNSF last year. UP said the Salt Lake City service could not begin last week as planned because BNSF did not provide adequate notice to UP management, so it required more time on UP’s part to hire the crews and build work schedules to accommodate BNSF. BNSF is hopeful the new route will result in volume growth. On average, about 25,000 containers per year move from the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach to Salt Lake City and about 15,000 annually from the Port of Oakland to Salt Lake City, according to Journal of Commerce estimates of data filed with the STB. Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

Surface

Rail News

North-American rail

Intermodal providers

BNSF to use ‘southern’ route to Salt Lake City under UP intermodal deal

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The NYK subsidiary has its sights on a booming third-party logistics provider healthcare market in Europe that is expected to grow 8.1% a year until 2030.</div>

The NYK subsidiary has its sights on a booming third-party logistics provider healthcare market in Europe that is expected to grow 8.1% a year until 2030.

<div class="phx-topic">Yusen Logistics Group said Thursday it has entered exclusive negotiations to acquire the healthcare logistics business of Walden Group as the Japanese logistics provider moves to expand its European footprint in the pharma sector. Paris-based Walden Group’s healthcare business includes Movianto, Eurotranspharma, Transpharma International and Walden Digital, which provide contract logistics, 4PL services, first-mile transportation and distribution services throughout Europe. Details of Yusen’s takeover offer were not disclosed. Yusen Logistics is owned by Japanese carrier NYK Group. Hiroki Harada, CEO and chairman of Yusen Logistics Group, said the company has been expanding its healthcare logistics coverage for several years and the Walden acquisition would grow its European and global footprint. “Today’s announcement is a significant step in our journey to become a leading healthcare logistics player,” Harada said. NYK positioned logistics as a core business segment in its medium-term management plan announced in March 2023. The Japanese shipping group subsequently acquired UK e-commerce logistics platform Noel Topco in February 2024 and Dutch auto parts logistics company Parts Express in April 2024. Walden Group has grown from a French to a pan-European logistics operator through a combination of organic growth and acquisitions, having notably acquired healthcare logistics provider Movianto from Owens and Minor in 2020. Walden healthcare logistics currently operates in 12 European countries where it serves pharmaceutical manufacturers, wholesalers and healthcare providers. The Yusen deal is being assessed by Walden’s workers’ councils. Following the review, completion of the transaction will be subject to the customary regulatory filings and approvals. The European healthcare third-party logistics market generated revenue of $66 billion in 2024, an increase of about 15% year over year, and is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030, according to a report by Horizon Grand View Research. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Yusen Logistics Group said Thursday it has entered exclusive negotiations to acquire the healthcare logistics business of Walden Group as the Japanese logistics provider moves to expand its European footprint in the pharma sector. Paris-based Walden Group’s healthcare business includes Movianto, Eurotranspharma, Transpharma International and Walden Digital, which provide contract logistics, 4PL services, first-mile transportation and distribution services throughout Europe. Details of Yusen’s takeover offer were not disclosed. Yusen Logistics is owned by Japanese carrier NYK Group. Hiroki Harada, CEO and chairman of Yusen Logistics Group, said the company has been expanding its healthcare logistics coverage for several years and the Walden acquisition would grow its European and global footprint. “Today’s announcement is a significant step in our journey to become a leading healthcare logistics player,” Harada said. NYK positioned logistics as a core business segment in its medium-term management plan announced in March 2023. The Japanese shipping group subsequently acquired UK e-commerce logistics platform Noel Topco in February 2024 and Dutch auto parts logistics company Parts Express in April 2024. Walden Group has grown from a French to a pan-European logistics operator through a combination of organic growth and acquisitions, having notably acquired healthcare logistics provider Movianto from Owens and Minor in 2020. Walden healthcare logistics currently operates in 12 European countries where it serves pharmaceutical manufacturers, wholesalers and healthcare providers. The Yusen deal is being assessed by Walden’s workers’ councils. Following the review, completion of the transaction will be subject to the customary regulatory filings and approvals. The European healthcare third-party logistics market generated revenue of $66 billion in 2024, an increase of about 15% year over year, and is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030, according to a report by Horizon Grand View Research. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Supply chain

Yusen Logistics in talks to acquire European healthcare provider Walden

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Artificial intelligence tools can help shippers automate tasks such as entry filing and classification, but it’s unclear whether most importers want to take on that burden. </div>

Artificial intelligence tools can help shippers automate tasks such as entry filing and classification, but it’s unclear whether most importers want to take on that burden.

<div class="phx-topic">The advancement of artificial intelligence (AI)-based tools in global trade compliance, along with heightened demand for customs expertise due to rapid changes in US trade policy, is threatening to reshape the way shippers, customs brokers and US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) interact with one another. It is likely the most significant shift in that set of relationships since security, rather than revenue collection, became the primary focus of US customs in the wake of the Sept. 11 terror attacks in 2001. Essentially, AI is being used by CBP to target violations in such a way that it is forcing shippers and customs brokers to adopt technology that helps account for increased scrutiny, and increased accuracy of that scrutiny. The Trump administration’s intense focus on tariffs as a tool to reorient the US economy is translating into more investment in enforcement of country-of-origin designations and product classifications, as well as other customs violations. “The CBP budget was increased significantly, including for newer enforcement technology,” said Cindy Allen, CEO of consulting firm Trade Force Multiplier and a former customs executive with FedEx. Allen contends this will enable more targeted enforcement and investigations by CBP. “Customs brokers would be well-positioned to look at these same software and technology vendors and offer these services to their clients, especially the small to medium businesses who wouldn’t necessarily invest in this technology on their own,” she said. <h3>AI struggles with ‘gray’ </h3>While AI is everywhere these days, the reality is that it is not uniformly adept at all tasks. “AI at this stage is very good with the black and white analytics and validations, but it is not very good at the gray, and that is where the gray matter and expertise of licensed customs brokers is essential,” said Anand Raghavendran, chief product officer at KlearNow, a technology company that supports importers who want to self-file and those who need a customs broker to do so. In terms of the demands on brokers, Raghavendran said eliminating manual tasks is critical because extra capacity is needed to interpret and quickly implement changes in trade policy. “To remain competitive, brokers need to move past their traditional transactional roles and become much more digitally empowered,” he said. <h3>Plethora of options </h3>There’s no shortage of solutions from which customs brokers can choose. Companies founded over the last two years have taken advantage of underlying advancements in software development to build products faster, while established trade technology providers have developed AI tools to enhance their existing products. Exhibitors at the American Association of Exporters and Importers (AAEI) annual conference in late June were a testament to that proliferation, with so-called “digital customs brokers” interspersed with tools aimed at brokers, shippers and customs agencies. Those products tend to touch areas such as entry creation automation or AI-powered classification determination. There has also been a rise in the number of digital brokers, basically traditional brokers built using modern software that’s intended to interface with customs more easily. “Technology is not making customs brokers redundant, it’s making them resilient,” said Sam Basu, CEO and founder of customs software vendor Anchor AI. “Experienced brokers who have institutional knowledge and use technology to move faster and with far greater accuracy are ultimately CBP’s most dependable allies.” It seems implausible that customs brokers lose their value overnight, but the pressures on that segment of the industry are significant. Aside from technology promising more process efficiency, the current environment means brokers, trade consultants, and attorneys are overrun with demand for their services. <h3>Self-filing quandary </h3>There remains belief in some circles that over time more shippers will be empowered to self-file, or to use digital brokers instead of traditional ones. Basu, however, said digital-first brokers often focus on low-complexity, high-volume freight, and self-filing remains perilous for most importers. “It might sound appealing in theory, but the reality is that most importers don’t see it as a viable option,” Basu said. “Self-filing requires in-house trade compliance expertise, real-time awareness of regulatory changes, and the infrastructure to respond if something goes wrong, like a hold, audit, or penalty.” Most companies simply don’t have the appetite for that, he said, especially when the cost of a misclassification or missed regulation can far outweigh the savings of skipping a broker. However, Justin Sherlock, CEO of customs software startup Caspian, said there is an increasing appetite for self-filing. “Hiring in-house trade compliance experts has grown rapidly with recent trade policy, and so I expect demand for self-filing technology to grow as well,” he said. “Customs brokers will always have a strong footing in [the small and medium-sized business market], where teams depend on them for outsourced expertise. But among enterprises, brokers will be compared against a deeper bench of in-house capabilities.” Allen agreed, saying that while most importers are going to rely even more on brokers given the speed of regulatory changes has quickened, “those that do invest in self-filing are usually larger companies that have done a cost/benefit analysis.” More transformational will be how AI is deployed, said Sherlock. “AI tools are raising the bar for what is expected of knowledge workers,” he said. “Customs brokers are increasingly expected to act as trade advisors. Accurate entry filing is becoming table stakes, despite it also being harder now than ever before. Executive teams are asking for integrated data, documents, and insights to manage near-daily changes to trade policy. So digitally native brokers that can provide this access will win.” <h3>‘Human involvement’ </h3>Allen described the AI mandate on brokers as being similar in significance to when they had to first adjust to automation during the rollout of the Automated Commercial System (ACS) nearly four decades ago. Indeed, even as surging demand and technology advancements herald a new era of shipper-broker-CBP interaction, brokers remain confident they have an edge that will remain. “The intricacies of international trade regulations, evolving tariff mandates, and sudden executive orders lead to potential disputes regarding the legal information presented, often necessitating human involvement,” said JD Gonzalez, president of the National Customs Brokers and Forwarders Association of America (NCBFAA). “While technology can streamline certain processes, it is unlikely to fully replace the need for experienced customs brokers.” Where brokers invest is likely to be the determinant of their ability to adapt. Allen noted that brokers “who resisted the automation of ACS are no longer in operation.” Basu said the priorities should be on software that helps automate what slows a broker down, generally processes such as entry generation or classification. But they should also invest in things that build client trust, he said. “They’re leaning into advisory roles by helping importers interpret policy changes, model duty impact, and prepare for audits,” Basu said. “This is how long-term loyalty is built.” Contact Eric Johnson at <a href="mailto:eric.johnson@spglobal.com">eric.johnson@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

The advancement of artificial intelligence (AI)-based tools in global trade compliance, along with heightened demand for customs expertise due to rapid changes in US trade policy, is threatening to reshape the way shippers, customs brokers and US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) interact with one another. It is likely the most significant shift in that set of relationships since security, rather than revenue collection, became the primary focus of US customs in the wake of the Sept. 11 terror attacks in 2001. Essentially, AI is being used by CBP to target violations in such a way that it is forcing shippers and customs brokers to adopt technology that helps account for increased scrutiny, and increased accuracy of that scrutiny. The Trump administration’s intense focus on tariffs as a tool to reorient the US economy is translating into more investment in enforcement of country-of-origin designations and product classifications, as well as other customs violations. “The CBP budget was increased significantly, including for newer enforcement technology,” said Cindy Allen, CEO of consulting firm Trade Force Multiplier and a former customs executive with FedEx. Allen contends this will enable more targeted enforcement and investigations by CBP. “Customs brokers would be well-positioned to look at these same software and technology vendors and offer these services to their clients, especially the small to medium businesses who wouldn’t necessarily invest in this technology on their own,” she said. AI struggles with ‘gray’ While AI is everywhere these days, the reality is that it is not uniformly adept at all tasks. “AI at this stage is very good with the black and white analytics and validations, but it is not very good at the gray, and that is where the gray matter and expertise of licensed customs brokers is essential,” said Anand Raghavendran, chief product officer at KlearNow, a technology company that supports importers who want to self-file and those who need a customs broker to do so. In terms of the demands on brokers, Raghavendran said eliminating manual tasks is critical because extra capacity is needed to interpret and quickly implement changes in trade policy. “To remain competitive, brokers need to move past their traditional transactional roles and become much more digitally empowered,” he said. Plethora of options There’s no shortage of solutions from which customs brokers can choose. Companies founded over the last two years have taken advantage of underlying advancements in software development to build products faster, while established trade technology providers have developed AI tools to enhance their existing products. Exhibitors at the American Association of Exporters and Importers (AAEI) annual conference in late June were a testament to that proliferation, with so-called “digital customs brokers” interspersed with tools aimed at brokers, shippers and customs agencies. Those products tend to touch areas such as entry creation automation or AI-powered classification determination. There has also been a rise in the number of digital brokers, basically traditional brokers built using modern software that’s intended to interface with customs more easily. “Technology is not making customs brokers redundant, it’s making them resilient,” said Sam Basu, CEO and founder of customs software vendor Anchor AI. “Experienced brokers who have institutional knowledge and use technology to move faster and with far greater accuracy are ultimately CBP’s most dependable allies.” It seems implausible that customs brokers lose their value overnight, but the pressures on that segment of the industry are significant. Aside from technology promising more process efficiency, the current environment means brokers, trade consultants, and attorneys are overrun with demand for their services. Self-filing quandary There remains belief in some circles that over time more shippers will be empowered to self-file, or to use digital brokers instead of traditional ones. Basu, however, said digital-first brokers often focus on low-complexity, high-volume freight, and self-filing remains perilous for most importers. “It might sound appealing in theory, but the reality is that most importers don’t see it as a viable option,” Basu said. “Self-filing requires in-house trade compliance expertise, real-time awareness of regulatory changes, and the infrastructure to respond if something goes wrong, like a hold, audit, or penalty.” Most companies simply don’t have the appetite for that, he said, especially when the cost of a misclassification or missed regulation can far outweigh the savings of skipping a broker. However, Justin Sherlock, CEO of customs software startup Caspian, said there is an increasing appetite for self-filing. “Hiring in-house trade compliance experts has grown rapidly with recent trade policy, and so I expect demand for self-filing technology to grow as well,” he said. “Customs brokers will always have a strong footing in [the small and medium-sized business market], where teams depend on them for outsourced expertise. But among enterprises, brokers will be compared against a deeper bench of in-house capabilities.” Allen agreed, saying that while most importers are going to rely even more on brokers given the speed of regulatory changes has quickened, “those that do invest in self-filing are usually larger companies that have done a cost/benefit analysis.” More transformational will be how AI is deployed, said Sherlock. “AI tools are raising the bar for what is expected of knowledge workers,” he said. “Customs brokers are increasingly expected to act as trade advisors. Accurate entry filing is becoming table stakes, despite it also being harder now than ever before. Executive teams are asking for integrated data, documents, and insights to manage near-daily changes to trade policy. So digitally native brokers that can provide this access will win.” ‘Human involvement’ Allen described the AI mandate on brokers as being similar in significance to when they had to first adjust to automation during the rollout of the Automated Commercial System (ACS) nearly four decades ago. Indeed, even as surging demand and technology advancements herald a new era of shipper-broker-CBP interaction, brokers remain confident they have an edge that will remain. “The intricacies of international trade regulations, evolving tariff mandates, and sudden executive orders lead to potential disputes regarding the legal information presented, often necessitating human involvement,” said JD Gonzalez, president of the National Customs Brokers and Forwarders Association of America (NCBFAA). “While technology can streamline certain processes, it is unlikely to fully replace the need for experienced customs brokers.” Where brokers invest is likely to be the determinant of their ability to adapt. Allen noted that brokers “who resisted the automation of ACS are no longer in operation.” Basu said the priorities should be on software that helps automate what slows a broker down, generally processes such as entry generation or classification. But they should also invest in things that build client trust, he said. “They’re leaning into advisory roles by helping importers interpret policy changes, model duty impact, and prepare for audits,” Basu said. “This is how long-term loyalty is built.” Contact Eric Johnson at eric.johnson@spglobal.com .

Logistics Technology News

Automation, tariff pressures put onus on customs brokers to adapt

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Despite significant injections of reefer capacity in early 2025, US cold chain stakeholders say they continue to face equipment scarcity issues.</div>

Despite significant injections of reefer capacity in early 2025, US cold chain stakeholders say they continue to face equipment scarcity issues.

<div class="phx-topic">The production of refrigerated containers globally is at its highest level in at least a decade, but that hasn’t been enough to relieve reefer scarcity amid increased maintenance needs, retirement of older equipment, elevated demand on some regional trades and rising market volatility, US market stakeholders say. Figures prepared for the Journal of Commerce by maritime consultancy Drewry show 93,000 TEUs of reefer equipment entered the global market in the first quarter of 2025, up almost 145% from the same period of 2024. “On average, over the last 10 years, the industry has produced somewhere between 275,000 to 300,000 TEUs of reefer equipment annually,” said Bob Sappio, CEO of refrigerated container lessor SeaCube. “This year, we’re expecting there to be closer to 350,000 TEUs.” Nearly all reefer containers are produced by three Chinese companies: China International Marine Containers, Dong Fang International Containers and Guangdong FUWA Engineering Group Co. According to Sappio, the lead time for ordering new 40-foot reefer containers has doubled to about four months. Costs are also going up, as recent steel tariffs raise prices of any equipment purchases made in the US. <h3>A hot cold chain </h3>Extreme heat is one factor driving up equipment problems. Amanda Oren, vice president of industry strategy for grocery at supply chain planning company RELEX, said that they’ve seen more disruptions due to high temperatures. “The East Coast has been [extremely hot] ...” Oren told the Journal of Commerce. “It’s impacting the supply chain at large for refrigerated product.” According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 13 heat records were broken in the 30 days leading up to July 12, with another 14 heat records tied. Many of those were concentrated on the East Coast. A forwarder focused on temperature-controlled shipments told the Journal of Commerce that reefer equipment is put under more stress in high temperatures, and many locations won’t load a reefer until it’s cooled. “Cooling an empty container full of hot air is no easy task,” said the forwarder. “When the [equipment] is put under this kind of stress, any weak points can become fail points, and we see an uptick in maintenance issues and failures when we see temperatures like we have.” As maintenance needs are magnified by elevated temperatures, some aging equipment is already due for retirement, said Sappio. A significant portion of the global reefer fleet is 11 to 14 years old, he said, meaning it’s close to being withdrawn from service. <h3>US demand cooled in May </h3>The US moved record-setting reefer volumes last year, reaching a total of 467,700 TEUs, up 17% compared with 2023, according to PIERS, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp; P Global. This May, however, PIERS data shows US reefer exports at 56,254 TEUs, down nearly 20% compared with last year. Similarly, May reefer imports were down 5.4% on the year at 156,733 TEUs, the lowest monthly total since August 2023. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="4ef4b851-58b1-4fdd-b7c5-ad0e1717a1f9"></dynamic-object></div>Oren says tariffs are driving some shippers to diversify supply chains and re-source cargo, further contributing to instability. “We’re starting to see product being sourced that used to come from China looking at different sourcing options, like Southeast Asia or South Korea,” she said. Still, the global reefer market is predicted to grow about 2% annually through 2029, according to figures from Drewry shared during a reefer webinar last month. “The reefer trade is growing okay, but obviously there [are] some areas which are growing faster than others,” Philip Gray, Drewry’s senior associate of reefer shipping, said during the webinar. Oceania to Asia, Central America to North America and North Europe to Asia were the lanes with the most significant growth last year, according to the webinar. But the lack of predictability, sources say, is making it harder for carriers to accurately position equipment to meet the shifting demands of different trades. “Uncertainty and volatility are just going to be our companions, certainly for [the rest] of this year,” said Sappio. “It’s difficult under normal circumstances to accurately forecast, but under these circumstances, it’s nearly impossible.” Contact Laura Robb at <a href="mailto:Laura.Robb@spglobal.com">laura.robb@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

The production of refrigerated containers globally is at its highest level in at least a decade, but that hasn’t been enough to relieve reefer scarcity amid increased maintenance needs, retirement of older equipment, elevated demand on some regional trades and rising market volatility, US market stakeholders say. Figures prepared for the Journal of Commerce by maritime consultancy Drewry show 93,000 TEUs of reefer equipment entered the global market in the first quarter of 2025, up almost 145% from the same period of 2024. “On average, over the last 10 years, the industry has produced somewhere between 275,000 to 300,000 TEUs of reefer equipment annually,” said Bob Sappio, CEO of refrigerated container lessor SeaCube. “This year, we’re expecting there to be closer to 350,000 TEUs.” Nearly all reefer containers are produced by three Chinese companies: China International Marine Containers, Dong Fang International Containers and Guangdong FUWA Engineering Group Co. According to Sappio, the lead time for ordering new 40-foot reefer containers has doubled to about four months. Costs are also going up, as recent steel tariffs raise prices of any equipment purchases made in the US. A hot cold chain Extreme heat is one factor driving up equipment problems. Amanda Oren, vice president of industry strategy for grocery at supply chain planning company RELEX, said that they’ve seen more disruptions due to high temperatures. “The East Coast has been [extremely hot] ...” Oren told the Journal of Commerce. “It’s impacting the supply chain at large for refrigerated product.” According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 13 heat records were broken in the 30 days leading up to July 12, with another 14 heat records tied. Many of those were concentrated on the East Coast. A forwarder focused on temperature-controlled shipments told the Journal of Commerce that reefer equipment is put under more stress in high temperatures, and many locations won’t load a reefer until it’s cooled. “Cooling an empty container full of hot air is no easy task,” said the forwarder. “When the [equipment] is put under this kind of stress, any weak points can become fail points, and we see an uptick in maintenance issues and failures when we see temperatures like we have.” As maintenance needs are magnified by elevated temperatures, some aging equipment is already due for retirement, said Sappio. A significant portion of the global reefer fleet is 11 to 14 years old, he said, meaning it’s close to being withdrawn from service. US demand cooled in May The US moved record-setting reefer volumes last year, reaching a total of 467,700 TEUs, up 17% compared with 2023, according to PIERS, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S& P Global. This May, however, PIERS data shows US reefer exports at 56,254 TEUs, down nearly 20% compared with last year. Similarly, May reefer imports were down 5.4% on the year at 156,733 TEUs, the lowest monthly total since August 2023. Oren says tariffs are driving some shippers to diversify supply chains and re-source cargo, further contributing to instability. “We’re starting to see product being sourced that used to come from China looking at different sourcing options, like Southeast Asia or South Korea,” she said. Still, the global reefer market is predicted to grow about 2% annually through 2029, according to figures from Drewry shared during a reefer webinar last month. “The reefer trade is growing okay, but obviously there [are] some areas which are growing faster than others,” Philip Gray, Drewry’s senior associate of reefer shipping, said during the webinar. Oceania to Asia, Central America to North America and North Europe to Asia were the lanes with the most significant growth last year, according to the webinar. But the lack of predictability, sources say, is making it harder for carriers to accurately position equipment to meet the shifting demands of different trades. “Uncertainty and volatility are just going to be our companions, certainly for [the rest] of this year,” said Sappio. “It’s difficult under normal circumstances to accurately forecast, but under these circumstances, it’s nearly impossible.” Contact Laura Robb at laura.robb@spglobal.com .

Container Shipping News

Cool Cargo News

Reefer fleet growth yet to show in availability of equipment

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Thanks in large part to the current tariff environment, boardrooms are now increasingly focusing on mitigating their exposure to these new taxes and ensuring they’ll have sufficient inventories no matter the disruption.</div>

Thanks in large part to the current tariff environment, boardrooms are now increasingly focusing on mitigating their exposure to these new taxes and ensuring they’ll have sufficient inventories no matter the disruption.

<div class="phx-topic">A recent annual shipping industry event revealed increased attention from the C-suite on tariff and risk mitigation and how far we’ve come in addressing those items, as well as the need for more sophisticated sourcing strategies. At the American Association of Exporters and Importers’ (AAEI’s) annual conference in late June, I witnessed a noticeable shift in terms of a new focus on mitigating trade-related costs and vulnerabilities. This expanded the scope of the Washington, DC event that traditionally centers around compliance, facilitation and influencing policy change. Thanks in large part to the current tariff environment, boardrooms are now increasingly focusing on mitigating their exposure to these new taxes and ensuring they’ll have sufficient inventories no matter the disruption. The first session set the tone, with panel moderator Laura Siegel Rabinowitz of Greenberg Traurig LLP opening with a telling observation: “Companies today are now looking for sourcing strategies involving classification, valuation, and country of origin.” As a trade optimization strategist, I was all smiles. While current tariff rates have certainly put risk planning back into the spotlight, the movement can arguably be traced to the COVID-19 pandemic, when many companies found themselves critically exposed by single-sourcing components. When combined with the unprecedented blockage of the Suez Canal, risk mitigation lights began burning in earnest. But to support the sourcing strategies being raised, companies may need to rethink existing workflows, procedures and tools that would enable trade compliance to work proactively with procurement. The process begins with the corporate buyers/engineering teams sending a list of new products/components to trade compliance for classification. The resulting harmonized system (HS) codes illuminate tariff obligations, identify eligibility for potential Free Trade Agreement (FTA) benefits, and provide visibility to any admissibility requirements that would need to be satisfied as a condition of import. In addition, by involving trade compliance at the earliest stages of new product build/buy decisions, it promotes the potential discovery of tariff engineering opportunities capable of producing surprising savings. <h3>The ‘risk index’ and due diligence </h3>With tariff data in hand, procurement departments can move beyond surface-level quotes based on product cost alone and conduct a more accurate landed cost analysis across pre-qualified suppliers. I’ve personally witnessed examples where purchase orders were awarded to suppliers in China based solely on a lower cost of goods, versus Mexico, which qualified for FTA, had lower transportation costs, and provided shorter door-to-door delivery times. Landed-cost modeling tools allow companies to perform a more accurate “apples-to-apples” comparison by factoring all the costs associated with the door-to-door movement of an international order. They also support dynamic scenario planning by allowing the user to toggle different Incoterms, shipping modes and related transport costs to find the best balance of costs and operational needs. This step also needs to include a key element of strategic sourcing that is often overlooked, and that is understanding a country’s “risk index” — that is, how it scores against a variety of factors, all capable of adding unplanned costs and/or disruption. These include geopolitical stability, crime and corruption, complexity and cost of trade, infrastructure reliability (labor, energy), environmental and social governance (ESG), and natural disasters and climate risk. The final step is due diligence via supplier vetting. Remaining suppliers should be screened through tools that can trace raw materials back to their sources, ensuring compliance with the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act and similar controls. This traceability is critical — not just for ethical sourcing, but also for maintaining customs compliance and brand reputation. With this three-step process, corporate procurement departments gain a complete, comprehensive view that balances cost, compliance, risk and continuity with data that can be shared with other stakeholders as part of a broader, collaborative effort. When implemented as corporate policy, it ensures that a purchase order cannot be awarded without completing this analysis. In short, it just simply makes sense. While tariffs might be the current disruptor headline, the broader truth is that supply chain risk lurks in many corners — be it political unrest, environmental disasters, cyberattacks, and even regulatory whiplash. These risks and other potential disruptions have always been part-and-parcel of international trade. However, the current issue is putting trade compliance departments in the boardroom spotlight, providing an opportune time to lobby for those badly needed resources, systems and process changes. Or, as one event panelist who aptly quoted Winston Churchill said, “Never let a good crisis go to waste.” William G. “Jerry” Peck is a licensed customs broker and trade compliance and optimization specialist with Avalara and can be reached at <a href="mailto:jerry.peck@avalara.com">jerry.peck@avalara.com</a>. </div>

A recent annual shipping industry event revealed increased attention from the C-suite on tariff and risk mitigation and how far we’ve come in addressing those items, as well as the need for more sophisticated sourcing strategies. At the American Association of Exporters and Importers’ (AAEI’s) annual conference in late June, I witnessed a noticeable shift in terms of a new focus on mitigating trade-related costs and vulnerabilities. This expanded the scope of the Washington, DC event that traditionally centers around compliance, facilitation and influencing policy change. Thanks in large part to the current tariff environment, boardrooms are now increasingly focusing on mitigating their exposure to these new taxes and ensuring they’ll have sufficient inventories no matter the disruption. The first session set the tone, with panel moderator Laura Siegel Rabinowitz of Greenberg Traurig LLP opening with a telling observation: “Companies today are now looking for sourcing strategies involving classification, valuation, and country of origin.” As a trade optimization strategist, I was all smiles. While current tariff rates have certainly put risk planning back into the spotlight, the movement can arguably be traced to the COVID-19 pandemic, when many companies found themselves critically exposed by single-sourcing components. When combined with the unprecedented blockage of the Suez Canal, risk mitigation lights began burning in earnest. But to support the sourcing strategies being raised, companies may need to rethink existing workflows, procedures and tools that would enable trade compliance to work proactively with procurement. The process begins with the corporate buyers/engineering teams sending a list of new products/components to trade compliance for classification. The resulting harmonized system (HS) codes illuminate tariff obligations, identify eligibility for potential Free Trade Agreement (FTA) benefits, and provide visibility to any admissibility requirements that would need to be satisfied as a condition of import. In addition, by involving trade compliance at the earliest stages of new product build/buy decisions, it promotes the potential discovery of tariff engineering opportunities capable of producing surprising savings. The ‘risk index’ and due diligence With tariff data in hand, procurement departments can move beyond surface-level quotes based on product cost alone and conduct a more accurate landed cost analysis across pre-qualified suppliers. I’ve personally witnessed examples where purchase orders were awarded to suppliers in China based solely on a lower cost of goods, versus Mexico, which qualified for FTA, had lower transportation costs, and provided shorter door-to-door delivery times. Landed-cost modeling tools allow companies to perform a more accurate “apples-to-apples” comparison by factoring all the costs associated with the door-to-door movement of an international order. They also support dynamic scenario planning by allowing the user to toggle different Incoterms, shipping modes and related transport costs to find the best balance of costs and operational needs. This step also needs to include a key element of strategic sourcing that is often overlooked, and that is understanding a country’s “risk index” — that is, how it scores against a variety of factors, all capable of adding unplanned costs and/or disruption. These include geopolitical stability, crime and corruption, complexity and cost of trade, infrastructure reliability (labor, energy), environmental and social governance (ESG), and natural disasters and climate risk. The final step is due diligence via supplier vetting. Remaining suppliers should be screened through tools that can trace raw materials back to their sources, ensuring compliance with the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act and similar controls. This traceability is critical — not just for ethical sourcing, but also for maintaining customs compliance and brand reputation. With this three-step process, corporate procurement departments gain a complete, comprehensive view that balances cost, compliance, risk and continuity with data that can be shared with other stakeholders as part of a broader, collaborative effort. When implemented as corporate policy, it ensures that a purchase order cannot be awarded without completing this analysis. In short, it just simply makes sense. While tariffs might be the current disruptor headline, the broader truth is that supply chain risk lurks in many corners — be it political unrest, environmental disasters, cyberattacks, and even regulatory whiplash. These risks and other potential disruptions have always been part-and-parcel of international trade. However, the current issue is putting trade compliance departments in the boardroom spotlight, providing an opportune time to lobby for those badly needed resources, systems and process changes. Or, as one event panelist who aptly quoted Winston Churchill said, “Never let a good crisis go to waste.” William G. “Jerry” Peck is a licensed customs broker and trade compliance and optimization specialist with Avalara and can be reached at jerry.peck@avalara.com .

Transport, Trade and Regulation News

Latest market ‘disruptor’ requires focused procurement approach by C-suites

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The win for the trucking company at the Texas Supreme Court sets a powerful precedent that narrows the scope of liability in vehicular negligence cases, especially those involving unpredictable, high-impact crashes.</div>

The win for the trucking company at the Texas Supreme Court sets a powerful precedent that narrows the scope of liability in vehicular negligence cases, especially those involving unpredictable, high-impact crashes.

<div class="phx-topic">Shippers operating private trucking fleets will be buoyed by a June 27 decision by the Supreme Court of Texas, which overturned a nearly $100 million 2023 jury verdict in Werner Enterprises, Inc. v. Blake. The court held that the trucking company’s driver, although possibly negligent in how he operated his vehicle on icy roads, was not the proximate cause of a tragic cross-median crash that killed one child and left another permanently paralyzed. The case holds implications for truckload carriers, from large for-hire carriers such as Werner to smaller operators, but also for shippers operating their own private fleets who will be impacted by the precedent set by the court’s decision. That makes it more than merely a procedural victory for Werner Enterprises. It sets a powerful precedent that narrows the scope of liability in vehicular negligence cases, especially those involving unpredictable, high-impact crashes. <h3>Boundaries for shippers </h3>For private fleet operators and shippers with dedicated transportation assets, the implications are significant — and potentially transformative. The ruling offers clarity and potentially limits exposure in high-dollar catastrophic loss cases — particularly those involving third-party drivers who are the true proximate causes of an accident. Previously, plaintiffs’ attorneys have advanced theories of negligent training, hiring, or dispatch to hook employers into liability, even where their driver was not principally at fault. But the Werner decision sharply limits those derivative theories unless the employee’s conduct itself meets the substantial-factor threshold of proximate cause. This limitation matters in an era of rising “nuclear verdicts,” so-called liability verdicts that exceed $10 million, and increasingly aggressive plaintiff strategies in transportation litigation. It restores a degree of predictability to fleet liability by anchoring it in clearly demonstrable causation. <h3>The legal crux: proximate cause </h3>The court’s opinion turned on a technical yet crucial doctrine: proximate cause. Texas law requires that to hold someone liable for negligence, their actions must be a “substantial factor” in causing the injury — not just part of a chain of events. The accident occurred in December 2014, near Odessa, Texas, when an F-350 pickup truck, traveling too fast for the icy conditions, lost control, crossed a 42-foot grassy median, and collided head-on with a Werner 18-wheeler operated by Shiraz Ali, a driver in training. The collision killed seven-year-old Zackery Blake and severely injured his siblings and mother. A Texas jury found Werner and Ali liable, apportioning 70% of the responsibility to Werner and 14% of the responsibility to Ali and awarding $100 million in damages. Werner appealed, arguing that the plaintiffs failed to prove Ali’s driving was a proximate cause of the crash. The Texas Supreme Court ruled that his conduct was not a substantial factor in causing the injuries. The sole proximate cause, according to the opinion, was the F-350’s sudden loss of control. Crucially, the court emphasized that even if Ali’s speed “furnished the condition that made the injuries possible,” it was not enough for liability. The decision pivots on the idea that legal responsibility requires more than being in the wrong place at the wrong time. <h3>Victory for the principle of foreseeability </h3>The ruling clarifies a principle that private fleet operators have long sought courts to recognize: when another driver acts unpredictably and causes an accident, it is unfair — and legally unsound — to hold a fleet operator liable simply because their truck happened to be involved. The decision rebukes the lower court’s expansive view of foreseeability. While a collision might have been possible, the court held, it was not reasonably foreseeable that an out-of-control vehicle would cross a wide median and strike Ali’s truck before he had time to react. It was “a tragic happenstance of place and time,” the opinion declared, “but not a happenstance for which Ali or his employer can reasonably be held responsible.” <h3>A word of caution </h3>While this ruling is a win for carriers and shippers, it also underscores the importance of robust documentation and clear protocols. The Supreme Court of Texas accepted that Werner’s training may have been imperfect. But because the crash wasn’t proximately caused by that training — or by Ali’s conduct — it didn’t matter. Private fleets should take note: This ruling doesn’t absolve companies from preparing their drivers for adverse conditions or documenting compliance with safety protocols. But it does provide a legal firewall when accidents occur beyond their control. Matthew Leffler is a transportation attorney, adjunct professor of law at Michigan State University College of Law, and the host of the Armchair Attorney® Podcast. Contact him at <a href="mailto:matthew@armchairattorney.com">matthew@armchairattorney.com</a>.</div>

Shippers operating private trucking fleets will be buoyed by a June 27 decision by the Supreme Court of Texas, which overturned a nearly $100 million 2023 jury verdict in Werner Enterprises, Inc. v. Blake. The court held that the trucking company’s driver, although possibly negligent in how he operated his vehicle on icy roads, was not the proximate cause of a tragic cross-median crash that killed one child and left another permanently paralyzed. The case holds implications for truckload carriers, from large for-hire carriers such as Werner to smaller operators, but also for shippers operating their own private fleets who will be impacted by the precedent set by the court’s decision. That makes it more than merely a procedural victory for Werner Enterprises. It sets a powerful precedent that narrows the scope of liability in vehicular negligence cases, especially those involving unpredictable, high-impact crashes. Boundaries for shippers For private fleet operators and shippers with dedicated transportation assets, the implications are significant — and potentially transformative. The ruling offers clarity and potentially limits exposure in high-dollar catastrophic loss cases — particularly those involving third-party drivers who are the true proximate causes of an accident. Previously, plaintiffs’ attorneys have advanced theories of negligent training, hiring, or dispatch to hook employers into liability, even where their driver was not principally at fault. But the Werner decision sharply limits those derivative theories unless the employee’s conduct itself meets the substantial-factor threshold of proximate cause. This limitation matters in an era of rising “nuclear verdicts,” so-called liability verdicts that exceed $10 million, and increasingly aggressive plaintiff strategies in transportation litigation. It restores a degree of predictability to fleet liability by anchoring it in clearly demonstrable causation. The legal crux: proximate cause The court’s opinion turned on a technical yet crucial doctrine: proximate cause. Texas law requires that to hold someone liable for negligence, their actions must be a “substantial factor” in causing the injury — not just part of a chain of events. The accident occurred in December 2014, near Odessa, Texas, when an F-350 pickup truck, traveling too fast for the icy conditions, lost control, crossed a 42-foot grassy median, and collided head-on with a Werner 18-wheeler operated by Shiraz Ali, a driver in training. The collision killed seven-year-old Zackery Blake and severely injured his siblings and mother. A Texas jury found Werner and Ali liable, apportioning 70% of the responsibility to Werner and 14% of the responsibility to Ali and awarding $100 million in damages. Werner appealed, arguing that the plaintiffs failed to prove Ali’s driving was a proximate cause of the crash. The Texas Supreme Court ruled that his conduct was not a substantial factor in causing the injuries. The sole proximate cause, according to the opinion, was the F-350’s sudden loss of control. Crucially, the court emphasized that even if Ali’s speed “furnished the condition that made the injuries possible,” it was not enough for liability. The decision pivots on the idea that legal responsibility requires more than being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Victory for the principle of foreseeability The ruling clarifies a principle that private fleet operators have long sought courts to recognize: when another driver acts unpredictably and causes an accident, it is unfair — and legally unsound — to hold a fleet operator liable simply because their truck happened to be involved. The decision rebukes the lower court’s expansive view of foreseeability. While a collision might have been possible, the court held, it was not reasonably foreseeable that an out-of-control vehicle would cross a wide median and strike Ali’s truck before he had time to react. It was “a tragic happenstance of place and time,” the opinion declared, “but not a happenstance for which Ali or his employer can reasonably be held responsible.” A word of caution While this ruling is a win for carriers and shippers, it also underscores the importance of robust documentation and clear protocols. The Supreme Court of Texas accepted that Werner’s training may have been imperfect. But because the crash wasn’t proximately caused by that training — or by Ali’s conduct — it didn’t matter. Private fleets should take note: This ruling doesn’t absolve companies from preparing their drivers for adverse conditions or documenting compliance with safety protocols. But it does provide a legal firewall when accidents occur beyond their control. Matthew Leffler is a transportation attorney, adjunct professor of law at Michigan State University College of Law, and the host of the Armchair Attorney® Podcast. Contact him at matthew@armchairattorney.com .

Truckload

Werner victory in long-running court case has broad implications for truckload carriers

Notes: Average rail performance represents years 2017 to 2019 and 2023.

Average rail performance

Average rail performance: {valueY.formatNumber('#.##')}

Pandemic-era congestion (2020-2022)

Pandemic congestion: {valueY.formatNumber('#.##')}

Current Year

Current year: {valueY.formatNumber('#.##')}

Intermodal train cars holding refers to how many trains with containers or trailers are stopped outside of a designated terminal or crew change point due to a disruption to normal operations. The total in the chart is the rolling four-week average total of the US-based Class I railroads: BNSF Railway, CSX Transportation, Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific Railroad. Average rail performance is defined as the weekly performance prior to and after the pandemic-related freight surge. Pandemic-era congestion is the worst result for each week from 2020 through 2022. [STB](https://www.stb.gov/reports-data/rail-service-data/)

US intermodal trains held (STB)

US intermodal train holdings Gateway

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Some customers and competitors were surprised by the timing of the surcharges, which are typically implemented in August or September, if at all, and only after volume spikes.</div>

Some customers and competitors were surprised by the timing of the surcharges, which are typically implemented in August or September, if at all, and only after volume spikes.

<div class="phx-topic">J.B. Hunt Transport Services is defending its decision to impose surcharges of up to $1,500 per container on some shippers moving goods from Southern California, saying the fees are necessary to maintain service levels during an unpredictable peak season. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/jb-hunt-hits-some-shippers-with-big-surcharges-in-southern-california-6043454">The surcharges</a>, which apply to certain retail, appliance and electronics shippers, are intended to ensure J.B. Hunt has the equipment and personnel in place if demand increases ahead of the holiday season, the company said during its quarterly earnings call late Tuesday. The surcharges are a tool, in a way, for J.B. Hunt to regulate how much unplanned freight it accepts during the busiest weeks of the year, ensuring there are enough drivers and containers to haul shipments for all its customers in Southern California. The surcharges went into effect July 13. “The last thing our industry can do is fail this shipping community at a time when the demand upticks,” Darren Field, president of J.B. Hunt’s intermodal division, said on the earnings call. “We have a handful of customers that said, ‘Hey, I might have extra business in July.’ We had many customers say, ‘I’m going to have the same peak I had last year’ ... and we just wanted a plan so we’re not caught by surprise.” <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="69b9e75c-ee79-4b00-9c29-ef0bc47d2af2"></dynamic-object></div>Meanwhile, maintaining strong service is important as J.B. Hunt and rail partner BNSF Railway performed above average in the second quarter, according to indicators. BNSF’s average Z-score, a proprietary Journal of Commerce calculation factoring train speeds, trains being held and idle laden railcars, has been positive for 13 consecutive weeks based on data filed with the US Surface Transportation Board (STB). Positive Z-scores indicate the railroad is outperforming its own history, while negative scores indicate underperformance. J.B. Hunt was also named the best intermodal provider by 41.5% of shippers in the latest Journal of Commerce Intermodal Service Scorecard, the highest percentage among its peers. The survey of more than 240 shippers was conducted between May 1 and June 30. The company regularly topped <a href="https://www.joc.com/resources/special-reports/domestic-intermodal-service-scorecard">prior surveys</a> as well, including in categories such as equipment availability, on-time pickups and on-time deliveries. Executing service becomes harder when week-over-week volumes become volatile. “This added complexity, lack of accurate forecast and potential for volatility, is why our peak season surcharge programs are starting earlier this year,” Spencer Frazier, executive vice president of sales for J.B. Hunt, said on the call. “Regardless of customer strategy and the shape of peak season, we will be ready to meet their demand when it occurs.” <h3>Some customers will look to skirt the charges </h3>Some J.B. Hunt customers and competitors were surprised by the timing of the surcharges. Peak season surcharges (PSSs) are typically implemented in August or September, if at all, and only after volume spikes. BNSF hauled more than 18,000 ocean containers during the week ending July 13, the highest since late January, according to data platform RailState. However, the railroad only hauled about 12,000 domestic containers during the same week, on par with its rolling 26-week average covering the first half of the year. J.B. Hunt implemented the surcharges after discussions with shippers over the last three weeks, customers told the Journal of Commerce. The fees apply only when a shipper out of Southern California exceeds its weekly contracted allotment, but the added costs can be substantial. “At $1,500 extra, our [competing] truckload rates become far cheaper,” said one J.B. Hunt customer who did not want to be identified. “That’s the trifecta of bad: higher rates, slower transit, and increased risk of theft.” Customers have also questioned whether J.B. Hunt incurs $1,500 in costs to reposition equipment to Southern California, or whether the surcharge reflects an attempt by J.B. Hunt to compensate for what it could not obtain during earlier contract negotiations. A second J.B. Hunt customer said they would take steps to avoid the fees. “We will look for opportunities not to pay the $1,500. That’s the short answer,” the source said. “We feel really confident that we’ll be successful.” Shippers said there are multiple ways to sidestep the charges, especially when only a few containers exceed weekly contractual limits. Some may shift overflow freight to J.B. Hunt’s competitors, both asset-based and non-asset-based intermodal providers. Others may opt for truckload carriers on the spot market, particularly as trucking rates remain low. Still others may delay non-urgent cargo by a few days, taking advantage of the weekly reset on allotments. It is not yet clear whether J.B. Hunt’s rivals will follow suit on the surcharges. While most major intermodal providers imposed PSSs last year, none set rates above $1,000 per container, except J.B. Hunt. Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

J.B. Hunt Transport Services is defending its decision to impose surcharges of up to $1,500 per container on some shippers moving goods from Southern California, saying the fees are necessary to maintain service levels during an unpredictable peak season. The surcharges , which apply to certain retail, appliance and electronics shippers, are intended to ensure J.B. Hunt has the equipment and personnel in place if demand increases ahead of the holiday season, the company said during its quarterly earnings call late Tuesday. The surcharges are a tool, in a way, for J.B. Hunt to regulate how much unplanned freight it accepts during the busiest weeks of the year, ensuring there are enough drivers and containers to haul shipments for all its customers in Southern California. The surcharges went into effect July 13. “The last thing our industry can do is fail this shipping community at a time when the demand upticks,” Darren Field, president of J.B. Hunt’s intermodal division, said on the earnings call. “We have a handful of customers that said, ‘Hey, I might have extra business in July.’ We had many customers say, ‘I’m going to have the same peak I had last year’ ... and we just wanted a plan so we’re not caught by surprise.” Meanwhile, maintaining strong service is important as J.B. Hunt and rail partner BNSF Railway performed above average in the second quarter, according to indicators. BNSF’s average Z-score, a proprietary Journal of Commerce calculation factoring train speeds, trains being held and idle laden railcars, has been positive for 13 consecutive weeks based on data filed with the US Surface Transportation Board (STB). Positive Z-scores indicate the railroad is outperforming its own history, while negative scores indicate underperformance. J.B. Hunt was also named the best intermodal provider by 41.5% of shippers in the latest Journal of Commerce Intermodal Service Scorecard, the highest percentage among its peers. The survey of more than 240 shippers was conducted between May 1 and June 30. The company regularly topped prior surveys as well, including in categories such as equipment availability, on-time pickups and on-time deliveries. Executing service becomes harder when week-over-week volumes become volatile. “This added complexity, lack of accurate forecast and potential for volatility, is why our peak season surcharge programs are starting earlier this year,” Spencer Frazier, executive vice president of sales for J.B. Hunt, said on the call. “Regardless of customer strategy and the shape of peak season, we will be ready to meet their demand when it occurs.” Some customers will look to skirt the charges Some J.B. Hunt customers and competitors were surprised by the timing of the surcharges. Peak season surcharges (PSSs) are typically implemented in August or September, if at all, and only after volume spikes. BNSF hauled more than 18,000 ocean containers during the week ending July 13, the highest since late January, according to data platform RailState. However, the railroad only hauled about 12,000 domestic containers during the same week, on par with its rolling 26-week average covering the first half of the year. J.B. Hunt implemented the surcharges after discussions with shippers over the last three weeks, customers told the Journal of Commerce. The fees apply only when a shipper out of Southern California exceeds its weekly contracted allotment, but the added costs can be substantial. “At $1,500 extra, our [competing] truckload rates become far cheaper,” said one J.B. Hunt customer who did not want to be identified. “That’s the trifecta of bad: higher rates, slower transit, and increased risk of theft.” Customers have also questioned whether J.B. Hunt incurs $1,500 in costs to reposition equipment to Southern California, or whether the surcharge reflects an attempt by J.B. Hunt to compensate for what it could not obtain during earlier contract negotiations. A second J.B. Hunt customer said they would take steps to avoid the fees. “We will look for opportunities not to pay the $1,500. That’s the short answer,” the source said. “We feel really confident that we’ll be successful.” Shippers said there are multiple ways to sidestep the charges, especially when only a few containers exceed weekly contractual limits. Some may shift overflow freight to J.B. Hunt’s competitors, both asset-based and non-asset-based intermodal providers. Others may opt for truckload carriers on the spot market, particularly as trucking rates remain low. Still others may delay non-urgent cargo by a few days, taking advantage of the weekly reset on allotments. It is not yet clear whether J.B. Hunt’s rivals will follow suit on the surcharges. While most major intermodal providers imposed PSSs last year, none set rates above $1,000 per container, except J.B. Hunt. Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

J.B. Hunt says surcharges necessary to maintain peak season service

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The European automotive industry has been hammered by Washington’s import tariffs that are imposing a significant financial burden on the continent’s carmakers. </div>

The European automotive industry has been hammered by Washington’s import tariffs that are imposing a significant financial burden on the continent’s carmakers.

<div class="phx-topic">The financial cost of US tariffs on the European automotive industry has been illustrated by Volvo Group, which was forced to take a $1.2 billion impairment charge in the second quarter as tariffs undermined profitability. With President Donald Trump’s threat at the weekend to impose 30% tariffs on all European Union imports from Aug. 1, there is no letting up on the financial pressure facing the automotive industry. “Due to import tariffs the company is currently unable to sell the Volvo ES90 profitably in the United States, while ES90 margins are also under pressure in Europe for the same reason,” Volvo told investors in a statement Monday. The Swedish carmaker said the $1.2 billion write-down reflected adjustments in expected production volumes of its two latest electric car models following the tariffs and “rightsizing the assets to the known market realities.” An impairment charge is the writing down of the value of an asset to reflect its reduced worth. Jaguar Land Rover this week reported a 15.1% drop in sales in the three months up to June after the luxury automaker placed a temporary pause on exports to the US because of the tariffs. The UK-based manufacturer, owned by Indian car giant Tata, is expecting to improve in the third quarter following the UK’s recent trade deal with the US that sets tariffs at 10% on the first 100,000 cars exported. The US imposed 25% tariffs on the steel and aluminum sectors in March and expanded that to include automobiles on April 3 and automobile parts on May 3, also set at 25%, up from 2.5%. Then, last Saturday, Trump, frustrated at a perceived lack of progress on trade negotiations, threatened to impose 30% tariffs on all imports from the EU from Aug. 1. The US is the largest market for Europe’s automotive industry, comprising 23% of the EU’s total car exports, according to data from the European Commission. With such a significant market share, auto exports from the port of Antwerp-Bruges, a huge automotive hub in Europe that handled more than three million vehicles last year, have been particularly hard hit by the US tariffs. There has been “a clear decline” in vehicle exports to the US via Antwerp since May as tariffs dragged down the numbers, the port noted in a statement this week <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/strong-h1-volumes-space-crunch-keep-antwerp-terminals-under-pressure-6043917">on its first-half operations</a>. In the first six months of the year, 15.9% fewer new cars and vans (76,089 units) and 31.5% fewer trucks and heavy vehicles (11,751 units) were exported. <h3>Eurozone pushed to ‘edge of recession’ </h3>The US tariffs will do no favors for Europe’s economies. Research consultancy Oxford Economics noted in a report this week that the threat of 30% tariffs was an escalation of the trade war that will push the eurozone economy to the edge of recession, with growth stagnating over the coming quarters. “Using our global economic model, we estimate that this could cut eurozone GDP growth by up to 0.3 percentage point annually over the next two years,” the report said. The 30% tariff threat surprised EU officials who reportedly thought they were close to a preliminary agreement with the US. Brussels has subsequently dusted off plans to impose its own targeted retaliatory measures on US products should the tariffs be implemented, but it is still holding trade talks with Washington. “The latest decision to delay its planned retaliatory measures until next month shows the EU still hopes to reach a deal before the Aug. 1 deadline,” the Oxford Economics report noted. Oxford Economics found US tariffs were also raising uncertainty and damaging business confidence in the EU, and by extension corporate investment, a sentiment that was picked up in the latest S&amp;P Global Germany Business Outlook survey. “Businesses report concerns about disruption to both demand and supply chains from increased US trade tariffs and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, with the related uncertainty expected to limit business investment and growth,” Phil Smith, economics associate director at S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, said in his analysis of the survey results. “The current geopolitical backdrop means that firms overall remain only cautiously optimistic about the outlook and are by no means fully loosening the purse strings, with growth forecasts and investment intentions still running below their respective pre-pandemic averages,” Smith added. S&amp;P Global is the parent company of the Journal of Commerce. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

The financial cost of US tariffs on the European automotive industry has been illustrated by Volvo Group, which was forced to take a $1.2 billion impairment charge in the second quarter as tariffs undermined profitability. With President Donald Trump’s threat at the weekend to impose 30% tariffs on all European Union imports from Aug. 1, there is no letting up on the financial pressure facing the automotive industry. “Due to import tariffs the company is currently unable to sell the Volvo ES90 profitably in the United States, while ES90 margins are also under pressure in Europe for the same reason,” Volvo told investors in a statement Monday. The Swedish carmaker said the $1.2 billion write-down reflected adjustments in expected production volumes of its two latest electric car models following the tariffs and “rightsizing the assets to the known market realities.” An impairment charge is the writing down of the value of an asset to reflect its reduced worth. Jaguar Land Rover this week reported a 15.1% drop in sales in the three months up to June after the luxury automaker placed a temporary pause on exports to the US because of the tariffs. The UK-based manufacturer, owned by Indian car giant Tata, is expecting to improve in the third quarter following the UK’s recent trade deal with the US that sets tariffs at 10% on the first 100,000 cars exported. The US imposed 25% tariffs on the steel and aluminum sectors in March and expanded that to include automobiles on April 3 and automobile parts on May 3, also set at 25%, up from 2.5%. Then, last Saturday, Trump, frustrated at a perceived lack of progress on trade negotiations, threatened to impose 30% tariffs on all imports from the EU from Aug. 1. The US is the largest market for Europe’s automotive industry, comprising 23% of the EU’s total car exports, according to data from the European Commission. With such a significant market share, auto exports from the port of Antwerp-Bruges, a huge automotive hub in Europe that handled more than three million vehicles last year, have been particularly hard hit by the US tariffs. There has been “a clear decline” in vehicle exports to the US via Antwerp since May as tariffs dragged down the numbers, the port noted in a statement this week on its first-half operations . In the first six months of the year, 15.9% fewer new cars and vans (76,089 units) and 31.5% fewer trucks and heavy vehicles (11,751 units) were exported. Eurozone pushed to ‘edge of recession’ The US tariffs will do no favors for Europe’s economies. Research consultancy Oxford Economics noted in a report this week that the threat of 30% tariffs was an escalation of the trade war that will push the eurozone economy to the edge of recession, with growth stagnating over the coming quarters. “Using our global economic model, we estimate that this could cut eurozone GDP growth by up to 0.3 percentage point annually over the next two years,” the report said. The 30% tariff threat surprised EU officials who reportedly thought they were close to a preliminary agreement with the US. Brussels has subsequently dusted off plans to impose its own targeted retaliatory measures on US products should the tariffs be implemented, but it is still holding trade talks with Washington. “The latest decision to delay its planned retaliatory measures until next month shows the EU still hopes to reach a deal before the Aug. 1 deadline,” the Oxford Economics report noted. Oxford Economics found US tariffs were also raising uncertainty and damaging business confidence in the EU, and by extension corporate investment, a sentiment that was picked up in the latest S&P Global Germany Business Outlook survey. “Businesses report concerns about disruption to both demand and supply chains from increased US trade tariffs and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, with the related uncertainty expected to limit business investment and growth,” Phil Smith, economics associate director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said in his analysis of the survey results. “The current geopolitical backdrop means that firms overall remain only cautiously optimistic about the outlook and are by no means fully loosening the purse strings, with growth forecasts and investment intentions still running below their respective pre-pandemic averages,” Smith added. S&P Global is the parent company of the Journal of Commerce. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Ro/ro cargo

Trans-Atlantic

Volvo faces $1.2 billion write-down as US tariffs erode profitability

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The infrastructure fund that owns the Port of New York and New Jersey’s largest marine terminal is not looking to divest as it seeks to extend the term of its lease, according to people familiar with the talks.</div>

The infrastructure fund that owns the Port of New York and New Jersey’s largest marine terminal is not looking to divest as it seeks to extend the term of its lease, according to people familiar with the talks.

<div class="phx-topic">Infrastructure investor Macquarie is looking to keep its majority stake in one of largest marine terminals on the US East Coast despite rumors of a sale that would coincide with a new lease at the Port of New York and New Jersey. Macquarie, though, faces millions in new costs under a new lease as the port seeks to offload wharf and berth maintenance onto its tenants. Macquarie Infrastructure Partners, <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/deutsche-bank-to-sell-maher-terminals-at-port-of-ny-nj-5230328">which bought New Jersey’s Maher Terminals in 2016 through its MIP III fund</a>, is negotiating with the Port Authority of the New York and New Jersey (PANYNJ) for a new lease, according to people familiar with the talks. Japanese shipping line NYK acquired a 20% stake in Maher from MIP III shortly after the initial acquisition, leaving Macquarie with a majority 80% stake. Macquarie’s current lease for Maher doesn’t expire until 2030. But talks on a renewal started earlier this year under the expectation that MIP III would have to sell Maher as part of a capital return to its investors after the fund’s initial 10-year time horizon, sources said. Nailing down a new lease, which could be up to 30 years, was considered necessary before a potential buyer would consider acquiring a long-term asset such as the marine terminal, they added. In 2023, <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ssa-marine-looks-to-expand-into-new-us-ports-with-deal-for-ceres-5221078">MIP III sold one of its portfolio companies</a>, Ceres Terminals, to Carrix, which is the parent company of terminal operator SSA Marine and has financial backing from the infrastructure fund of private equity investor Blackstone. However, investors in MIP III, which is a 2013 vintage fund, have agreed to extend the fund’s time horizon for another 10 years, according to a person familiar with the fund’s operations. MIP III’s extended time horizon means there are no plans — at least in the near term — for a sale of Maher, the source said. MIP III’s extension also delays an informal deadline of mid-2025 that the PANYNJ sought for lease negotiations, although a lease extension is likely to be agreed on later this year. Macquarie and the PANYNJ declined to comment on lease negotiations. <h3>Rising maintenance costs </h3>Since the purchase of Maher, Macquarie has doubled down on US terminal assets, particularly on the US West Coast. In 2019, it bought the Long Beach Container Terminal from OOCL for $1.78 billion and a year later acquired Long Beach’s ITS terminal for an undisclosed sum. In 2023, it purchased significant ownership stakes in TraPac’s Los Angeles and Oakland terminals and in Yusen Terminals. At 450 acres and almost 2 million container lifts per year, Maher is Macquarie’s largest single terminal asset and the largest privately operated terminal on the US East Coast. Maher has served as the primary East Coast hub for carriers in the Ocean Alliance. One of those carriers, CMA CGM, has moved more of its vessel calls to <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/cma-cgm-adds-terminal-assets-in-new-yorknew-jersey-5217593">the two NY-NJ marine terminals that it bought in 2022</a>. However, CMA CGM’s terminals do not have the capacity to also handle other Ocean Alliance carriers, including Cosco Shipping, OOCL and Evergreen Marine. CMA CGM’s New Jersey terminal will have more space once a throughput agreement with carriers in the Premier Alliance expires in 2027. Even then, Maher would need to handle some Ocean Alliance vessels, people familiar with the matter say. In addition to Ocean Alliance, Maher handles independent services from Zim and other carriers. It also serves as swing capacity for Maersk and Mediterranean Shipping Co. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/new-cranes-put-ny-nj-port-on-track-to-handle-more-ultra-large-ships-by-2025-5226275">amid ongoing capital projects at the two terminals that serve those carriers</a>. Maher’s talks with the PANYNJ come amid the bi-state agency’s focus on shifting costs for maintaining the port’s wharves and berths to terminal operators. While marine terminals have typically only been responsible for everything from the ground up, CMA CGM and APM Terminals, which signed a new lease in March, agreed to terms requiring them to cover costs of wharf and berth maintenance. Damage from a worm called a marine borer has rendered some of the pylons supporting the NY-NJ piers down to the diameter of a “<a href="https://www.northjersey.com/story/news/transportation/2023/12/08/tiny-shipworms-ravaging-wood-pilings-of-nj-ny-wharves-port-authority-newark-bay/71813583007/">toothpick</a>,” PANYNJ Port Director Bethann Rooney told local press. The additional maintenance responsibility on the part of tenants is lengthening Maher’s lease talks due to the costs involved. Repairing damaged wharves and other maintenance could add $20 million to a terminal operator’s annual costs under a long-term lease. The alternative is spending up to $250 million to fully replace a damaged berth. With each terminal having three or four big-ship berths, a terminal operator could face up to $1 billion in replacement costs. Moreover, any berth replacement would reduce capacity at the port, requiring terminals to coordinate such projects as they occur. Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Infrastructure investor Macquarie is looking to keep its majority stake in one of largest marine terminals on the US East Coast despite rumors of a sale that would coincide with a new lease at the Port of New York and New Jersey. Macquarie, though, faces millions in new costs under a new lease as the port seeks to offload wharf and berth maintenance onto its tenants. Macquarie Infrastructure Partners, which bought New Jersey’s Maher Terminals in 2016 through its MIP III fund , is negotiating with the Port Authority of the New York and New Jersey (PANYNJ) for a new lease, according to people familiar with the talks. Japanese shipping line NYK acquired a 20% stake in Maher from MIP III shortly after the initial acquisition, leaving Macquarie with a majority 80% stake. Macquarie’s current lease for Maher doesn’t expire until 2030. But talks on a renewal started earlier this year under the expectation that MIP III would have to sell Maher as part of a capital return to its investors after the fund’s initial 10-year time horizon, sources said. Nailing down a new lease, which could be up to 30 years, was considered necessary before a potential buyer would consider acquiring a long-term asset such as the marine terminal, they added. In 2023, MIP III sold one of its portfolio companies , Ceres Terminals, to Carrix, which is the parent company of terminal operator SSA Marine and has financial backing from the infrastructure fund of private equity investor Blackstone. However, investors in MIP III, which is a 2013 vintage fund, have agreed to extend the fund’s time horizon for another 10 years, according to a person familiar with the fund’s operations. MIP III’s extended time horizon means there are no plans — at least in the near term — for a sale of Maher, the source said. MIP III’s extension also delays an informal deadline of mid-2025 that the PANYNJ sought for lease negotiations, although a lease extension is likely to be agreed on later this year. Macquarie and the PANYNJ declined to comment on lease negotiations. Rising maintenance costs Since the purchase of Maher, Macquarie has doubled down on US terminal assets, particularly on the US West Coast. In 2019, it bought the Long Beach Container Terminal from OOCL for $1.78 billion and a year later acquired Long Beach’s ITS terminal for an undisclosed sum. In 2023, it purchased significant ownership stakes in TraPac’s Los Angeles and Oakland terminals and in Yusen Terminals. At 450 acres and almost 2 million container lifts per year, Maher is Macquarie’s largest single terminal asset and the largest privately operated terminal on the US East Coast. Maher has served as the primary East Coast hub for carriers in the Ocean Alliance. One of those carriers, CMA CGM, has moved more of its vessel calls to the two NY-NJ marine terminals that it bought in 2022 . However, CMA CGM’s terminals do not have the capacity to also handle other Ocean Alliance carriers, including Cosco Shipping, OOCL and Evergreen Marine. CMA CGM’s New Jersey terminal will have more space once a throughput agreement with carriers in the Premier Alliance expires in 2027. Even then, Maher would need to handle some Ocean Alliance vessels, people familiar with the matter say. In addition to Ocean Alliance, Maher handles independent services from Zim and other carriers. It also serves as swing capacity for Maersk and Mediterranean Shipping Co. amid ongoing capital projects at the two terminals that serve those carriers . Maher’s talks with the PANYNJ come amid the bi-state agency’s focus on shifting costs for maintaining the port’s wharves and berths to terminal operators. While marine terminals have typically only been responsible for everything from the ground up, CMA CGM and APM Terminals, which signed a new lease in March, agreed to terms requiring them to cover costs of wharf and berth maintenance. Damage from a worm called a marine borer has rendered some of the pylons supporting the NY-NJ piers down to the diameter of a “ toothpick ,” PANYNJ Port Director Bethann Rooney told local press. The additional maintenance responsibility on the part of tenants is lengthening Maher’s lease talks due to the costs involved. Repairing damaged wharves and other maintenance could add $20 million to a terminal operator’s annual costs under a long-term lease. The alternative is spending up to $250 million to fully replace a damaged berth. With each terminal having three or four big-ship berths, a terminal operator could face up to $1 billion in replacement costs. Moreover, any berth replacement would reduce capacity at the port, requiring terminals to coordinate such projects as they occur. Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com .

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The world of LTL is slow to embrace change. Business anachronisms permeate current supply chain processes. These vestiges of the way things used to work define the LTL freight transportation procurement process of many modern shippers.David Knuth, logistics specialist at IEWC, a global supplier of cable and wire based in Wisconsin, is happy to have modernized the RFP process, automating the entire LTL bidding procedure with Bid$ense, SMC³’s automated truckload and LTL freight transportation sourcing solution. But when prompted, he can still recall what once was.In his previous job, a large part of his duties were consumed by creating an intermodal bid package for carriers. In a spreadsheet, Knuth detailed the company’s volumes lane by lane, taking care to delete any errant keystrokes or misleading data. He would then email out the information to each carrier, taking time to respond to detailed technical questions about the spreadsheet data. Finally, he had to compile all the results, create an algorithm that would compare the carriers on each lane, and award the business.“It was a huge undertaking. It took about four months to do,” Knuth said of the old process. “It was almost a full-time job for that part of the year, every year.”In his new job at IEWC, he sat down with Bid$ense on day one and was amazed at the capabilities. Knuth had never before used a bid tool. SMC³’s latest versions of Bid$ense automate the process even further, taking truckload and LTL RFPs entirely online. The tool draws on RFP best-practices protocols to streamline the bidding communication process, enabling bidding carriers to respond accurately and promptly to shipper requests. The solution also does all the distribution work automatically, electronically submitting shipper bid data to carriers based on their actual service capabilities and performance records. Carriers are alerted with timely prompts for RFP deliverables, so shippers aren’t waiting by the phone for responses.Another benefit of automating the process is the data-cleansing assistance. When Knuth sent spreadsheets to carriers, data errors might cloud the bidding process; he might have to resend data or simply accept a price that did not truly reflect the costs of doing business. Data cleansing is incredibly beneficial, he said.The spreadsheet technique also made bidding analysis an onerous task. Since Bid$ense automates and streamlines the entire RFP process, intensive examination is now simple. SMC³ knows that each bid has more than one best outcome. With uniform responses from each carrier, shippers can quickly rank results and create an unlimited quantity of what-if scenarios to make the optimal procurement decision.Jesse Burnett of Central Garden &amp; Pet experiences many of the same benefits. Founded in 1980, Central Garden &amp; Pet has spent the last three decades growing from a small garden supply company to a provider of a range of products from dog chews and bird seed to soil supplements and natural insecticides. For much of its life, the company shipped these disparate goods via LTL and truckload carriers to retailers throughout the country, relying on each business unit to negotiate directly with their freight transportation providers. This arrangement worked fairly well for a small company, but as Central Garden &amp; Pet expanded, leadership decided to consolidate decision making.Burnett helped centralize the transportation decision making in 2015 with SMC³’s Bid$ense. Before Bid$ense, every business unit operated independently as far as negotiating with carriers.“There were a lot of different things just floating around,” he said. “We didn’t have master agreements in place; no national pricing at all. The pricing from carriers was just all over the place, depending on where you were.”The transformations he saw with Bid$ense were immediate. Burnett has been using the tool about every other year since its implementation at the company. Central Garden and Pet’s $19.6 million 2019 LTL bid saved the company just more than 9 percent when compared to its historical average. For Burnett, though, bid automation extends far beyond savings.“We knew that we weren’t getting the best pricing offer from our carriers just because nothing was centralized,” he continued. “We knew that if we combined everything from all these business units and paired it with one corporate offering, then it would drive some cost benefit with it.”When the company initially decided to centralize bid procurement, executives researched a number of different methodologies and technologies. In the end, though, Burnett found that Bid$ense was both widespread and well known, and that his carrier partners already knew how to use the application. Burnett also highlighted the data-cleansing process as a major benefit, saying the rigorous process ensures that carriers always return the best price.“It definitely has helped drive savings,” he said. “Any time you go out there and you drive that competitiveness with the carriers and they know they’re in a bid environment, it seems to sharpen their pencils.”Transportation procurement is an integral part of the modern supply chain. With Bid$ense, shippers can develop a strategic implementation plan that saves them time and money, but also helps them create strong relationships with their carrier partners. These carriers appreciate the solution’s data-cleansing process; when carriers receive a complete shipment history and future volume forecast, they don’t have to guess on pricing. Carriers that receive more data from shippers get a complete picture of that shipper’s freight, allowing them to accurately plan instead of simply preparing for the worst-case scenario. Clean data presented through an automated system can lead to both bigger shipment savings and a lasting partnership between carrier and customer.Whether customers are looking to streamline over-the-road transportation bidding by automating the RFP process or create an entirely new, centralized sourcing process, Bid$ense has the analytical horsepower to get the job done.SMC³ 2020 Customer Case Study

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Shippers save money, time with automated transportation bidding tools

If there’s one immutable truth in the world of logistics, it’s this: LTL is an inherently complex form of transportation. Tariffs, rates, DIM weights, transit times — it’s enough to confuse even seasoned logistics professionals. The solution to this knowledge gap has historically been on-the-job training or university supply chain education, but for a variety of reasons there is now a pressing need for third-party, remote LTL training that prepares logistics workers for transportation success. Global Scope Can Overlook Local Intricacies In the past, professionals looking to move into a supply chain career learned about the basics of supply chain from universities. However, many of these college supply chain programs are now global in scope, focusing on worldwide supply chain management instead of the intricacies of specialized domestic transportation. And even these programs, which used to be widespread, are becoming less common. LTL is not an industry of broad-brush strokes; supply chain professionals really need a pointillistic understanding of the logistics of LTL in order to excel in the industry. Accelerating Need for Dedicated LTL Education This lack of specified training put the onus on employers to prepare new hires with the LTL knowledge needed to do their jobs. Dedicated LTL study is a necessity, not a luxury. At the same time, changes in LTL and the broader supply chain world are accelerating. The reliance on e-commerce has ballooned since the start of the pandemic, and last-mile LTL shipments and related e-commerce strains on the supply chain won’t diminish once social distancing abates. That genie isn’t going back into the bottle. So supply chain employers need logistics workers that are fully versed in all aspects of the industry, ready to solve unique shipping and delivery problems based on their extensive supply chain knowledge But why care about LTL? It’s been reported that some shippers in today’s world are no longer concerned with what mode is used to ship their goods. A Multimodal Approach Ensures On-Time Delivery This mode agnosticism means supply chain stakeholders have to be well versed in all modes of transportation. As unforeseen weather events and other disruptions, such as protests, become more common, savvy logistics employees will need to be armed with familiarity of all modes, not just the most popular, to ensure that freight is delivered on time, without damage, and in the most financially expedient way possible. Offerings like SMC³’s LTL online education courses cover a wide range of topics from LTL basics and operations to more advanced concepts like pricing analytics and transportation law. The company also has plans to continually refresh content, adding new expert presenters and taking the feedback of students to make the courses even better as time goes on. Learn more about&nbsp;<a href="https://logisticstrainingcenter.com/smc3-courses/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">SMC³’s LTL Online Education program</a>&nbsp;and view the 2021 hybrid schedule, featuring live industry experts,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.smc3.com/onlinelearning2021/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">here.</a>

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Filling the Supply Chain Education Gap with LTL Education Courses

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<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The surcharges, which took effect Sunday, apply to select customers who exceed their peak-season allotment of containers out of the region. </div>

The surcharges, which took effect Sunday, apply to select customers who exceed their peak-season allotment of containers out of the region.

<div class="phx-topic">J.B. Hunt Transport Services, the largest US provider of domestic intermodal shipping, began assessing peak-season surcharges of up to $1,500 per container this week in Southern California. The surcharges, which took effect Sunday, apply to select customers who exceed their peak-season allotment of containers out of Southern California. The affected customers are companies whose freight volumes peak ahead of the holiday shopping season, indicating the surcharges are aimed at only some shippers. Spencer Frazier, executive vice president of sales and marketing for J.B. Hunt, said the surcharges are necessary for the company to remain agile and resilient enough to support shippers during busy times. “As [federal] trade policy negotiations continue, we are anticipating continued volatility and increasing demand from our customers,” Frazier told the Journal of Commerce in a statement. “To prepare and position capacity, we are engaging in customer discussions about anticipated peak season surcharges in July.” Still, a half-dozen shippers who spoke with the Journal of Commerce about the surcharges expressed frustration, questioning whether J.B. Hunt incurs $1,500 in costs to reposition empty containers to Southern California. They also pointed to tepid intermodal volume data published by the Association of American Railroads (AAR) and the US Surface Transportation Board (STB). “Starting a peak [surcharge] on July 13 is crazy and then they have it ending in December, even though J.B. Hunt told me it doesn’t expect peak [season] to last that long,” said one of the shippers, who did not want to be identified. “We tried to go back and negotiate. They said, ‘Look, if you’re going to give the freight to somebody else, that’s fine.’ I feel like J.B. Hunt rates were very cheap during the bids earlier this year and perhaps now they’re trying to make up for it.” The surcharges are not applied universally, but only after loads surpass a shipper’s weekly allotment. For example, if a shipper typically moves 100 containers out of Southern California via BNSF Railway per week, J.B. Hunt may allocate 120 containers as the peak-season allowance. BNSF is J.B. Hunt’s exclusive partner in the western US. The surcharge would apply only to shipments above the peak season threshold. This marks the <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/import-surge-pushing-los-angeles-outbound-spot-truck-rates-higher-5724894">second consecutive year</a> that J.B. Hunt has imposed surcharges exceeding $1,000 on customers who ramp up shipping between July and October. Last year, the company said the fees were necessary to manage market volatility while maintaining service standards, a rationale that likely underlies the latest surcharges. <h3>BNSF volume not spiking in recent weeks </h3>BNSF’s total intermodal volumes declined year over year for seven consecutive weeks from May through late June, but rose 5% for the week ended July 4, according to STB data. Data from RailState, which tracks volume in Southern California, shows BNSF’s volume gains came from international intermodal, while domestic intermodal volumes remained muted. It’s unlikely that volumes in the upcoming peak season will exceed that of a year ago across all North American Class I railroads, according to a Journal of Commerce analysis of data from the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA). Meanwhile, ocean carriers have backed away from proposed spot rate increases, which matters because volumes moving through the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach feed both international and domestic intermodal flows in Southern California. Spot market ocean rates to the West Coast have <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/container-lines-cutting-trans-pacific-capacity-overhang-6040426">declined steadily</a> since peaking in early June, due in part to soft demand. Many retailers accelerated shipments to avoid possible tariff increases under the Trump administration. J.B. Hunt’s decision to implement a peak season surcharge could push its competitors, such as Hub Group, Schneider National, STG Logistics and Swift Intermodal, to impose similar, if smaller, surcharges. Union Pacific Railroad may also implement a small surcharge for using rail-owned equipment in Southern California, if only to prevent too much volume shifting from J.B. Hunt and BNSF to UP. Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, the largest US provider of domestic intermodal shipping, began assessing peak-season surcharges of up to $1,500 per container this week in Southern California. The surcharges, which took effect Sunday, apply to select customers who exceed their peak-season allotment of containers out of Southern California. The affected customers are companies whose freight volumes peak ahead of the holiday shopping season, indicating the surcharges are aimed at only some shippers. Spencer Frazier, executive vice president of sales and marketing for J.B. Hunt, said the surcharges are necessary for the company to remain agile and resilient enough to support shippers during busy times. “As [federal] trade policy negotiations continue, we are anticipating continued volatility and increasing demand from our customers,” Frazier told the Journal of Commerce in a statement. “To prepare and position capacity, we are engaging in customer discussions about anticipated peak season surcharges in July.” Still, a half-dozen shippers who spoke with the Journal of Commerce about the surcharges expressed frustration, questioning whether J.B. Hunt incurs $1,500 in costs to reposition empty containers to Southern California. They also pointed to tepid intermodal volume data published by the Association of American Railroads (AAR) and the US Surface Transportation Board (STB). “Starting a peak [surcharge] on July 13 is crazy and then they have it ending in December, even though J.B. Hunt told me it doesn’t expect peak [season] to last that long,” said one of the shippers, who did not want to be identified. “We tried to go back and negotiate. They said, ‘Look, if you’re going to give the freight to somebody else, that’s fine.’ I feel like J.B. Hunt rates were very cheap during the bids earlier this year and perhaps now they’re trying to make up for it.” The surcharges are not applied universally, but only after loads surpass a shipper’s weekly allotment. For example, if a shipper typically moves 100 containers out of Southern California via BNSF Railway per week, J.B. Hunt may allocate 120 containers as the peak-season allowance. BNSF is J.B. Hunt’s exclusive partner in the western US. The surcharge would apply only to shipments above the peak season threshold. This marks the second consecutive year that J.B. Hunt has imposed surcharges exceeding $1,000 on customers who ramp up shipping between July and October. Last year, the company said the fees were necessary to manage market volatility while maintaining service standards, a rationale that likely underlies the latest surcharges. BNSF volume not spiking in recent weeks BNSF’s total intermodal volumes declined year over year for seven consecutive weeks from May through late June, but rose 5% for the week ended July 4, according to STB data. Data from RailState, which tracks volume in Southern California, shows BNSF’s volume gains came from international intermodal, while domestic intermodal volumes remained muted. It’s unlikely that volumes in the upcoming peak season will exceed that of a year ago across all North American Class I railroads, according to a Journal of Commerce analysis of data from the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA). Meanwhile, ocean carriers have backed away from proposed spot rate increases, which matters because volumes moving through the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach feed both international and domestic intermodal flows in Southern California. Spot market ocean rates to the West Coast have declined steadily since peaking in early June, due in part to soft demand. Many retailers accelerated shipments to avoid possible tariff increases under the Trump administration. J.B. Hunt’s decision to implement a peak season surcharge could push its competitors, such as Hub Group, Schneider National, STG Logistics and Swift Intermodal, to impose similar, if smaller, surcharges. Union Pacific Railroad may also implement a small surcharge for using rail-owned equipment in Southern California, if only to prevent too much volume shifting from J.B. Hunt and BNSF to UP. Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

Trucking News

J.B. Hunt hits some shippers with big surcharges in Southern California

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The uncertainty centers on what the White House considers transshipment and how US Customs and Border Protection officials would regulate goods moving from China to the US via Vietnam.</div>

The uncertainty centers on what the White House considers transshipment and how US Customs and Border Protection officials would regulate goods moving from China to the US via Vietnam.

<div class="phx-topic">How the Trump administration defines and regulates transshipment in the aftermath of a proposed trade deal with Vietnam will have major implications for the top Asia sourcing alternative to China. While President Donald Trump’s announcement on July 2 clarified new tariff levels of 20% on imports from Vietnam, his statements on applying a 40% tariff on goods that originate in China but are transshipped via Vietnam have confused some in the US trade community. The uncertainty centers on what Trump considers transshipment and how US Customs officials would crack down on violations. At issue is the extent to which goods with a Vietnam country of origin designation are actually just disguised China-origin goods. Most importers define transshipment as the process of a container connecting from the port of origin to the port of destination via a third port. But the Trump administration appears to be attaching a trade compliance element to transshipment that draws considerations such as country-of-origin determination, minimum local content, and substantial transformation, trade experts told the Journal of Commerce. “On the face of it, the transshipment tariff makes no sense,” said Robert Khachatryan, CEO of Southern California-based forwarder Freight Right Global Logistics, noting that the 40% rate is still lower than US tariffs of 55% on imports sent directly from China. “Which is why I think the language in the announcement is referring to something else.” <h3>Minimum input requirement </h3>One possibility is that the administration will deem that a minimum requirement of inputs into the shipped goods must come from Vietnam, said Paul Diedrich, compliance officer at Virginia-based forwarder Ardent Global Logistics. “While this hasn’t been clearly defined, it would make logical sense,” he said. The White House, the US Trade Representative (USTR), and US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) have yet to clarify how they define transshipment. Even CBP officials are struggling to understand what the new approach means for their monitoring and inspections and await text of the agreement rather than just the announced framework, said a trade compliance officer at a major forwarder who did not want to be identified. “We don’t know if there’s going to be a regional content component,” the source said. “Let’s say 100% of the product is manufactured in Vietnam, but 100% of the components come from China. Is that going to qualify for the agreement? In the framework, they’ve agreed to the level of the tariff, but not to the content. The short answer is no one has a clue how this is going to turn out.” <h3>Tariff games </h3>The source said it’s clear that the intention of the proposed deal with Vietnam is to disincentivize goods being manufactured in China and then moved across the land border to Vietnam to get a lower tariff treatment. It may end up being less costly to source in China and pay higher tariffs depending on the freight rate differential from China. “The framework adds scrutiny for goods with ambiguous or Chinese-origin inputs that most brands wouldn’t have visibility into without access to a product network connecting them with suppliers, regulators and customers,” Amy Morgan, head of trade compliance at supply chain software provider Altana AI, wrote in a blog Monday about the Vietnam tariffs. “Brands relying on Vietnam as a final assembly point for Chinese-made components may face 40% duties if they can’t substantiate that Vietnam is the country of origin.” Khachatryan said he expects the 40% tariff would apply to “Chinese components that undergo a substantial transformation and would hitherto be treated as Vietnamese-origin imports. “This is also evidenced by a sudden increase in export inspections in Vietnam where Vietnamese customs are reportedly scrutinizing ‘Made in Vietnam’ claims,” he added. How much of this transshipment is behind the rise of US imports from Vietnam is unclear. But the direction of trade, reflecting the conventional thinking that Vietnam was generally the best hedge against dependence on China sourcing, is clear. Imports from Vietnam a decade ago accounted for 3.9% of all US oceangoing laden imports; it was 9.9% in 2024, according to PIERS, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global. On Monday, Trump made a similar threat against South Korea, warning that Chinese goods “transshipped” through South Korea would be subject to additional tariffs beyond the 25% level announced this week. Contact Eric Johnson at <a href="mailto:eric.johnson@spglobal.com">eric.johnson@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

How the Trump administration defines and regulates transshipment in the aftermath of a proposed trade deal with Vietnam will have major implications for the top Asia sourcing alternative to China. While President Donald Trump’s announcement on July 2 clarified new tariff levels of 20% on imports from Vietnam, his statements on applying a 40% tariff on goods that originate in China but are transshipped via Vietnam have confused some in the US trade community. The uncertainty centers on what Trump considers transshipment and how US Customs officials would crack down on violations. At issue is the extent to which goods with a Vietnam country of origin designation are actually just disguised China-origin goods. Most importers define transshipment as the process of a container connecting from the port of origin to the port of destination via a third port. But the Trump administration appears to be attaching a trade compliance element to transshipment that draws considerations such as country-of-origin determination, minimum local content, and substantial transformation, trade experts told the Journal of Commerce. “On the face of it, the transshipment tariff makes no sense,” said Robert Khachatryan, CEO of Southern California-based forwarder Freight Right Global Logistics, noting that the 40% rate is still lower than US tariffs of 55% on imports sent directly from China. “Which is why I think the language in the announcement is referring to something else.” Minimum input requirement One possibility is that the administration will deem that a minimum requirement of inputs into the shipped goods must come from Vietnam, said Paul Diedrich, compliance officer at Virginia-based forwarder Ardent Global Logistics. “While this hasn’t been clearly defined, it would make logical sense,” he said. The White House, the US Trade Representative (USTR), and US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) have yet to clarify how they define transshipment. Even CBP officials are struggling to understand what the new approach means for their monitoring and inspections and await text of the agreement rather than just the announced framework, said a trade compliance officer at a major forwarder who did not want to be identified. “We don’t know if there’s going to be a regional content component,” the source said. “Let’s say 100% of the product is manufactured in Vietnam, but 100% of the components come from China. Is that going to qualify for the agreement? In the framework, they’ve agreed to the level of the tariff, but not to the content. The short answer is no one has a clue how this is going to turn out.” Tariff games The source said it’s clear that the intention of the proposed deal with Vietnam is to disincentivize goods being manufactured in China and then moved across the land border to Vietnam to get a lower tariff treatment. It may end up being less costly to source in China and pay higher tariffs depending on the freight rate differential from China. “The framework adds scrutiny for goods with ambiguous or Chinese-origin inputs that most brands wouldn’t have visibility into without access to a product network connecting them with suppliers, regulators and customers,” Amy Morgan, head of trade compliance at supply chain software provider Altana AI, wrote in a blog Monday about the Vietnam tariffs. “Brands relying on Vietnam as a final assembly point for Chinese-made components may face 40% duties if they can’t substantiate that Vietnam is the country of origin.” Khachatryan said he expects the 40% tariff would apply to “Chinese components that undergo a substantial transformation and would hitherto be treated as Vietnamese-origin imports. “This is also evidenced by a sudden increase in export inspections in Vietnam where Vietnamese customs are reportedly scrutinizing ‘Made in Vietnam’ claims,” he added. How much of this transshipment is behind the rise of US imports from Vietnam is unclear. But the direction of trade, reflecting the conventional thinking that Vietnam was generally the best hedge against dependence on China sourcing, is clear. Imports from Vietnam a decade ago accounted for 3.9% of all US oceangoing laden imports; it was 9.9% in 2024, according to PIERS, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global. On Monday, Trump made a similar threat against South Korea, warning that Chinese goods “transshipped” through South Korea would be subject to additional tariffs beyond the 25% level announced this week. Contact Eric Johnson at eric.johnson@spglobal.com .

Trump’s Vietnam ‘transshipment’ tariff puzzles US trade community

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The journey time, about two to three days better than typical industry metrics, comes despite congestion in other parts of partner CPKC’s network.</div>

The journey time, about two to three days better than typical industry metrics, comes despite congestion in other parts of partner CPKC’s network.

<div class="phx-topic">Schneider National said Friday its flagship Mexico Midwest Express (MMX) intermodal service with partner Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) is continuing to deliver strong results in 2025, offering faster transit times and higher on-time reliability than many cross-border alternatives despite congestion in other parts of CPKC’s network. The MMX service, launched two years ago, connects inland Mexican cities such as Monterrey and San Luis Potosí with Chicago via a single-line rail route. The service bypasses traditional interchange delays at the border, with two spans over the Laredo bridge and switching yards on each side of the border to handle crew changes. While Schneider did not disclose current shipment totals due to its quiet period ahead of the release of its second-quarter earnings, the company said MMX performance metrics through the first half of 2025 were strong, with average transit times of four days and a cargo theft rate of less than 0.02%. Schneider also said the on-time performance of MMX remains above 95%. The typical transit time from Monterrey to Chicago is about six or seven days. “Decreasing shipping time by even a few days matters to our customers because the faster products can get on the shelves, the faster those items can land in the hands of consumers,” Michael Baumgardt, Schneider’s senior vice president of intermodal, said in a statement. The Intermodal Association of North America (IANA) reported that railroads hauled a combined 86,000-plus domestic containers this year through May 31, a 21% increase compared with the same period a year earlier. Railroads hauled nearly 60,000 domestic containers to the Midwest during the same period, up 9% from a year earlier. Schneider is currently the only intermodal provider offering a true single-line cross-border solution from Mexico to the Midwest, eliminating any chance of delays caused by an interchange between two railroads. Schneider said service on the MMX has not deteriorated much since CPKC’s <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/cpkc-acknowledges-service-woes-to-us-regulators-vows-remediation-6030412">messy IT transition</a> in May that affected service in Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. The exception is that some shippers have experienced lengthy delays moving cargo from Laredo to Chicago because the container dwell inside the Laredo yard is up 122% since early May compared with a year ago. Schneider rivals <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/jb-hunt-launching-quantum-de-mexico-for-time-sensitive-cross-border-freight-6014579">J.B. Hunt Transport Services</a> and <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/hub-group-boosts-cross-border-business-in-jv-with-mexican-dray-carrier-5745355">Hub Group</a> have also ramped up investments in cross-border intermodal in recent months, introducing new services and partnerships aimed at capturing a growing share of freight moving between the US and Mexico. Union Pacific Railroad completed a pilot program this spring to speed up the handoff between Mexican and US crews by doing it inside UP’s Eagle Pass terminal rather than on the middle of the International Railway Bridge. Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

Schneider National said Friday its flagship Mexico Midwest Express (MMX) intermodal service with partner Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) is continuing to deliver strong results in 2025, offering faster transit times and higher on-time reliability than many cross-border alternatives despite congestion in other parts of CPKC’s network. The MMX service, launched two years ago, connects inland Mexican cities such as Monterrey and San Luis Potosí with Chicago via a single-line rail route. The service bypasses traditional interchange delays at the border, with two spans over the Laredo bridge and switching yards on each side of the border to handle crew changes. While Schneider did not disclose current shipment totals due to its quiet period ahead of the release of its second-quarter earnings, the company said MMX performance metrics through the first half of 2025 were strong, with average transit times of four days and a cargo theft rate of less than 0.02%. Schneider also said the on-time performance of MMX remains above 95%. The typical transit time from Monterrey to Chicago is about six or seven days. “Decreasing shipping time by even a few days matters to our customers because the faster products can get on the shelves, the faster those items can land in the hands of consumers,” Michael Baumgardt, Schneider’s senior vice president of intermodal, said in a statement. The Intermodal Association of North America (IANA) reported that railroads hauled a combined 86,000-plus domestic containers this year through May 31, a 21% increase compared with the same period a year earlier. Railroads hauled nearly 60,000 domestic containers to the Midwest during the same period, up 9% from a year earlier. Schneider is currently the only intermodal provider offering a true single-line cross-border solution from Mexico to the Midwest, eliminating any chance of delays caused by an interchange between two railroads. Schneider said service on the MMX has not deteriorated much since CPKC’s messy IT transition in May that affected service in Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. The exception is that some shippers have experienced lengthy delays moving cargo from Laredo to Chicago because the container dwell inside the Laredo yard is up 122% since early May compared with a year ago. Schneider rivals J.B. Hunt Transport Services and Hub Group have also ramped up investments in cross-border intermodal in recent months, introducing new services and partnerships aimed at capturing a growing share of freight moving between the US and Mexico. Union Pacific Railroad completed a pilot program this spring to speed up the handoff between Mexican and US crews by doing it inside UP’s Eagle Pass terminal rather than on the middle of the International Railway Bridge. Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

Schneider says MMX service delivering four-day Mexico-Chicago transit time

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">With two attacks on commercial vessels in recent days, including one that killed three mariners, any thought that the risk in the Red Sea was easing to the point the Suez route might be restored in the near future has vanished.</div>

With two attacks on commercial vessels in recent days, including one that killed three mariners, any thought that the risk in the Red Sea was easing to the point the Suez route might be restored in the near future has vanished.

<div class="phx-topic">With no attacks on shipping off the Yemeni coast since December — that is, until two strikes over the past three days — a feeling was taking hold among some ocean carriers that the threat posed by Houthi militants was greatly diminished. And as the threat diminished it would become more difficult for carriers to justify the diversions around southern Africa, which for the past 18 months have absorbed an estimated 10% of global capacity, extending transit times and putting carriers in a stronger position to absorb an influx of new capacity. <div class="wrapper-narrow float-right-element"><img src="/images/phoenix/6040921_0.1.jpg"></img></div>Now with two attacks in recent days, including one that killed three mariners, any thought that the risk was easing to the point the Suez route might be reopened in the near future has vanished. “The dynamic in the Red Sea has changed materially as compared to expectations roughly a month ago in which there had been a growing view that Red Sea transits would start to pick up following the US-Houthi agreement and the long period in which merchant ships had not been attacked,” Jefferies wrote on July 8. While the Houthi militia may have held fire for several months, the restraint should not be taken as a sign the group’s ability to strike is diminished. Although such a conclusion could be inferred from military setbacks experienced across the network of Iran-backed militia and states such as Syria, in reality, the Houthis remain a lethal force, as they showed this week, analysts say. “The most recent Houthi attacks … allow them to demonstrate that, unlike Iran and its other proxy groups in the region, they remain undeterred by the threat of US or Israeli military confrontation,” Jack Kennedy, head of Middle East and North Africa country risk at S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, told the Journal of Commerce Wednesday. Israel and the US have upped their strikes on rebels in Yemen in recent months. But without troops on the ground to uproot the rebels, Kennedy has been saying for more than a year that it would be extremely difficult to eliminate the group as a danger to shipping through aerial military action alone. “Houthi missile attack capabilities are highly decentralized across the territory they control,” Kennedy said. “These are unlikely to be fully replenished to levels in place prior to US-led and Israeli airstrikes, but seizures of weapons shipments in the Red Sea and the Houthis’ own industrial manufacturing capacity suggest that they will have been able to partially rebuild weapons stockpiles.” Kennedy added that the original spark for Houthi attacks on shipping — Israeli operations in Gaza — remains a core rationale for their strikes. “It is highly likely that attack attempts on vessels will continue while Israeli military operations in Gaza are ongoing,” he said. The result is an extended timeline, quite possibly into 2026, for any large-scale return to Suez routings. “With the developments over the past few days there is not much chance of a reversal back to a Suez routing for the major container lines in the short to medium term,” shipping analyst and Journal of Commerce contributor Lars Jensen wrote on LinkedIn this week. Added Kennedy: “We expect that Houthi attack activity will continue through 2025 at least.” <h3>Ongoing disruption post-COVID </h3>For ocean carriers who didn’t create the crisis and yet are largely immune from criticism for continuing the longer routings around Africa to protect their crews, ships and cargo, the crisis is part of a larger narrative of ongoing post-COVID-19 disruption, alongside basic supply and demand, underpinning market dynamics. Carriers face intense profit pressures over the next few years, with Drewry last month saying it expects industry operating profit to fall to $20 billion this year, down from over $50 billion in 2024. But the pressure would be much greater without the absorption of capacity due to the Red Sea attacks and resultant diversions. Maersk in May ruled out a return to normal Suez routings this year despite US President Donald Trump on May 6 saying the Houthis “have capitulated” and agreed to stop attacks on commercial shipping in the region. But as the new attacks clearly showed, the Houthis were just lying low, meaning the status quo of limited container ship transits through the Suez remains as entrenched as ever. Contact Peter Tirschwell at <a href="mailto:peter.tirschwell@spglobal.com">peter.tirschwell@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

With no attacks on shipping off the Yemeni coast since December — that is, until two strikes over the past three days — a feeling was taking hold among some ocean carriers that the threat posed by Houthi militants was greatly diminished. And as the threat diminished it would become more difficult for carriers to justify the diversions around southern Africa, which for the past 18 months have absorbed an estimated 10% of global capacity, extending transit times and putting carriers in a stronger position to absorb an influx of new capacity. Now with two attacks in recent days, including one that killed three mariners, any thought that the risk was easing to the point the Suez route might be reopened in the near future has vanished. “The dynamic in the Red Sea has changed materially as compared to expectations roughly a month ago in which there had been a growing view that Red Sea transits would start to pick up following the US-Houthi agreement and the long period in which merchant ships had not been attacked,” Jefferies wrote on July 8. While the Houthi militia may have held fire for several months, the restraint should not be taken as a sign the group’s ability to strike is diminished. Although such a conclusion could be inferred from military setbacks experienced across the network of Iran-backed militia and states such as Syria, in reality, the Houthis remain a lethal force, as they showed this week, analysts say. “The most recent Houthi attacks … allow them to demonstrate that, unlike Iran and its other proxy groups in the region, they remain undeterred by the threat of US or Israeli military confrontation,” Jack Kennedy, head of Middle East and North Africa country risk at S&P Global Market Intelligence, told the Journal of Commerce Wednesday. Israel and the US have upped their strikes on rebels in Yemen in recent months. But without troops on the ground to uproot the rebels, Kennedy has been saying for more than a year that it would be extremely difficult to eliminate the group as a danger to shipping through aerial military action alone. “Houthi missile attack capabilities are highly decentralized across the territory they control,” Kennedy said. “These are unlikely to be fully replenished to levels in place prior to US-led and Israeli airstrikes, but seizures of weapons shipments in the Red Sea and the Houthis’ own industrial manufacturing capacity suggest that they will have been able to partially rebuild weapons stockpiles.” Kennedy added that the original spark for Houthi attacks on shipping — Israeli operations in Gaza — remains a core rationale for their strikes. “It is highly likely that attack attempts on vessels will continue while Israeli military operations in Gaza are ongoing,” he said. The result is an extended timeline, quite possibly into 2026, for any large-scale return to Suez routings. “With the developments over the past few days there is not much chance of a reversal back to a Suez routing for the major container lines in the short to medium term,” shipping analyst and Journal of Commerce contributor Lars Jensen wrote on LinkedIn this week. Added Kennedy: “We expect that Houthi attack activity will continue through 2025 at least.” Ongoing disruption post-COVID For ocean carriers who didn’t create the crisis and yet are largely immune from criticism for continuing the longer routings around Africa to protect their crews, ships and cargo, the crisis is part of a larger narrative of ongoing post-COVID-19 disruption, alongside basic supply and demand, underpinning market dynamics. Carriers face intense profit pressures over the next few years, with Drewry last month saying it expects industry operating profit to fall to $20 billion this year, down from over $50 billion in 2024. But the pressure would be much greater without the absorption of capacity due to the Red Sea attacks and resultant diversions. Maersk in May ruled out a return to normal Suez routings this year despite US President Donald Trump on May 6 saying the Houthis “have capitulated” and agreed to stop attacks on commercial shipping in the region. But as the new attacks clearly showed, the Houthis were just lying low, meaning the status quo of limited container ship transits through the Suez remains as entrenched as ever. Contact Peter Tirschwell at peter.tirschwell@spglobal.com .

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