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<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The Federal Maritime Commission said that it needs more information about the new grouping of ocean carriers known as the Premier Alliance before the vessel-sharing agreement can begin in February on US trades. </div>

The Federal Maritime Commission said that it needs more information about the new grouping of ocean carriers known as the Premier Alliance before the vessel-sharing agreement can begin in February on US trades.

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<div class="phx-topic">The Federal Maritime Commission on Friday has halted Premier Alliance from becoming effective next week as scheduled, citing insufficient information on the alliance set to sail in February. The FMC said the proposed agreement from Ocean Network Express, HMM and Yang Ming “lacks sufficient detail to allow for a complete analysis of potential competitive impacts and whether the agreement fully complies with all statutory requirements.” The Premier Alliance on Friday released details of its <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/north-america-trade-to-dominate-premier-alliances-network-launch-in-february-5877233">new network</a>. Premier members had been partners in the THE Alliance with Hapag-Lloyd. But with Hapag-Lloyd’s decision to bolt THE Alliance in favor of joining Maersk in the 2M Cooperation, the three carriers <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/msc-strikes-asia-europe-slot-share-with-former-thea-members-5723585">banded together</a> in September under a new name and with a slot-sharing agreement in the trans-Pacific trade with Mediterranean Shipping Co. The FMC has a 45-day window from when it collects the information to issue the formal go-ahead for the Premier Alliance, and any shippers wishing to weigh in will be able to do so during a 15-day window that starts next week. Such requests for additional information from the FMC are common, with the Gemini Cooperation <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/fmc-wants-maersk-hapag-lloyd-to-provide-more-details-on-gemini-alliance-5192298">itself having received</a> one in July. The agency later determined there were no competitive impacts to Gemini but vowed to keep <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/fmc-wont-block-gemini-alliance-but-vows-tight-monitoring-5724939">an eye</a> on the new alliance. Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com ">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a> </div>

The Federal Maritime Commission on Friday has halted Premier Alliance from becoming effective next week as scheduled, citing insufficient information on the alliance set to sail in February. The FMC said the proposed agreement from Ocean Network Express, HMM and Yang Ming “lacks sufficient detail to allow for a complete analysis of potential competitive impacts and whether the agreement fully complies with all statutory requirements.” The Premier Alliance on Friday released details of its new network . Premier members had been partners in the THE Alliance with Hapag-Lloyd. But with Hapag-Lloyd’s decision to bolt THE Alliance in favor of joining Maersk in the 2M Cooperation, the three carriers banded together in September under a new name and with a slot-sharing agreement in the trans-Pacific trade with Mediterranean Shipping Co. The FMC has a 45-day window from when it collects the information to issue the formal go-ahead for the Premier Alliance, and any shippers wishing to weigh in will be able to do so during a 15-day window that starts next week. Such requests for additional information from the FMC are common, with the Gemini Cooperation itself having received one in July. The agency later determined there were no competitive impacts to Gemini but vowed to keep an eye on the new alliance. Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com

FMC halts Premier Alliance start for more information

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The Asia-North America trade will be featured on 13 of the initial 24 services inaugurated by the ONE-HMM-Yang Ming partnership.</div>

The Asia-North America trade will be featured on 13 of the initial 24 services inaugurated by the ONE-HMM-Yang Ming partnership.

<div class="phx-topic">The Asia-North America trade will be the cornerstone of the Premier Alliance's network when it launches its initial 24 services in February, according to schedules released Friday by alliance members Ocean Network Express (ONE) and HMM. The first tranche of services will cover four main east-west trades — trans-Pacific, Asia-Europe, Asia-Mediterranean and Asia-Middle East, the schedules showed. Taiwan’s Yang Ming Marine Transport is the third member of the Premier Alliance. Network documents released by ONE show the Premier Alliance will eventually grow to operate 34 services transiting via the Cape of Good Hope, with 29 services on the Red Sea/Suez Canal transit option. The alliance has not yet announced which routing it will choose for the February launch, although the Maersk/Hapag-Lloyd Gemini Cooperation <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/maersk-rules-out-suez-canal-routings-for-gemini-launch-5746470">has already opted to transit via southern Africa</a> given the still-unsettled security situation in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. The Asia-North America trade will dominate the Premier Alliance network whichever routing is selected, with 13 services out of the initial 24 focused on the Americas trade.The first sailing to the US West Coast will be on Feb. 3 when the 8,084-TEU Conti Conquest deployed on the Pacific Southwest 3 service departs Singapore. The first sailing to the US East Coast will be by the 13,870-TEU One Manchester operating the EC3 service that will depart Thailand’s Laem Chabang port on Feb. 8. Vessel schedules show nine services will operate to the West Coast in February, with four to the East Coast. Alliance carriers have not yet released details of March sailings from Asia. The alliance carriers said the launch of two further services — Pacific Southwest 5 (PS5) and Pacific Northwest 4 (PN4) — between Asia and the West Coast have been postponed until May; none of the carriers gave an explanation for the delay. Instead, the Premier Alliance will strengthen coverage of three other West Coast services with extra port calls. The Premier Alliance network also shows seven services on the Asia-Europe trade, of which six will be inaugurated in February, and seven on the Asia-Mediterranean/Middle East loop, with five launched in February. The number of services on the Asia-Europe and Asia-Mediterranean routes will remain the same whether the Cape of Good Hope or Red Sea/Suez Canal routing is chosen. The first Asia-Europe sailing by the new alliance will be made by the 8,212-TEU One Henry Hudson on the Far East Pacific 1 service that will depart Shimizu, Japan, on Feb. 4. The 15,908-TEU MSC Venice, deployed on the MD3 service, will inaugurate the first sailing on Premier’s Asia-Mediterranean trade when it departs Xingang in China on Feb. 2. Mediterranean Shipping Co. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/mscs-global-scale-enables-standalone-network-coverage-5726563">has a slot-swap arrangement</a> with the Premier Alliance. Contact Keith Wallis at <a href="mailto:keithwallis@hotmail.com">keithwallis@hotmail.com</a>. </div>

The Asia-North America trade will be the cornerstone of the Premier Alliance's network when it launches its initial 24 services in February, according to schedules released Friday by alliance members Ocean Network Express (ONE) and HMM. The first tranche of services will cover four main east-west trades — trans-Pacific, Asia-Europe, Asia-Mediterranean and Asia-Middle East, the schedules showed. Taiwan’s Yang Ming Marine Transport is the third member of the Premier Alliance. Network documents released by ONE show the Premier Alliance will eventually grow to operate 34 services transiting via the Cape of Good Hope, with 29 services on the Red Sea/Suez Canal transit option. The alliance has not yet announced which routing it will choose for the February launch, although the Maersk/Hapag-Lloyd Gemini Cooperation has already opted to transit via southern Africa given the still-unsettled security situation in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. The Asia-North America trade will dominate the Premier Alliance network whichever routing is selected, with 13 services out of the initial 24 focused on the Americas trade. The first sailing to the US West Coast will be on Feb. 3 when the 8,084-TEU Conti Conquest deployed on the Pacific Southwest 3 service departs Singapore. The first sailing to the US East Coast will be by the 13,870-TEU One Manchester operating the EC3 service that will depart Thailand’s Laem Chabang port on Feb. 8. Vessel schedules show nine services will operate to the West Coast in February, with four to the East Coast. Alliance carriers have not yet released details of March sailings from Asia. The alliance carriers said the launch of two further services — Pacific Southwest 5 (PS5) and Pacific Northwest 4 (PN4) — between Asia and the West Coast have been postponed until May; none of the carriers gave an explanation for the delay. Instead, the Premier Alliance will strengthen coverage of three other West Coast services with extra port calls. The Premier Alliance network also shows seven services on the Asia-Europe trade, of which six will be inaugurated in February, and seven on the Asia-Mediterranean/Middle East loop, with five launched in February. The number of services on the Asia-Europe and Asia-Mediterranean routes will remain the same whether the Cape of Good Hope or Red Sea/Suez Canal routing is chosen. The first Asia-Europe sailing by the new alliance will be made by the 8,212-TEU One Henry Hudson on the Far East Pacific 1 service that will depart Shimizu, Japan, on Feb. 4. The 15,908-TEU MSC Venice, deployed on the MD3 service, will inaugurate the first sailing on Premier’s Asia-Mediterranean trade when it departs Xingang in China on Feb. 2. Mediterranean Shipping Co. has a slot-swap arrangement with the Premier Alliance. Contact Keith Wallis at keithwallis@hotmail.com .

North America trade to dominate Premier Alliance’s network launch in February

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The extensive frontloading of imports that occurred this fall will keep cargo volumes modest this month, but the vagaries of labor negotiations and new tariffs threaten to disrupt the market in short order.</div>

The extensive frontloading of imports that occurred this fall will keep cargo volumes modest this month, but the vagaries of labor negotiations and new tariffs threaten to disrupt the market in short order.

<div class="phx-topic">The overheated trans–Pacific Ocean market is in the midst of a December respite after months of extensive frontloading, but can quickly become roiled again given the razor's-edge nature of longshore labor talks and the threats of new tariffs by the incoming Trump administration. “Once we get to January, whether it’s on the political front, the labor front, the alliance shake-up, everything is coming fast,” Sanjay Tejwani, CEO of consulting firm 365 Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. Also in the background is an early Lunar New Year, which begins Jan. 29 and will likely mean imports from Asia perk up again from early January ahead of the holiday factory closures that take place in the region. The import pop will take place mostly at West Coast ports. “The East Coast will drop off. The West Coast will remain robust,” a carrier executive said. Meantime, with plentiful vessel capacity scheduled and reduced blanking, sources say they expect continued downward pressure on spot rates that have been in retreat since July. Rates from Asia to the US West Coast were at $2,400 per FEU as of Thursday, down 4% on the week and sharply off the July peak of over $8,000, according to Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global. Christian Sur, executive vice president of ocean freight contract logistics at the forwarder Unique Logistics International, said there are three levels of spot/freight-all-kinds rates in the current market — “window” rates as high as $5,000 per FEU to the West Coast that some importers are willing to pay to ensure loading of their freight; the more prevalent market rates listed on the indexes, such as the $2,400 per FEU rate listed by Platts; and special “bullet” rates offered by some carriers in specific trade lanes based on demand. “Those (bullet) rates are in the low $2,000s, but they’re not across the board,” Sur said. Still, the market knows full well those rates are now at the mercy of a looming Jan. 15 deadline for the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) to reach agreement on a new master contract and head off a second strike at ports along the US East and Gulf coasts. A multiday ILA strike in January would sustain the diversion of cargo to West Coast ports and add to the complexity that importers already face in planning their supply chains. “My assessment is we are more likely to see a strike than not see a strike, and if we do get a strike, it will last longer,” Lars Jensen, CEO and partner at Vespucci Maritime, told a Journal of Commerce webinar Thursday. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="e7a65aab-9aac-4f07-9b74-1793746c01ef"></dynamic-object></div><h3>Navigating tariff uncertainty</h3>On the political front, importers are facing an increasingly tangible tariff threat in 2025 after President-elect Donald Trump’s plan to implement tariffs on foreign goods has <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/us-importers-dabbling-in-frontloading-ahead-of-new-tariff-threat-5821448">pushed some shippers to move cargo early.</a>The major uncertainty that importers will face after Trump takes office in January is what level of tariffs he will impose on which countries and when those tariffs will go into effect. “It’s fair to say nobody knows for sure,” Jensen said. It is likely that many retailers are preparing to frontload shipments if they haven’t already done so, especially if they have space in their warehouses to store the product until needed. Inventory levels at warehouses across the United States were generally high before the Black Friday in-store sales and Cyber Monday online sales, said Scott Weiss, vice president of technical sales-warehouse and distribution service for North America at A.P. Moeller-Maersk. The <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/cargo-push-to-continue-amid-mounting-market-pressures-zim-5821532">US inventory-to-retail sales ratio in September</a>, the most recent reading from the US Census Bureau, was elevated to levels not seen since before the pandemic buying spree began. “The sales were strong, so the inventory was here,” Weiss said. “However, as the inventory goes down through the holidays, space will open up for the frontloading of spring merchandise, which is occurring somewhat earlier than usual,” he said. Nevertheless, a consultant and former logistics manager at two national retailers said importers must assess inventory carrying costs and all the uncertainties surrounding tariffs as they review their frontloading plans. “There’s only so much you can frontload,” the source said. Many importers diversified supply chains after Trump’s initial round of tariffs that were implemented during his first term in office. “We successfully [addressed previous tariffs] through a combination of vendor collaboration, product reengineering and assortment changes, (and) moving product sourcing to other countries...,” said Five Below CEO Ken Bull. “We expect to utilize these tools and tactics again." <h3>Growing supply and stable demand</h3>Meanwhile, the US West Coast is poised for significant capacity injections in December and January, forecasted by maritime intelligence firm eeSea to reach a record 1.5 million TEUs in January. The company also forecasts a December blanking rate of about 1% on the East Coast and 6.7% for the West Coast. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="953f7c86-635d-4cba-9cb7-ffe651937158"></dynamic-object></div>If blanks and capacity estimates come to fruition at eeSea’s projected rates, actual capacity into the East Coast for December will climb by 27.6%, while West Coast capacity will drop 1.1%. Contact Bill Mongelluzzo at <a href="mailto:bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com">bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com</a>. Contact Laura Robb at <a href="mailto:laura.robb@spglobal.com">laura.robb@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

The overheated trans–Pacific Ocean market is in the midst of a December respite after months of extensive frontloading, but can quickly become roiled again given the razor's-edge nature of longshore labor talks and the threats of new tariffs by the incoming Trump administration. “Once we get to January, whether it’s on the political front, the labor front, the alliance shake-up, everything is coming fast,” Sanjay Tejwani, CEO of consulting firm 365 Logistics, told the Journal of Commerce. Also in the background is an early Lunar New Year, which begins Jan. 29 and will likely mean imports from Asia perk up again from early January ahead of the holiday factory closures that take place in the region. The import pop will take place mostly at West Coast ports. “The East Coast will drop off. The West Coast will remain robust,” a carrier executive said. Meantime, with plentiful vessel capacity scheduled and reduced blanking, sources say they expect continued downward pressure on spot rates that have been in retreat since July. Rates from Asia to the US West Coast were at $2,400 per FEU as of Thursday, down 4% on the week and sharply off the July peak of over $8,000, according to Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global. Christian Sur, executive vice president of ocean freight contract logistics at the forwarder Unique Logistics International, said there are three levels of spot/freight-all-kinds rates in the current market — “window” rates as high as $5,000 per FEU to the West Coast that some importers are willing to pay to ensure loading of their freight; the more prevalent market rates listed on the indexes, such as the $2,400 per FEU rate listed by Platts; and special “bullet” rates offered by some carriers in specific trade lanes based on demand. “Those (bullet) rates are in the low $2,000s, but they’re not across the board,” Sur said. Still, the market knows full well those rates are now at the mercy of a looming Jan. 15 deadline for the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) to reach agreement on a new master contract and head off a second strike at ports along the US East and Gulf coasts. A multiday ILA strike in January would sustain the diversion of cargo to West Coast ports and add to the complexity that importers already face in planning their supply chains. “My assessment is we are more likely to see a strike than not see a strike, and if we do get a strike, it will last longer,” Lars Jensen, CEO and partner at Vespucci Maritime, told a Journal of Commerce webinar Thursday. Navigating tariff uncertainty On the political front, importers are facing an increasingly tangible tariff threat in 2025 after President-elect Donald Trump’s plan to implement tariffs on foreign goods has pushed some shippers to move cargo early. The major uncertainty that importers will face after Trump takes office in January is what level of tariffs he will impose on which countries and when those tariffs will go into effect. “It’s fair to say nobody knows for sure,” Jensen said. It is likely that many retailers are preparing to frontload shipments if they haven’t already done so, especially if they have space in their warehouses to store the product until needed. Inventory levels at warehouses across the United States were generally high before the Black Friday in-store sales and Cyber Monday online sales, said Scott Weiss, vice president of technical sales-warehouse and distribution service for North America at A.P. Moeller-Maersk. The US inventory-to-retail sales ratio in September , the most recent reading from the US Census Bureau, was elevated to levels not seen since before the pandemic buying spree began. “The sales were strong, so the inventory was here,” Weiss said. “However, as the inventory goes down through the holidays, space will open up for the frontloading of spring merchandise, which is occurring somewhat earlier than usual,” he said. Nevertheless, a consultant and former logistics manager at two national retailers said importers must assess inventory carrying costs and all the uncertainties surrounding tariffs as they review their frontloading plans. “There’s only so much you can frontload,” the source said. Many importers diversified supply chains after Trump’s initial round of tariffs that were implemented during his first term in office. “We successfully [addressed previous tariffs] through a combination of vendor collaboration, product reengineering and assortment changes, (and) moving product sourcing to other countries...,” said Five Below CEO Ken Bull. “We expect to utilize these tools and tactics again." Growing supply and stable demand Meanwhile, the US West Coast is poised for significant capacity injections in December and January, forecasted by maritime intelligence firm eeSea to reach a record 1.5 million TEUs in January. The company also forecasts a December blanking rate of about 1% on the East Coast and 6.7% for the West Coast. If blanks and capacity estimates come to fruition at eeSea’s projected rates, actual capacity into the East Coast for December will climb by 27.6%, while West Coast capacity will drop 1.1%. Contact Bill Mongelluzzo at bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com . Contact Laura Robb at laura.robb@spglobal.com .

Trans-Pac settles into sedate December before New Year’s uncertainties

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Air cargo is seeing a greater volume of non-essential products to get around container shipping challenges, a move that comes at a substantial cost to shippers.</div>

Air cargo is seeing a greater volume of non-essential products to get around container shipping challenges, a move that comes at a substantial cost to shippers.

<div class="phx-topic">More than 12 months of double-digit air cargo demand growth that has outstripped available capacity is combining with constant waves of disruption to force shippers and their service providers to better plan their use of air freight. Usually regarded by ocean shippers as an emergency option, air cargo is seeing a greater volume of non-essential products to get around container shipping challenges, a move that comes at a substantial cost to shippers. Yngve Ruud, executive vice president of air logistics at Kuehne + Nagel, said 2024 has been a year in which resilience in supply chains has become even more important for logistics customers. “With demand outpacing capacity, coupled with the impact of strikes, the situation in the Red Sea, geopolitical events, and challenges with the amount of available aircraft due to a delay in delivery of new freighters and a rising average fleet age, customers have been looking to us to help them strengthen their supply chains,” Ruud told the Journal of Commerce Friday. Kuehne + Nagel has responded by working with its preferred carrier partners to secure space for customers, tightly managing its own freighter capacity and introducing a weekly charter between Shanghai and Frankfurt. Bogen Chi, director of air freight at forwarder C.H. Robinson, said in a recent market update that for critical just-in-time inventory such as pharmaceuticals and automotive goods, the preference for air freight was justified. “However, air capacity has increasingly been flooded by non-essential freight that doesn’t need to be moved through air, which is driving up costs and further straining available capacity,” he said. “Adjusting shipping strategies to include flexibility and a mix of modes will continue to be important in 2025,” Chi added. “Air forecasting is becoming increasingly difficult, so evaluating the freight that is truly urgent and worthy of air will be critical for risk mitigation and cost savings.” The financial consequences of being forced into the spot market at short notice were illustrated in data from the Baltic Air Index (BAI) this week that shows the average Shanghai to North Europe spot rate of $5.07 per kilogram was the highest in almost two years, while the Shanghai-North America rate of $6.61/kg is the highest so far this year. Rate benchmarking platform Xeneta shows global air freight volume in November recorded its 13th consecutive month of double-digit growth as load factors hit their highest level since April 2022. In the 11 months up to November, demand has increased by more than 12% while available capacity has grown 4.8% <h3>Avoiding supply chain chaos </h3>Better planning by forwarders and cargo owners to overcome that yawning supply-demand balance was highlighted by Xeneta’s chief air freight officer Niall van de Wouw, who said a maturity has emerged in the industry that has managed to avoid the supply-demand chaos seen during last year’s heavily imbalanced market. “What we witnessed in 2023 was a mess and a valuable lesson,” he said in a monthly air freight update Thursday. “In 2024, we are seeing those lessons put into practice.” In 2023, a slowdown in air cargo demand in the US and Europe corresponded with huge amounts of below-deck belly cargo space being injected into the Asia trade lanes as passenger travel ramped up following the lifting of pandemic restrictions. Forwarders <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/long-term-chartered-air-freight-capacity-depressing-market-dsv-5216162">with chartered capacity they were unable to fill</a> took a financial hit, but toward the end of the year when business ramped up, all available space was quickly filled and rates took off. “We are witnessing a much more grown-up air cargo market based on better allocation of resources and better terms and conditions between all parties involved,” van de Wouw noted. “The peak in 2023, in comparison, saw a shortage of capacity and rates going crazy, all at the expense of shippers.” The better use of planning in air cargo strategies was also noticed by Netherlands-based air freight analyst WorldACD. “The figures reflect worldwide air cargo markets that remain relatively strong, including ex-Asia Pacific, but where good advance planning by air cargo stakeholders looks set to avert a major peak season capacity crunch and very steep rate rises in the final weeks of the year,” the analyst noted in its November market report released this week. <h3>Sharp rise in Chinese production </h3>Manufacturing sector conditions in China, regarded as an early indicator of strength in the air cargo industry, improved significantly in November, according to the latest China Caixin Manufacturing PMI compiled by S&amp;P Global, parent company of the Journal of Commerce. Incoming new orders placed with Chinese manufacturers in November increased at the fastest rate in three-and-a-half years. Panelists in the PMI survey attributed reasons for the rise in new work to better underlying demand conditions in key markets, new product launches and stockpiling following the US presidential election. “External demand bounced back, due partly to some overseas clients upping purchases after the US election, pushing the indicator into positive territory for the first time in four months,” Wang Zhe, senior economist at Caixin Insight Group, said in his analysis of the November PMI result. The positive manufacturing indicator could not dispel concerns over a potential economic slowdown in China. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) noted in its latest monthly update that weak domestic activity may lead to reduced air cargo exports as lower consumer spending and deflationary pressures on producers decrease demand for imported goods and reduce outbound trade volume. As the air cargo industry hurtles toward the end of a solid year, Xeneta’s van de Wouw said despite the 10% increase in November volume compared with an extremely busy corresponding month last year, it was not an industry “out of control.” “The closing months of 2024 could have been very messy again for shippers, but we are not hearing that,” he said. “That’s not because the volumes are not there, or the flights are not full, it is because everything, overall, is being managed better.” Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

More than 12 months of double-digit air cargo demand growth that has outstripped available capacity is combining with constant waves of disruption to force shippers and their service providers to better plan their use of air freight. Usually regarded by ocean shippers as an emergency option, air cargo is seeing a greater volume of non-essential products to get around container shipping challenges, a move that comes at a substantial cost to shippers. Yngve Ruud, executive vice president of air logistics at Kuehne + Nagel, said 2024 has been a year in which resilience in supply chains has become even more important for logistics customers. “With demand outpacing capacity, coupled with the impact of strikes, the situation in the Red Sea, geopolitical events, and challenges with the amount of available aircraft due to a delay in delivery of new freighters and a rising average fleet age, customers have been looking to us to help them strengthen their supply chains,” Ruud told the Journal of Commerce Friday. Kuehne + Nagel has responded by working with its preferred carrier partners to secure space for customers, tightly managing its own freighter capacity and introducing a weekly charter between Shanghai and Frankfurt. Bogen Chi, director of air freight at forwarder C.H. Robinson, said in a recent market update that for critical just-in-time inventory such as pharmaceuticals and automotive goods, the preference for air freight was justified. “However, air capacity has increasingly been flooded by non-essential freight that doesn’t need to be moved through air, which is driving up costs and further straining available capacity,” he said. “Adjusting shipping strategies to include flexibility and a mix of modes will continue to be important in 2025,” Chi added. “Air forecasting is becoming increasingly difficult, so evaluating the freight that is truly urgent and worthy of air will be critical for risk mitigation and cost savings.” The financial consequences of being forced into the spot market at short notice were illustrated in data from the Baltic Air Index (BAI) this week that shows the average Shanghai to North Europe spot rate of $5.07 per kilogram was the highest in almost two years, while the Shanghai-North America rate of $6.61/kg is the highest so far this year. Rate benchmarking platform Xeneta shows global air freight volume in November recorded its 13th consecutive month of double-digit growth as load factors hit their highest level since April 2022. In the 11 months up to November, demand has increased by more than 12% while available capacity has grown 4.8% Avoiding supply chain chaos Better planning by forwarders and cargo owners to overcome that yawning supply-demand balance was highlighted by Xeneta’s chief air freight officer Niall van de Wouw, who said a maturity has emerged in the industry that has managed to avoid the supply-demand chaos seen during last year’s heavily imbalanced market. “What we witnessed in 2023 was a mess and a valuable lesson,” he said in a monthly air freight update Thursday. “In 2024, we are seeing those lessons put into practice.” In 2023, a slowdown in air cargo demand in the US and Europe corresponded with huge amounts of below-deck belly cargo space being injected into the Asia trade lanes as passenger travel ramped up following the lifting of pandemic restrictions. Forwarders with chartered capacity they were unable to fill took a financial hit, but toward the end of the year when business ramped up, all available space was quickly filled and rates took off. “We are witnessing a much more grown-up air cargo market based on better allocation of resources and better terms and conditions between all parties involved,” van de Wouw noted. “The peak in 2023, in comparison, saw a shortage of capacity and rates going crazy, all at the expense of shippers.” The better use of planning in air cargo strategies was also noticed by Netherlands-based air freight analyst WorldACD. “The figures reflect worldwide air cargo markets that remain relatively strong, including ex-Asia Pacific, but where good advance planning by air cargo stakeholders looks set to avert a major peak season capacity crunch and very steep rate rises in the final weeks of the year,” the analyst noted in its November market report released this week. Sharp rise in Chinese production Manufacturing sector conditions in China, regarded as an early indicator of strength in the air cargo industry, improved significantly in November, according to the latest China Caixin Manufacturing PMI compiled by S&P Global, parent company of the Journal of Commerce. Incoming new orders placed with Chinese manufacturers in November increased at the fastest rate in three-and-a-half years. Panelists in the PMI survey attributed reasons for the rise in new work to better underlying demand conditions in key markets, new product launches and stockpiling following the US presidential election. “External demand bounced back, due partly to some overseas clients upping purchases after the US election, pushing the indicator into positive territory for the first time in four months,” Wang Zhe, senior economist at Caixin Insight Group, said in his analysis of the November PMI result. The positive manufacturing indicator could not dispel concerns over a potential economic slowdown in China. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) noted in its latest monthly update that weak domestic activity may lead to reduced air cargo exports as lower consumer spending and deflationary pressures on producers decrease demand for imported goods and reduce outbound trade volume. As the air cargo industry hurtles toward the end of a solid year, Xeneta’s van de Wouw said despite the 10% increase in November volume compared with an extremely busy corresponding month last year, it was not an industry “out of control.” “The closing months of 2024 could have been very messy again for shippers, but we are not hearing that,” he said. “That’s not because the volumes are not there, or the flights are not full, it is because everything, overall, is being managed better.” Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Air freight users forced to better manage heavily imbalanced market

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Strong bookings out of Asia require more capacity than carriers can provide, which, according to Hapag-Lloyd, is having the predictable impact on prices.</div>

Strong bookings out of Asia require more capacity than carriers can provide, which, according to Hapag-Lloyd, is having the predictable impact on prices.

<div class="phx-topic">Average spot market rates from Asia to North Europe and the Mediterranean have continued their upward trajectory into December, driven by ocean carrier rate increases on Dec. 1 and sustained demand ahead of an early Lunar New Year that starts on Jan. 29. Data from Drewry shows rates from Shanghai to Rotterdam as of Thursday shot up 19% compared with the previous week to $4,775 per FEU, with Shanghai-Genoa rates rising 22% to $5,496/FEU. Average rates assessed by Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global, show Asia-North Europe rates edging up to $5,133/FEU and Asia-Mediterranean rates to $5,400/FEU as of Wednesday. Hapag-Lloyd CEO Rolf Habben Jansen said while the market environment remained difficult to read because of the longer voyages around the Cape of Good Hope, there was no sign of any slowdown in demand. “All the export trades out of Asia have been very strong,” he told reporters during a briefing this week. “The market is strong because of an early [Lunar] New Year and the change in the US presidency with some people pulling volume forward, so we expect volume to remain strong at least into the first quarter.” Habben Jansen said sailing around the Cape of Good Hope meant there was a lot more capacity required than carriers were able to provide. “We saw 11% growth of the fleet this year, but the TEU miles are up 18%, and that clearly illustrates why the idle fleet is so low and a lot of carriers are speeding up vessels,” he told reporters. The longer voyages around southern Africa to avoid the Red Sea are also influencing the Asia-Europe shipping patterns of global retailer Guess, according to Dennis Secor, interim CFO. “We have accelerated deliveries from our suppliers — not ordering more, just taking delivery sooner — and most of that inventory was in transit to our warehouses at the end of the third quarter,” Secor told analysts in an earnings call last week. <h3>Capitalizing on demand </h3>In this demand-driven environment, ocean carriers are moving to capitalize ahead of the early Lunar New Year and strengthen their negotiating position in annual contract talks, but the rate increases are having a limited effect. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/asia-europe-ocean-rates-up-sharply-ahead-of-carriers-dec-1-price-hikes-5833484">The Dec. 1 freight-all-kinds (FAK) rate announcements did raise prices</a> but fell short of the $6,000/FEU being sought by some of the carriers. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="de339caa-b0e9-47c7-874d-64f306214b57"></dynamic-object></div>Markus Panhauser, CEO of the Germany and Switzerland units at DHL Global Forwarding, said cargo bookings were strong going into November and December. “Several blank sailings in December are fueling the space constraints, but the main reason is the high booking volume by all industry sectors,” Panhauser told the Journal of Commerce in a recent interview. “We see very strong bookings for January as well, therefore we believe the short-term market will see further rate increases.” An Asia-based European shipper told the Journal of Commerce Friday he expected rates to decline after January as demand from weak European economies began to falter. “Shipping lines are trying to keep rates up with blank sailings, but my expectation is that after the Lunar New Year there will be low to no recovery on this trade lane,” the source said. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="632ac940-941a-4a18-9f62-382571774a7b"></dynamic-object></div>Carriers on Asia-North Europe have announced 86,952 TEUs of blank sailings in December, or 8% of the available capacity, and 65,630 TEUs in January, or 5.7% of the available capacity, according to maritime intelligence firm eeSea. The blanked capacity is significantly less than the 16% capacity cut in November. But new deliveries and fewer blanks will see actual capacity deployed in December on the North Asia trade rise almost 25% to just over 1 million TEUs in January. On Asia-Mediterranean trades, the actual capacity in December will increase 30% to an expected 776,307 TEUs in January, eeSea data shows. Carriers on the trade have announced December cuts of 8.3% of capacity, or 64,292 TEUs, and 12.6% blanks in January totaling 94,819 TEUs. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Average spot market rates from Asia to North Europe and the Mediterranean have continued their upward trajectory into December, driven by ocean carrier rate increases on Dec. 1 and sustained demand ahead of an early Lunar New Year that starts on Jan. 29. Data from Drewry shows rates from Shanghai to Rotterdam as of Thursday shot up 19% compared with the previous week to $4,775 per FEU, with Shanghai-Genoa rates rising 22% to $5,496/FEU. Average rates assessed by Platts, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global, show Asia-North Europe rates edging up to $5,133/FEU and Asia-Mediterranean rates to $5,400/FEU as of Wednesday. Hapag-Lloyd CEO Rolf Habben Jansen said while the market environment remained difficult to read because of the longer voyages around the Cape of Good Hope, there was no sign of any slowdown in demand. “All the export trades out of Asia have been very strong,” he told reporters during a briefing this week. “The market is strong because of an early [Lunar] New Year and the change in the US presidency with some people pulling volume forward, so we expect volume to remain strong at least into the first quarter.” Habben Jansen said sailing around the Cape of Good Hope meant there was a lot more capacity required than carriers were able to provide. “We saw 11% growth of the fleet this year, but the TEU miles are up 18%, and that clearly illustrates why the idle fleet is so low and a lot of carriers are speeding up vessels,” he told reporters. The longer voyages around southern Africa to avoid the Red Sea are also influencing the Asia-Europe shipping patterns of global retailer Guess, according to Dennis Secor, interim CFO. “We have accelerated deliveries from our suppliers — not ordering more, just taking delivery sooner — and most of that inventory was in transit to our warehouses at the end of the third quarter,” Secor told analysts in an earnings call last week. Capitalizing on demand In this demand-driven environment, ocean carriers are moving to capitalize ahead of the early Lunar New Year and strengthen their negotiating position in annual contract talks, but the rate increases are having a limited effect. The Dec. 1 freight-all-kinds (FAK) rate announcements did raise prices but fell short of the $6,000/FEU being sought by some of the carriers. Markus Panhauser, CEO of the Germany and Switzerland units at DHL Global Forwarding, said cargo bookings were strong going into November and December. “Several blank sailings in December are fueling the space constraints, but the main reason is the high booking volume by all industry sectors,” Panhauser told the Journal of Commerce in a recent interview. “We see very strong bookings for January as well, therefore we believe the short-term market will see further rate increases.” An Asia-based European shipper told the Journal of Commerce Friday he expected rates to decline after January as demand from weak European economies began to falter. “Shipping lines are trying to keep rates up with blank sailings, but my expectation is that after the Lunar New Year there will be low to no recovery on this trade lane,” the source said. Carriers on Asia-North Europe have announced 86,952 TEUs of blank sailings in December, or 8% of the available capacity, and 65,630 TEUs in January, or 5.7% of the available capacity, according to maritime intelligence firm eeSea. The blanked capacity is significantly less than the 16% capacity cut in November. But new deliveries and fewer blanks will see actual capacity deployed in December on the North Asia trade rise almost 25% to just over 1 million TEUs in January. On Asia-Mediterranean trades, the actual capacity in December will increase 30% to an expected 776,307 TEUs in January, eeSea data shows. Carriers on the trade have announced December cuts of 8.3% of capacity, or 64,292 TEUs, and 12.6% blanks in January totaling 94,819 TEUs. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

High demand leads to end-of-year surge in Asia-Europe ocean rates

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Rail executives assured investors that the availability of labor and other nearshoring opportunities in Mexico will keep North American trade strong, regardless of tariffs.</div>

Rail executives assured investors that the availability of labor and other nearshoring opportunities in Mexico will keep North American trade strong, regardless of tariffs.

<div class="phx-topic">Executives from two Class I railroads told investors this week that tariffs against Mexico and Canada threatened by President-elect Donald Trump would not significantly diminish the sourcing of products ranging from automobiles to white goods from the US’s neighbors to the north and south. The skilled-yet-cost-competitive Mexican labor force and accessibility to North American trade partners will continue to drive cross-border intermodal traffic growth from Mexico to United States and Canada, Keith Creel, CEO of Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC), said during a UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference in Florida. Union Pacific Railroad (UP) CEO Jim Vena said Trump’s threatened tariffs of 25% on goods from Mexico and Canada needed to be considered in light of Trump’s other tariff threats, particularly the harsher ones promised against China. Creel said the risks of overseas sourcing that were exposed during the COVID-19 pandemic haven’t changed. “Even if some tariffs get implemented, I still think there’s such an advantage, especially [for cargo moving from] Mexico to the US, that leads to a good outcome uniquely for our network as well because we serve all three countries,” he said Thursday. Creel also emphasized that tariff policy is a negotiation, and the outcome of talks between the leaders of Canada, Mexico and the US are unpredictable. Intermodal volumes to and from Mexico have <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/intermodal-underperforming-in-booming-mexico-us-market-5743845">declined this year</a>amid otherwise booming cross-border trade, but CPKC and UP told the Journal of Commerce freight activity has increased if automotive shipments are excluded, an industry that has struggled this year. CPKC and UP <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/north-american-railroads-have-ambitious-plans-to-win-share-from-trucks-in-mexico-5786501">have made several investments</a> in Mexico, including new intermodal services that run from central Mexico to the US Midwest and US Southeast. When Canadian Pacific sought to acquire Kansas City Southern, it pledged in 2021 to regulators that the merged railroad would remove the need for 64,000 trucks annually by providing a cross-border single-line train service from Mexico and northward. ”We just have to be ready for everything that could happen,” Vena said at the conference Wednesday. “If [cross-border Mexico trade] slows down, we have the capability to remove a lot of costs because they’re variable.” Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Executives from two Class I railroads told investors this week that tariffs against Mexico and Canada threatened by President-elect Donald Trump would not significantly diminish the sourcing of products ranging from automobiles to white goods from the US’s neighbors to the north and south. The skilled-yet-cost-competitive Mexican labor force and accessibility to North American trade partners will continue to drive cross-border intermodal traffic growth from Mexico to United States and Canada, Keith Creel, CEO of Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC), said during a UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference in Florida. Union Pacific Railroad (UP) CEO Jim Vena said Trump’s threatened tariffs of 25% on goods from Mexico and Canada needed to be considered in light of Trump’s other tariff threats, particularly the harsher ones promised against China. Creel said the risks of overseas sourcing that were exposed during the COVID-19 pandemic haven’t changed. “Even if some tariffs get implemented, I still think there’s such an advantage, especially [for cargo moving from] Mexico to the US, that leads to a good outcome uniquely for our network as well because we serve all three countries,” he said Thursday. Creel also emphasized that tariff policy is a negotiation, and the outcome of talks between the leaders of Canada, Mexico and the US are unpredictable. Intermodal volumes to and from Mexico have declined this year amid otherwise booming cross-border trade, but CPKC and UP told the Journal of Commerce freight activity has increased if automotive shipments are excluded, an industry that has struggled this year. CPKC and UP have made several investments in Mexico, including new intermodal services that run from central Mexico to the US Midwest and US Southeast. When Canadian Pacific sought to acquire Kansas City Southern, it pledged in 2021 to regulators that the merged railroad would remove the need for 64,000 trucks annually by providing a cross-border single-line train service from Mexico and northward. ”We just have to be ready for everything that could happen,” Vena said at the conference Wednesday. “If [cross-border Mexico trade] slows down, we have the capability to remove a lot of costs because they’re variable.” Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

Intermodal providers

Mexico sourcing competitive even with US tariff threat: CPKC, UP

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The cyclical nature of container shipping hasn’t changed, but the industry has reached a point in which the big carriers can look forward to good long-term returns on investment and outside investor parties looking for a way in, writes Jeremy Masters. </div>

The cyclical nature of container shipping hasn’t changed, but the industry has reached a point in which the big carriers can look forward to good long-term returns on investment and outside investor parties looking for a way in, writes Jeremy Masters.

<div class="phx-topic">The industry has, in recent years, produced some eye-popping profits. It hasn’t always been that way. For a very long period since the advent of containerization, carriers made very poor average returns on investment. The consolidation of the industry after the 2016 demise of Hanjin started to tip the scales more in favor of the carriers, but COVID-19 and the Red Sea crisis, with their attendant implications for capacity demand exceeding supply, opened the door to mega returns, albeit temporary. The cyclical nature of the business has not changed (and it would not be surprising to see red ink next year) but we have reached a point now where the big carriers can look forward to good long-term returns on investment and investor parties outside the industry taking note. There are limited routes to ownership, however. The most obvious observation is that the barriers to entry are now high to starting a new carrier, particularly if the aspirant wants to acquire new capacity and operate in the major east-west container trades. Even if a new carrier emerges, with the possible exception of the Premier alliance, it is unlikely that the other consortiums would entertain a new entrant. Slot charters may be possible, but a new entrant would have to bring sufficient tonnage to the table that Mediterranean Shipping Co. and the three consortiums would see it in their interest to cooperate. The bill for getting critical mass is big. Fourteen 24,000-TEU ships to support a single Asia to Europe loop will cost approximately $3.5 billion at current newbuilding prices. Secondhand ships could be targeted, but older vessels operating conventional fuels are going to be an increasing issue in many trades. The charter market is expensive and particularly constrained in the larger, newer built sizes. Then there is the matter of operating such ships. Running a carrier is a complex task and expertise will be required in general management, finance, marketing and sales, vessel operations, container management, etc. — some of it in multiple geographies. A major stake in an existing top 10 carrier is a possibility, avoiding an injection of new disruptive capacity. But if a controlling interest is desired as well as freedom from government encumbrances then the list of potential targets will likely be small or even nil. Of course, if red ink really starts to flow among the major carriers, the selling price will tend to be more reasonable and home country governments and other interests will have to be more flexible, although their preference will undoubtedly be to find a domestic solution. A more viable approach might then be to enter regional trades by launching a new carrier or buying existing ones, and then stealthily advance into a deep sea route. For example, an entrant could serve intra-Asia first before expanding to regional trades such as in intra-East Mediterranean and the Black Sea. A new entrant could then launch a deepsea service between the two trades once operations are stable and could go on to gradually connect more markets with the same formula. Current carriers have employed similar techniques but tended in the opposite direction, with the main trades driving regional acquisitions or setting up regional networks to strengthen the overall network. Venturing into the territory of the carriers outside the top 10 may be more financially manageable and more easily achievable, but it doesn’t necessarily offer a competitive edge. For the more risk-accepting investors, the route to more rapid penetration and high returns would be to bring a new business model to the market. One area that is ripe for a disrupter is the ongoing conflict between carriers and their clients in the selling/buying of assured future space at an assured rate. Any carrier that can present a reliable and flexible model that ties both sides in will attract not just regular business but also some degree of speculative hedging business. The bottom line then is that the biggest carriers are in a very strong position now, and it’s tough to see a new entrant to the industry — even a cash rich one — being able to buy into the top echelons. There is still room in the industry, however, to enter the regional trades in a substantive way and to build outward. Alternatively, for those prepared to challenge the existing commercial model there could be a very successful future. The joke used to be that you could make a small fortune in container shipping by starting with a big one. Today there really is the possibility of going the other way. Contact Jeremy Masters at <a href="jeremy@shippingmastershk.com">jeremy@shippingmastershk.com</a>. </div>

The industry has, in recent years, produced some eye-popping profits. It hasn’t always been that way. For a very long period since the advent of containerization, carriers made very poor average returns on investment. The consolidation of the industry after the 2016 demise of Hanjin started to tip the scales more in favor of the carriers, but COVID-19 and the Red Sea crisis, with their attendant implications for capacity demand exceeding supply, opened the door to mega returns, albeit temporary. The cyclical nature of the business has not changed (and it would not be surprising to see red ink next year) but we have reached a point now where the big carriers can look forward to good long-term returns on investment and investor parties outside the industry taking note. There are limited routes to ownership, however. The most obvious observation is that the barriers to entry are now high to starting a new carrier, particularly if the aspirant wants to acquire new capacity and operate in the major east-west container trades. Even if a new carrier emerges, with the possible exception of the Premier alliance, it is unlikely that the other consortiums would entertain a new entrant. Slot charters may be possible, but a new entrant would have to bring sufficient tonnage to the table that Mediterranean Shipping Co. and the three consortiums would see it in their interest to cooperate. The bill for getting critical mass is big. Fourteen 24,000-TEU ships to support a single Asia to Europe loop will cost approximately $3.5 billion at current newbuilding prices. Secondhand ships could be targeted, but older vessels operating conventional fuels are going to be an increasing issue in many trades. The charter market is expensive and particularly constrained in the larger, newer built sizes. Then there is the matter of operating such ships. Running a carrier is a complex task and expertise will be required in general management, finance, marketing and sales, vessel operations, container management, etc. — some of it in multiple geographies. A major stake in an existing top 10 carrier is a possibility, avoiding an injection of new disruptive capacity. But if a controlling interest is desired as well as freedom from government encumbrances then the list of potential targets will likely be small or even nil. Of course, if red ink really starts to flow among the major carriers, the selling price will tend to be more reasonable and home country governments and other interests will have to be more flexible, although their preference will undoubtedly be to find a domestic solution. A more viable approach might then be to enter regional trades by launching a new carrier or buying existing ones, and then stealthily advance into a deep sea route. For example, an entrant could serve intra-Asia first before expanding to regional trades such as in intra-East Mediterranean and the Black Sea. A new entrant could then launch a deepsea service between the two trades once operations are stable and could go on to gradually connect more markets with the same formula. Current carriers have employed similar techniques but tended in the opposite direction, with the main trades driving regional acquisitions or setting up regional networks to strengthen the overall network. Venturing into the territory of the carriers outside the top 10 may be more financially manageable and more easily achievable, but it doesn’t necessarily offer a competitive edge. For the more risk-accepting investors, the route to more rapid penetration and high returns would be to bring a new business model to the market. One area that is ripe for a disrupter is the ongoing conflict between carriers and their clients in the selling/buying of assured future space at an assured rate. Any carrier that can present a reliable and flexible model that ties both sides in will attract not just regular business but also some degree of speculative hedging business. The bottom line then is that the biggest carriers are in a very strong position now, and it’s tough to see a new entrant to the industry — even a cash rich one — being able to buy into the top echelons. There is still room in the industry, however, to enter the regional trades in a substantive way and to build outward. Alternatively, for those prepared to challenge the existing commercial model there could be a very successful future. The joke used to be that you could make a small fortune in container shipping by starting with a big one. Today there really is the possibility of going the other way. Contact Jeremy Masters at jeremy@shippingmastershk.com .

New entrants have few paths into container shipping

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">It’s hard to see a world where AI isn’t a necessary component for financial durability in a sector that will always grapple with the volatility of freight rates and the ebbs and flows of demand and volumes. </div>

It’s hard to see a world where AI isn’t a necessary component for financial durability in a sector that will always grapple with the volatility of freight rates and the ebbs and flows of demand and volumes.

<div class="phx-topic">The last two years have been characterized by flat demand, volatile rates and increased costs in the logistics industry. But executives looking at data and comparing it with the pre-COVID era should bear in mind that one thing is vastly different this time around: We’re in the throes of a new technological wave around artificial intelligence (AI) that sets the stage for a meaningfully different environment of business building. AI has dominated discussions across industries in the last two years as buyers seek to separate signal from noise. This has sparked both enthusiasm and skepticism. Is AI in supply chain management merely a temporary trend, or does it possess the potential for lasting impact? Moreover, which AI applications are most likely to transform supply chain operations in the long run? At a supply chain conference earlier this year, I asked a room of about 200 executives how many were using generative AI in their everyday jobs. Almost every single hand went up. What was once a new, scary technology is proving to provide operational leverage in a period where margins are under secular pressure. Among service-intensive logistics services providers (LSPs) such as forwarders and freight brokers, AI is proving to be a valuable asset for coping with a litany of freight operations and back-office tasks. It turns out this tooling can help increase productivity in a way that reduces the cost to serve, or the expense required to execute a shipment. While it’s early days, we’re seeing harsh skepticism now turning into praise as early indicators of AI’s return on investment (ROI) are hard to ignore in an environment where companies have typically managed long-term margins through phases of retrenching and expansion. Given the service orientation of the supply chain, sales enablement is a key area of focus. We know of one upstart who has developed their own AI voice agent to handle preliminary sales calls on behalf of insurance brokers placing trucking liability policies. That is expected to improve sales conversions by at least 25% when rolled out across the organization. In another instance, a large freight broker mentioned cost reductions of 20% by having a voice agent qualify inbound calls from truckers looking for freight. This helps carrier sales professionals focus only on the higher-value carriers they believe fit their network and the needs of their shipper-clients. <h3>Understanding the promise of AI </h3>Lastly, emerging new business models are galvanizing the disruptive nature of AI. The adage among investors is to dub this new business model as “service-as-software.” It simply means that software now does the work rather than enabling it. Business models reflect that by simply “charging for the work,” allowing companies to bill directly for automated processes. That’s a shift akin to the previous migration to software-as-a-service (SaaS), but with an operational twist. Take customs brokerage and trade compliance, for example. Regardless of your politics, it’s clear that trade regulation will increase in complexity in the years to come. But the supply of customs brokers has been relatively flat, with more than 5,000 retirements expected by the end of the decade. Customs brokerage businesses are hard to manage to profitability and are often a loss-leader to cross-sell other freight services given how loyal customers can be to their customs broker. We’ve seen several startups develop an AI-native ability to broker customs at gross margins in excess of 50% and handle volumes per employee two to three times greater than incumbents. They’re also able to tie that to trade compliance workflows so organizations can make more informed decisions around sourcing and distribution to manage expenses while staying within the parameters of the law. We’re still in the early innings of understanding the promise AI brings to the supply chain, as well as how to develop and scale key processes around its capabilities. The thing that’s clear to me is that we cannot view the business environment and operational best practices of a bygone era as the baseline for the future. AI is something that’s here to stay and brings with it a large promise for an industry as service-heavy as supply chain. Data from these early deployments suggests that smaller teams can handle more volume without forsaking customer outcomes. If this continues, it’s hard to see a world where AI isn’t a necessary component for financial durability in a sector that will always grapple with the volatility of rates and the ebbs and flows of demand and freight volumes. Contact Santosh Sankar at <a href="mailto:santosh@dynamo.vc ">santosh@dynamo.vc</a>.</div>

The last two years have been characterized by flat demand, volatile rates and increased costs in the logistics industry. But executives looking at data and comparing it with the pre-COVID era should bear in mind that one thing is vastly different this time around: We’re in the throes of a new technological wave around artificial intelligence (AI) that sets the stage for a meaningfully different environment of business building. AI has dominated discussions across industries in the last two years as buyers seek to separate signal from noise. This has sparked both enthusiasm and skepticism. Is AI in supply chain management merely a temporary trend, or does it possess the potential for lasting impact? Moreover, which AI applications are most likely to transform supply chain operations in the long run? At a supply chain conference earlier this year, I asked a room of about 200 executives how many were using generative AI in their everyday jobs. Almost every single hand went up. What was once a new, scary technology is proving to provide operational leverage in a period where margins are under secular pressure. Among service-intensive logistics services providers (LSPs) such as forwarders and freight brokers, AI is proving to be a valuable asset for coping with a litany of freight operations and back-office tasks. It turns out this tooling can help increase productivity in a way that reduces the cost to serve, or the expense required to execute a shipment. While it’s early days, we’re seeing harsh skepticism now turning into praise as early indicators of AI’s return on investment (ROI) are hard to ignore in an environment where companies have typically managed long-term margins through phases of retrenching and expansion. Given the service orientation of the supply chain, sales enablement is a key area of focus. We know of one upstart who has developed their own AI voice agent to handle preliminary sales calls on behalf of insurance brokers placing trucking liability policies. That is expected to improve sales conversions by at least 25% when rolled out across the organization. In another instance, a large freight broker mentioned cost reductions of 20% by having a voice agent qualify inbound calls from truckers looking for freight. This helps carrier sales professionals focus only on the higher-value carriers they believe fit their network and the needs of their shipper-clients. Understanding the promise of AI Lastly, emerging new business models are galvanizing the disruptive nature of AI. The adage among investors is to dub this new business model as “service-as-software.” It simply means that software now does the work rather than enabling it. Business models reflect that by simply “charging for the work,” allowing companies to bill directly for automated processes. That’s a shift akin to the previous migration to software-as-a-service (SaaS), but with an operational twist. Take customs brokerage and trade compliance, for example. Regardless of your politics, it’s clear that trade regulation will increase in complexity in the years to come. But the supply of customs brokers has been relatively flat, with more than 5,000 retirements expected by the end of the decade. Customs brokerage businesses are hard to manage to profitability and are often a loss-leader to cross-sell other freight services given how loyal customers can be to their customs broker. We’ve seen several startups develop an AI-native ability to broker customs at gross margins in excess of 50% and handle volumes per employee two to three times greater than incumbents. They’re also able to tie that to trade compliance workflows so organizations can make more informed decisions around sourcing and distribution to manage expenses while staying within the parameters of the law. We’re still in the early innings of understanding the promise AI brings to the supply chain, as well as how to develop and scale key processes around its capabilities. The thing that’s clear to me is that we cannot view the business environment and operational best practices of a bygone era as the baseline for the future. AI is something that’s here to stay and brings with it a large promise for an industry as service-heavy as supply chain. Data from these early deployments suggests that smaller teams can handle more volume without forsaking customer outcomes. If this continues, it’s hard to see a world where AI isn’t a necessary component for financial durability in a sector that will always grapple with the volatility of rates and the ebbs and flows of demand and freight volumes. Contact Santosh Sankar at santosh@dynamo.vc .

Supply chains embrace the AI takeover to slash costs

Container spot rates are produced by S&P Global Platts editors who are engaging with market participants to assess the current value of freight-of-all-kinds (FAK) rates on major container trades. The rates include bunker adjustment factors, general rate increases and emergency rare restoration. They also include low-sulfur, equipment imbalance, and repositioning surcharges. The rates exclude terminal handling, port security, overweight container, delivery, and detention and demurrage charges. [Platts](https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights)

North Asia to UK and Mediterranean container spot rates (Platts)

Platts North Asia to Mediterranean and UK Continent Weekly Gateway

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">A host of factors can raise transit times on the 11,000-plus-kilometer rail network, undermining the trust of cargo owners that is a crucial selling point of the Asia-Europe connection.</div>

A host of factors can raise transit times on the 11,000-plus-kilometer rail network, undermining the trust of cargo owners that is a crucial selling point of the Asia-Europe connection.

<div class="phx-topic">VIENNA — The ability to deliver on promised schedules remains one of the main challenges facing rail transport providers on the so-called middle corridor connecting China and Europe, according to executives at an intercontinental rail conference here last week. But on-time performance was the point of an iceberg of underlying reliability challenges, attendees at the European Silk Road Summit in Vienna were told. ”As long as everything goes well, the customer is happy, but if something goes wrong, the customer will start to doubt rail more than they would do for sea freight,” said Alona Toprak, managing director at DB Cargo Eurasia. Containerized freight on the middle corridor uses multiple cargo handovers — from rail to ferry to road and back to rail — with delays at key modal change points. Cross-border customs issues can add to delays, with volatile rates and equipment imbalances all placing service level promises under pressure. Still, meeting those promises is a selling point for the intercontinental rail network that cannot be compromised, logistics executives warned delegates. Thomas Kargl, director of Eurasian logistics provider Smartlog, told the summit that rail services from China to Europe had always suffered from a lack of reliability and it took much consulting time with shippers to change that impression. “If I say we are running between 12 and 15 days, we must hold that time,” Kargl said. “To attract customers, they must recognize that rail is available and is reliable. We are talking about containers valued at hundreds of thousands of dollars, so an increase of the transit time by a few days will tie up a lot of capital.” Toprak agreed and said customers of high-value products moving by rail had high expectations and were “very demanding.” DB Cargo Eurasia introduced an express rail service from China to Europe at the end of 2023 and expanded the offering this year. Toprak said it was now possible to offer shippers a nine-day transit time from China to the Malaszewicze rail hub in Poland via the northern corridor that was attractive to e-commerce, but it also raised the reliability bar even higher. ”The lead time of nine days is a real option for e-commerce, but if we promise nine days, we must stick to it because if not the customer will be penalized, lose money and then the service will not be trusted,” she said. <h3>Peak time delays </h3>There are several hurdles that must be overcome by service providers offering fast rail transit times, especially on the middle corridor with the intermodal requirements and the repeated border crossings, Kargl noted. China’s railways have a different gauge to those used in Europe that requires cargo to be transhipped at the China-Kazakhstan border and again at European entry points. At peak times, that can lead to delays. The service providers must also manage other factors, including the documentation for shipments and ensuring it is communicated electronically to all customs authorities along the route. In addition, sufficient equipment and access to rolling stock need to be guaranteed, while the provision of advance bookings and cargo closing times need to be ensured. “If you manage this all in a smooth way, the nine days transit will be reachable 80% of the time,” Kargl said. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, containerized trade on the northern route from China to North Europe largely dried up. Most of the cargo was moved to ocean, but forwarders and rail freight operators began testing the middle corridor that runs from China through Central Asia, across the Caspian and Black seas, and on into Turkey or Eastern Europe. While some cargo has returned to the northern route through Russia, concerns over sanctions breaches and moral opposition to contributing revenue to Russian Railways is limiting volume. However, Kelvin Tang, the head of global cross-border business and multimodal leader at CEVA Logistics, said shipping containerized cargo on the middle corridor was not just a political solution, it was a product offering. “If customers can accept 60 days transit, they will choose ocean, but if they want 30 days or less, they need to choose rail,” Tang told the summit. “If rail service becomes more stable with reliable lead times and competitive prices, it will become more attractive.” Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

VIENNA — The ability to deliver on promised schedules remains one of the main challenges facing rail transport providers on the so-called middle corridor connecting China and Europe, according to executives at an intercontinental rail conference here last week. But on-time performance was the point of an iceberg of underlying reliability challenges, attendees at the European Silk Road Summit in Vienna were told. ”As long as everything goes well, the customer is happy, but if something goes wrong, the customer will start to doubt rail more than they would do for sea freight,” said Alona Toprak, managing director at DB Cargo Eurasia. Containerized freight on the middle corridor uses multiple cargo handovers — from rail to ferry to road and back to rail — with delays at key modal change points. Cross-border customs issues can add to delays, with volatile rates and equipment imbalances all placing service level promises under pressure. Still, meeting those promises is a selling point for the intercontinental rail network that cannot be compromised, logistics executives warned delegates. Thomas Kargl, director of Eurasian logistics provider Smartlog, told the summit that rail services from China to Europe had always suffered from a lack of reliability and it took much consulting time with shippers to change that impression. “If I say we are running between 12 and 15 days, we must hold that time,” Kargl said. “To attract customers, they must recognize that rail is available and is reliable. We are talking about containers valued at hundreds of thousands of dollars, so an increase of the transit time by a few days will tie up a lot of capital.” Toprak agreed and said customers of high-value products moving by rail had high expectations and were “very demanding.” DB Cargo Eurasia introduced an express rail service from China to Europe at the end of 2023 and expanded the offering this year. Toprak said it was now possible to offer shippers a nine-day transit time from China to the Malaszewicze rail hub in Poland via the northern corridor that was attractive to e-commerce, but it also raised the reliability bar even higher. ”The lead time of nine days is a real option for e-commerce, but if we promise nine days, we must stick to it because if not the customer will be penalized, lose money and then the service will not be trusted,” she said. Peak time delays There are several hurdles that must be overcome by service providers offering fast rail transit times, especially on the middle corridor with the intermodal requirements and the repeated border crossings, Kargl noted. China’s railways have a different gauge to those used in Europe that requires cargo to be transhipped at the China-Kazakhstan border and again at European entry points. At peak times, that can lead to delays. The service providers must also manage other factors, including the documentation for shipments and ensuring it is communicated electronically to all customs authorities along the route. In addition, sufficient equipment and access to rolling stock need to be guaranteed, while the provision of advance bookings and cargo closing times need to be ensured. “If you manage this all in a smooth way, the nine days transit will be reachable 80% of the time,” Kargl said. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, containerized trade on the northern route from China to North Europe largely dried up. Most of the cargo was moved to ocean, but forwarders and rail freight operators began testing the middle corridor that runs from China through Central Asia, across the Caspian and Black seas, and on into Turkey or Eastern Europe. While some cargo has returned to the northern route through Russia, concerns over sanctions breaches and moral opposition to contributing revenue to Russian Railways is limiting volume. However, Kelvin Tang, the head of global cross-border business and multimodal leader at CEVA Logistics, said shipping containerized cargo on the middle corridor was not just a political solution, it was a product offering. “If customers can accept 60 days transit, they will choose ocean, but if they want 30 days or less, they need to choose rail,” Tang told the summit. “If rail service becomes more stable with reliable lead times and competitive prices, it will become more attractive.” Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Schedule reliability remains key challenge for China-Europe rail

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Hapag-Lloyd has contracted with a Chinese energy producer for green methanol to power five 10,100-TEU chartered ships with methanol dual-fuel propulsion systems.</div>

Hapag-Lloyd has contracted with a Chinese energy producer for green methanol to power five 10,100-TEU chartered ships with methanol dual-fuel propulsion systems.

<div class="phx-topic">Chinese energy producer Goldwind will be supplying both members of the <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/hapag-lloyd-says-gemini-alliance-cargo-bookings-to-open-dec-3-5846853">Gemini Cooperation</a> with green methanol from 2026. Hapag-Lloyd will receive 250,000 tons per year in a deal signed this week while its partner <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/maersk-inks-new-methanol-sourcing-deal-with-chinese-supplier-5234419">Maersk will get 500,000 tons a year</a> according to an agreement made last year. The green methanol will consist of a blend of bio- and e-methanol and enable a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction of at least 70%, Hapag-Lloyd said in a statement Thursday. “With the agreement, we are securing a significant proportion of our requirements for green fuels,” said Hapag-Lloyd CEO Rolf Habben Jansen. “This will bring us an important step closer to our goal of achieving net-zero fleet operations by 2045.” Hapag-Lloyd and Seaspan are converting five 10,100-TEU charter ships to a methanol dual-fuel propulsion system that will be ready in 2026. The carrier also made a recent order for 24 dual-fuel vessels capable of sailing on liquefied natural gas (LNG). By 2030, Hapag-Lloyd aims to reduce the absolute GHG emissions of the fleet by about one-third compared with 2022. Compared with conventional fuels, the ordered quantity of green methanol can save a total of up to 400,000 metric tons of CO2e emissions in fleet operations per year. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="1a054077-7728-4ffd-abb8-b7aff17c3235"></dynamic-object></div>Hapag-Lloyd’s decarbonization credentials were burnished by its recent <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/hapag-lloyd-wins-asia-europe-green-shipping-tender-to-launch-next-year-5240949">winning of a tender from the Zero Emission Maritime Buyers Alliance</a> (ZEMBA) aimed at fast-tracking commercial deployment of green shipping services at scale to create a competitive market for those services. About 70% of the total 1.7 million TEUs of ship orders made so far this year were for ships capable of sailing on methanol, LNG or hydrogen, according to Sea-web, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global. The need to keep fuel options open and avoid being locked into one pathway was illustrated <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/maersks-lng-order-hedges-bet-on-green-fuel-technology-ceo-5703200">in a recent Maersk order for dual-fuel vessels totaling 800,000 TEUs</a> capable of sailing on methanol as well as LNG. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Chinese energy producer Goldwind will be supplying both members of the Gemini Cooperation with green methanol from 2026. Hapag-Lloyd will receive 250,000 tons per year in a deal signed this week while its partner Maersk will get 500,000 tons a year according to an agreement made last year. The green methanol will consist of a blend of bio- and e-methanol and enable a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction of at least 70%, Hapag-Lloyd said in a statement Thursday. “With the agreement, we are securing a significant proportion of our requirements for green fuels,” said Hapag-Lloyd CEO Rolf Habben Jansen. “This will bring us an important step closer to our goal of achieving net-zero fleet operations by 2045.” Hapag-Lloyd and Seaspan are converting five 10,100-TEU charter ships to a methanol dual-fuel propulsion system that will be ready in 2026. The carrier also made a recent order for 24 dual-fuel vessels capable of sailing on liquefied natural gas (LNG). By 2030, Hapag-Lloyd aims to reduce the absolute GHG emissions of the fleet by about one-third compared with 2022. Compared with conventional fuels, the ordered quantity of green methanol can save a total of up to 400,000 metric tons of CO2e emissions in fleet operations per year. Hapag-Lloyd’s decarbonization credentials were burnished by its recent winning of a tender from the Zero Emission Maritime Buyers Alliance (ZEMBA) aimed at fast-tracking commercial deployment of green shipping services at scale to create a competitive market for those services. About 70% of the total 1.7 million TEUs of ship orders made so far this year were for ships capable of sailing on methanol, LNG or hydrogen, according to Sea-web, a sister company of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global. The need to keep fuel options open and avoid being locked into one pathway was illustrated in a recent Maersk order for dual-fuel vessels totaling 800,000 TEUs capable of sailing on methanol as well as LNG. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Hapag-Lloyd joins Maersk in Chinese methanol supply deal

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">NYSHEX is making a renewed effort to solve the fundamental problem of ocean container supply chains, promoting the use of index-linked contracts to build contract integrity and certainty. </div>

NYSHEX is making a renewed effort to solve the fundamental problem of ocean container supply chains, promoting the use of index-linked contracts to build contract integrity and certainty.

<div class="phx-topic">From its origins over a decade ago, NYSHEX, founded and led by Gordon Downes, has always aimed to advance a simple yet stubbornly elusive concept in container shipping: integrity of contracts. Incomprehensible to outsiders, signed contracts — many pages long and vetted by lawyers — are unenforceable when confronted by the real-world forces of supply and demand and volatile pricing. “The big problem that prompted us to start NYSHEX is contracts in our industry don’t perform,” Downes told the Journal of Commerce. In many cases, the shipper or carrier fails to live up to the contract terms, whether that be a carrier unwilling to provide vessel space or a shipper steering cargo to other carriers or non-vessel-operating common carriers (NVOs) to obtain a lower rate, thus failing to deliver the agreed-upon volumes. Triggers for failed contracts occur when spot rates deviate significantly from contract rates and carriers blank sailings or omit ports on short notice due to changes in demand, creating shortfalls in available capacity. Downes said ocean container contracts have just a 65% fulfillment rate. Although such practices undermine trust and stress relationships to the breaking point, no scenario results in serious consequences for the offending party. Litigation or government enforcement remain rare outside of a tiny handful of highly publicized cases. Originally, NYSHEX, founded by Downes in 2015 “to solve the problem of poor contract fulfillment,” aimed to create an exchange whereby mutually committed — meaning enforceable — contracts could be executed by shippers, NVOs and carriers under full approval of the US Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) and the auspices of the NYSHEX brand. To the limited extent the market availed itself of such contracts, they worked: in the vast majority of cases, both parties lived up to what they committed to. Still, the penalties meant to ensure compliance “can put a lot of strain on relationships, especially when the spot rates are so volatile,” Downes said. But while the concept found some uptake, demand was cyclical and could not overcome at scale the market forces that, in peculiar container shipping mentality, frequently lead each side to seek near-term pricing gain, if it is to be had, at the expense of longer-term certainty of space or volumes. Whether it’s an obsessively procurement-based mindset on the part of shippers in seeking to drive prices lower whenever possible, or carriers seeing better opportunities on the spot market, sacrifices in pursuit of certainty have yet to take hold on an industrywide level. If there was ever a moment for that mentality to be challenged, it was the pandemic, which showed shippers how quickly and painfully vessel space can dry up in a crisis. And yet the problem remains. <h3>New technology and products</h3>But NYSHEX persevered with its original vision, even if that meant applying it in new ways. The company developed technology that enables parties to monitor contract performance, drawing them into a real-time collaborative environment where issues can be identified and resolved on the spot, versus after the fact during increasingly infrequent quarterly performance reviews. In other words, if contracts can be mutually monitored in real time, the odds are better the parties will comply. Now NYSHEX is delving yet further into solving the fundamental problem: promoting the use of index-linked contracts as a way to build contract integrity and certainty into ocean container supply chains. In announcing a Series C funding round last week, NYSHEX made a strong statement that there is traction in the idea, however long it may have been around. The funding round attracted participation from existing investors, including Goldman Sachs, and new ones, including the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE), a leading exchange operator which will calculate the new indices based on actual rates paid by shippers. Other container freight rate indices tend to be based on traditional price discovery performed by analysts. It said it will launch a new series of indices and tools to administer index-linked contracts. The question, then, is whether index-linked contracts are able to move the industry forward in addressing the continuing core problem of a lack of contract integrity. Linking pricing to an index means shippers’ rates face less risk of falling out of the range of prevailing rates and cargo being left behind at origin. But there is less budget certainty which clashes with annual budgeting cycles at beneficial cargo owners (BCOs). And while there are futures contracts traded, such as an active market of day traders on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE China), which launched trading in a Containerized Freight Index Futures Contract in 2023, they haven’t built the liquidity or credibility to be of interest to BCO finance teams who would engage in hedging against adverse movements in ocean rates. And carriers have been outspoken about their declining interest in container freight futures. Index-linked contracts have a history of going in and out of fashion; they fell into fashion during the pandemic when shippers were desperate for space but fell out once the extremes of the disruptions were over. Also holding back index-linked contracts are shipper and carrier lawyers needing to come to agree on terms and conditions, frequently a difficult hurdle to overcome. Now, amid a continuing tight market fueled by Red Sea reroutings and robust 2024 volumes, there is more talk of using index-linked contracts. But just as it was before, that could just be cyclical. Contact Peter Tirschwell at <a href="mailto:peter.tirschwell@spglobal.com">peter.tirschwell@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

From its origins over a decade ago, NYSHEX, founded and led by Gordon Downes, has always aimed to advance a simple yet stubbornly elusive concept in container shipping: integrity of contracts. Incomprehensible to outsiders, signed contracts — many pages long and vetted by lawyers — are unenforceable when confronted by the real-world forces of supply and demand and volatile pricing. “The big problem that prompted us to start NYSHEX is contracts in our industry don’t perform,” Downes told the Journal of Commerce. In many cases, the shipper or carrier fails to live up to the contract terms, whether that be a carrier unwilling to provide vessel space or a shipper steering cargo to other carriers or non-vessel-operating common carriers (NVOs) to obtain a lower rate, thus failing to deliver the agreed-upon volumes. Triggers for failed contracts occur when spot rates deviate significantly from contract rates and carriers blank sailings or omit ports on short notice due to changes in demand, creating shortfalls in available capacity. Downes said ocean container contracts have just a 65% fulfillment rate. Although such practices undermine trust and stress relationships to the breaking point, no scenario results in serious consequences for the offending party. Litigation or government enforcement remain rare outside of a tiny handful of highly publicized cases. Originally, NYSHEX, founded by Downes in 2015 “to solve the problem of poor contract fulfillment,” aimed to create an exchange whereby mutually committed — meaning enforceable — contracts could be executed by shippers, NVOs and carriers under full approval of the US Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) and the auspices of the NYSHEX brand. To the limited extent the market availed itself of such contracts, they worked: in the vast majority of cases, both parties lived up to what they committed to. Still, the penalties meant to ensure compliance “can put a lot of strain on relationships, especially when the spot rates are so volatile,” Downes said. But while the concept found some uptake, demand was cyclical and could not overcome at scale the market forces that, in peculiar container shipping mentality, frequently lead each side to seek near-term pricing gain, if it is to be had, at the expense of longer-term certainty of space or volumes. Whether it’s an obsessively procurement-based mindset on the part of shippers in seeking to drive prices lower whenever possible, or carriers seeing better opportunities on the spot market, sacrifices in pursuit of certainty have yet to take hold on an industrywide level. If there was ever a moment for that mentality to be challenged, it was the pandemic, which showed shippers how quickly and painfully vessel space can dry up in a crisis. And yet the problem remains. New technology and products But NYSHEX persevered with its original vision, even if that meant applying it in new ways. The company developed technology that enables parties to monitor contract performance, drawing them into a real-time collaborative environment where issues can be identified and resolved on the spot, versus after the fact during increasingly infrequent quarterly performance reviews. In other words, if contracts can be mutually monitored in real time, the odds are better the parties will comply. Now NYSHEX is delving yet further into solving the fundamental problem: promoting the use of index-linked contracts as a way to build contract integrity and certainty into ocean container supply chains. In announcing a Series C funding round last week, NYSHEX made a strong statement that there is traction in the idea, however long it may have been around. The funding round attracted participation from existing investors, including Goldman Sachs, and new ones, including the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE), a leading exchange operator which will calculate the new indices based on actual rates paid by shippers. Other container freight rate indices tend to be based on traditional price discovery performed by analysts. It said it will launch a new series of indices and tools to administer index-linked contracts. The question, then, is whether index-linked contracts are able to move the industry forward in addressing the continuing core problem of a lack of contract integrity. Linking pricing to an index means shippers’ rates face less risk of falling out of the range of prevailing rates and cargo being left behind at origin. But there is less budget certainty which clashes with annual budgeting cycles at beneficial cargo owners (BCOs). And while there are futures contracts traded, such as an active market of day traders on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE China), which launched trading in a Containerized Freight Index Futures Contract in 2023, they haven’t built the liquidity or credibility to be of interest to BCO finance teams who would engage in hedging against adverse movements in ocean rates. And carriers have been outspoken about their declining interest in container freight futures. Index-linked contracts have a history of going in and out of fashion; they fell into fashion during the pandemic when shippers were desperate for space but fell out once the extremes of the disruptions were over. Also holding back index-linked contracts are shipper and carrier lawyers needing to come to agree on terms and conditions, frequently a difficult hurdle to overcome. Now, amid a continuing tight market fueled by Red Sea reroutings and robust 2024 volumes, there is more talk of using index-linked contracts. But just as it was before, that could just be cyclical. Contact Peter Tirschwell at peter.tirschwell@spglobal.com .

NYSHEX keeps core vision while evolving in volatile container shipping market

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The world of LTL is slow to embrace change. Business anachronisms permeate current supply chain processes. These vestiges of the way things used to work define the LTL freight transportation procurement process of many modern shippers.David Knuth, logistics specialist at IEWC, a global supplier of cable and wire based in Wisconsin, is happy to have modernized the RFP process, automating the entire LTL bidding procedure with Bid$ense, SMC³’s automated truckload and LTL freight transportation sourcing solution. But when prompted, he can still recall what once was.In his previous job, a large part of his duties were consumed by creating an intermodal bid package for carriers. In a spreadsheet, Knuth detailed the company’s volumes lane by lane, taking care to delete any errant keystrokes or misleading data. He would then email out the information to each carrier, taking time to respond to detailed technical questions about the spreadsheet data. Finally, he had to compile all the results, create an algorithm that would compare the carriers on each lane, and award the business.“It was a huge undertaking. It took about four months to do,” Knuth said of the old process. “It was almost a full-time job for that part of the year, every year.”In his new job at IEWC, he sat down with Bid$ense on day one and was amazed at the capabilities. Knuth had never before used a bid tool. SMC³’s latest versions of Bid$ense automate the process even further, taking truckload and LTL RFPs entirely online. The tool draws on RFP best-practices protocols to streamline the bidding communication process, enabling bidding carriers to respond accurately and promptly to shipper requests. The solution also does all the distribution work automatically, electronically submitting shipper bid data to carriers based on their actual service capabilities and performance records. Carriers are alerted with timely prompts for RFP deliverables, so shippers aren’t waiting by the phone for responses.Another benefit of automating the process is the data-cleansing assistance. When Knuth sent spreadsheets to carriers, data errors might cloud the bidding process; he might have to resend data or simply accept a price that did not truly reflect the costs of doing business. Data cleansing is incredibly beneficial, he said.The spreadsheet technique also made bidding analysis an onerous task. Since Bid$ense automates and streamlines the entire RFP process, intensive examination is now simple. SMC³ knows that each bid has more than one best outcome. With uniform responses from each carrier, shippers can quickly rank results and create an unlimited quantity of what-if scenarios to make the optimal procurement decision.Jesse Burnett of Central Garden &amp; Pet experiences many of the same benefits. Founded in 1980, Central Garden &amp; Pet has spent the last three decades growing from a small garden supply company to a provider of a range of products from dog chews and bird seed to soil supplements and natural insecticides. For much of its life, the company shipped these disparate goods via LTL and truckload carriers to retailers throughout the country, relying on each business unit to negotiate directly with their freight transportation providers. This arrangement worked fairly well for a small company, but as Central Garden &amp; Pet expanded, leadership decided to consolidate decision making.Burnett helped centralize the transportation decision making in 2015 with SMC³’s Bid$ense. Before Bid$ense, every business unit operated independently as far as negotiating with carriers.“There were a lot of different things just floating around,” he said. “We didn’t have master agreements in place; no national pricing at all. The pricing from carriers was just all over the place, depending on where you were.”The transformations he saw with Bid$ense were immediate. Burnett has been using the tool about every other year since its implementation at the company. Central Garden and Pet’s $19.6 million 2019 LTL bid saved the company just more than 9 percent when compared to its historical average. For Burnett, though, bid automation extends far beyond savings.“We knew that we weren’t getting the best pricing offer from our carriers just because nothing was centralized,” he continued. “We knew that if we combined everything from all these business units and paired it with one corporate offering, then it would drive some cost benefit with it.”When the company initially decided to centralize bid procurement, executives researched a number of different methodologies and technologies. In the end, though, Burnett found that Bid$ense was both widespread and well known, and that his carrier partners already knew how to use the application. Burnett also highlighted the data-cleansing process as a major benefit, saying the rigorous process ensures that carriers always return the best price.“It definitely has helped drive savings,” he said. “Any time you go out there and you drive that competitiveness with the carriers and they know they’re in a bid environment, it seems to sharpen their pencils.”Transportation procurement is an integral part of the modern supply chain. With Bid$ense, shippers can develop a strategic implementation plan that saves them time and money, but also helps them create strong relationships with their carrier partners. These carriers appreciate the solution’s data-cleansing process; when carriers receive a complete shipment history and future volume forecast, they don’t have to guess on pricing. Carriers that receive more data from shippers get a complete picture of that shipper’s freight, allowing them to accurately plan instead of simply preparing for the worst-case scenario. Clean data presented through an automated system can lead to both bigger shipment savings and a lasting partnership between carrier and customer.Whether customers are looking to streamline over-the-road transportation bidding by automating the RFP process or create an entirely new, centralized sourcing process, Bid$ense has the analytical horsepower to get the job done.SMC³ 2020 Customer Case Study

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Shippers save money, time with automated transportation bidding tools

If there’s one immutable truth in the world of logistics, it’s this: LTL is an inherently complex form of transportation. Tariffs, rates, DIM weights, transit times — it’s enough to confuse even seasoned logistics professionals. The solution to this knowledge gap has historically been on-the-job training or university supply chain education, but for a variety of reasons there is now a pressing need for third-party, remote LTL training that prepares logistics workers for transportation success. Global Scope Can Overlook Local Intricacies In the past, professionals looking to move into a supply chain career learned about the basics of supply chain from universities. However, many of these college supply chain programs are now global in scope, focusing on worldwide supply chain management instead of the intricacies of specialized domestic transportation. And even these programs, which used to be widespread, are becoming less common. LTL is not an industry of broad-brush strokes; supply chain professionals really need a pointillistic understanding of the logistics of LTL in order to excel in the industry. Accelerating Need for Dedicated LTL Education This lack of specified training put the onus on employers to prepare new hires with the LTL knowledge needed to do their jobs. Dedicated LTL study is a necessity, not a luxury. At the same time, changes in LTL and the broader supply chain world are accelerating. The reliance on e-commerce has ballooned since the start of the pandemic, and last-mile LTL shipments and related e-commerce strains on the supply chain won’t diminish once social distancing abates. That genie isn’t going back into the bottle. So supply chain employers need logistics workers that are fully versed in all aspects of the industry, ready to solve unique shipping and delivery problems based on their extensive supply chain knowledge But why care about LTL? It’s been reported that some shippers in today’s world are no longer concerned with what mode is used to ship their goods. A Multimodal Approach Ensures On-Time Delivery This mode agnosticism means supply chain stakeholders have to be well versed in all modes of transportation. As unforeseen weather events and other disruptions, such as protests, become more common, savvy logistics employees will need to be armed with familiarity of all modes, not just the most popular, to ensure that freight is delivered on time, without damage, and in the most financially expedient way possible. Offerings like SMC³’s LTL online education courses cover a wide range of topics from LTL basics and operations to more advanced concepts like pricing analytics and transportation law. The company also has plans to continually refresh content, adding new expert presenters and taking the feedback of students to make the courses even better as time goes on. Learn more about&nbsp;<a href="https://logisticstrainingcenter.com/smc3-courses/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">SMC³’s LTL Online Education program</a>&nbsp;and view the 2021 hybrid schedule, featuring live industry experts,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.smc3.com/onlinelearning2021/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">here.</a>

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<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The union representing 45,000 longshore workers along the East and Gulf coasts is seeking to block technology that management says is critical for land-constrained ports to handle larger ships. </div>

The union representing 45,000 longshore workers along the East and Gulf coasts is seeking to block technology that management says is critical for land-constrained ports to handle larger ships.

<div class="phx-topic">Rail-mounted gantry cranes (RMGs) at container terminals have emerged as the deciding factor for the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) in whether they will agree to a new master contract that avoids another port strike in January. The union was unable to block the introduction of RMGs at two East Coast ports under three previous contracts but sees their further usage as a line in the sand in current contract talks. The semi-automated RMGs — which have been in use in the US since 2007 — are seen as the key method for land-constrained terminals, particularly those near urban East Coast ports, to expand. And now they are at the heart of another longshore labor dispute in North America. In a statement Monday, ILA Executive Vice President Dennis Daggett singled out RMGs for being “at the center of this [current] impasse” with the US Maritime Alliance (USMX) over resuming talks for <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ila-usmx-agree-on-new-wage-offer-and-contract-extension-that-reopens-ports-5741882">a new master contract before a Jan. 15 deadline when the existing contract extension expires</a>. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ila-breaks-off-contract-talks-accuses-usmx-of-semi-automation-push-5810392">The union broke off talks with the USMX</a> over what it said was the employer group’s push for “semi automation” language in the new contract. Daggett said the equipment has failed to show it can outperform individual longshore machine operators. And in addition to taking away jobs, the RMGs, he said, are a target for hacking. He cast the fight against RMGs as existential for a union that under two previous administrations did not challenge the equipment’s rollout at the ports of Norfolk, Virginia, and Bayonne, New Jersey. “The ILA is not against progress, innovation, or modernization, but we cannot support technology that jeopardizes jobs, threatens national security, and puts the future of the workforce at risk,” Daggett said. “This is a pivotal moment in our history,” he added. “The decisions we make today will determine the future for generations to come.” No talks between the ILA and USMX are currently scheduled. <h3>‘Sold the ILA a vision’ </h3>RMGs, two of which will straddle a long row of stacked containers, move boxes forward and backward between the berth and truck lanes. As truckers enter the terminal, the RMG picks out the box from each stack and delivers it to the front of the row for mounting on chassis, or in reverse for loading operations. Stacks can also be “groomed” by RMGs overnight to push containers for morning delivery to the front of the row. RMGs allow for much denser container yards as less space is required for the operation of straddle carriers or rubber tire gantry cranes, which require an individual operator on the machine. In contrast, the RMG is operated remotely from an office, with an operator also capable of operating several RMGs at once depending on volume. RMG operations are considered safer as fewer workers are required in the yard around rolling machinery. Breaks and shift changes can also be done faster as RMG operators just move away from desks rather than yard equipment. Maersk’s APM Terminals subsidiary was the first to roll out RMG technology in the US when it began developing the Portsmouth marine terminal in Norfolk. Opened in 2007, APM Portsmouth, which had design capacity of 1.5 million TEUs on 291 acres of land, originally had 30 RMG cranes and six ship-to-shore cranes. The Portsmouth terminal was developed years earlier under the then-current 1996–2001 master contract between the USMX and ILA under its previous president John Bowers. That contract had no language about technology. Daggett said in his Monday statement that “under a different ILA administration, the employers introduced semi-automated RMGs at a greenfield terminal on the East Coast.” “They sold the ILA a vision that this new terminal would create thousands of jobs,” Daggett said. “It was a loophole that came at a cost to ILA members and their families.” Increasingly aware of the potential for job losses, the union’s 2004–2010 master contract was the first to contain terms addressing technology usage at container terminals. Those original contract terms did not outright bar marine terminals from implementing new technology but require management to notify the affected local and the international longshore union about the new technology and work with the unions to mitigate any job losses. The ILA has the right to contest any technology implementation through a grievance process before a three-member panel comprised of ILA and USMX representatives and an arbitrator. <h3>Canal expansion drove RMG growth on East Coast </h3>APM eventually sold Portsmouth in 2014 to Alinda Capital Partners and a UK-based pension fund, which renamed it the Virginia International Gateway (VIG). The buyers said at the time the acquisition of the VIG was due to its “<a href="https://www.joc.com/article/apm-terminals-facility-in-virginia-to-be-sold-5195342">modern design and high levels of automation, which ensure that the facility will be a key component of the port’s infrastructure now and in the future</a>.” In 2016, as the Panama Canal’s expansion opened up the East Coast to larger ships, the Virginia Port Authority, which operates the VIG, began installing another 26 RMGs and four new ship-to-shore cranes that increased its capacity by another 500,000 TEUs. About that time, Virginia also began to convert the south berth of the nearby Norfolk International Terminal into an RMG operation. In 2014, Global Container Terminals (GCT) debuted the installation of 20 RMGs as part of a $325 million expansion of its Bayonne container terminal that also added 70 acres to its 100-acre footprint. The expansion more than doubled Bayonne’s effective capacity from 435,000 container lifts to 1.1 million container lifts per year, making what Bayonne’s executives called the most “<a href="https://www.joc.com/article/nys-global-terminal-ila-in-arbitration-5219271">technologically advanced terminal in the United States.</a>” The rollout at Bayonne was not entirely without controversy, though. The ILA and GCT had to enter arbitration over whether <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/nys-global-terminal-ila-in-arbitration-5219271">the union had jurisdiction over an RMG safety device that required truckers to press a button that they were in a safe area when a container was being loaded</a>. The 2012–2018 master contract negotiated by ILA President Harold Daggett, Dennis’ father, did not contain an outright ban on any type of automation at marine terminals or the RMGs at Bayonne. However, the language around technology implementation became stricter, requiring that any automation project at a marine terminal go before a 10-member committee of ILA and USMX members that would study the workforce effects of automation. By the time of the 2018–2024 contract, the ILA negotiated a prohibition on full automation at ports but still left the question of semi-automation technology open to collective bargaining. “We had learned from these mistakes,” Dennis Daggett said. “Under new leadership, the ILA secured workforce protections and guarantees, ensuring that automation would no longer be implemented without consideration of its impact on jobs. These agreements set clear limits on how far technology could go in replacing human labor.” <h3>Ports ‘must evolve’ </h3>The USMX, however, has laid out an opposite stance, seeing the ability to implement new technology as critical for land-constrained US ports and their workers to remain competitive. It, too, noted that RMGs were allowed under previous agreements and allowed one unidentified terminal to double its container throughput. “Port operations must evolve, and embracing modern technology is critical to this evolution,” the USMX said in a statement Tuesday in response to the ILA’s statement. “Due to the lack of available new land in most ports, the only way for US East and Gulf coast ports to handle more volume is to densify terminals.” “USMX is not, nor has it ever been, seeking to eliminate jobs, but to simply implement and maintain the use of equipment and technology already allowed under the current contract agreement and already widely in use, including at some USMX ports,” it added. Daggett said that the densification argument is designed to deflect from the job losses stemming from RMGs, which still require longshore workers at either end to move containers from the ship or onto chassis. Daggett said there’s no evidence that terminals with RMG technology are more efficient, adding that RMGs face the risk of hacking attacks due to their reliance on communications networks rather than longshore workers inside an operator’s cab. His warning comes after the ports of <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/port-of-houston-aims-for-thursday-reopening-after-gate-outage-5249163">Houston</a> and <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/sc-ports-chief-outlines-plans-for-charleston-to-hit-10-million-teu-mark-5749894">Charleston</a> experienced multi-day gate outages that have gone mostly unexplained. “This isn’t about safety or productivity, it’s about job elimination,” he said. “The ILA has proven through data and real-world operations that RMGs are not more productive than traditional equipment operated by human workers.” Since their rollout, the VIG now has 56 RMGs and can handle 2.2 million TEUs per year on approximately the same amount of land it had since 2007. Virginia’s NIT now has 96 RMGs that allow it to handle 3.6 million TEUs per year on some 378 acres of land. GCT Bayonne handles about 1 million TEUs per year with its 20 RMGs. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/gct-adding-berth-for-ultra-large-ships-to-new-jersey-terminal-5224198">A third berth that will open in 2025</a> also means additional RMGs at the site that will further increase its capacity. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/cma-cgms-ny-nj-home-offers-it-southeast-asia-trade-growth-saade-5226190">CMA CGM purchased GCT Bayonne last year, citing its efficiency</a>. A New Jersey terminal management source who asked not to be identified said that it’s not a matter of RMG operations being more efficient, but rather that it allows them to make the best use of available land and keep up with other operators. Maher Terminals, the largest privately operated marine terminal on the East Coast, uses over 200 straddle carriers operated individually to move over 3 million TEUs per year. But it has 450 acres of land to do so. The Bayonne terminal only moves one-third of that volume, but it does so on one-third of the land mass. “If you look at man-hours per lift, there’s very little difference,” the source said. RMGs have also been implemented at <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/us-ports-eye-more-automation-as-discharges-from-large-vessels-intensify-5213519">the fully automated Long Beach Container Terminal on the US West Coast</a>, which has been the target of longshore union criticisms over productivity. <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/centerm-terminal-expansion-gives-vancouver-critical-boost-in-capacity-5227056">DP World has also rolled out RMG technology at its Centerm facility in Vancouver</a>, following a similar rollout of RMGs at the nearby GCT Deltaport facility in 2020. Longshore foremen at the Port of Vancouver, however, <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/dp-worlds-centerm-project-at-heart-of-employer-union-dispute-in-vancouver-5225162">have unsuccessfully tried to negotiate a new staffing agreement with DP World</a> over the RMG introduction, resulting in a port-wide lockout that ended as <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/bc-ports-to-reopen-but-longshore-union-plans-challenge-to-back-to-work-order-5810473">both sides have been forced by Canada’s government into arbitration</a>. Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com ">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

Rail-mounted gantry cranes (RMGs) at container terminals have emerged as the deciding factor for the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) in whether they will agree to a new master contract that avoids another port strike in January. The union was unable to block the introduction of RMGs at two East Coast ports under three previous contracts but sees their further usage as a line in the sand in current contract talks. The semi-automated RMGs — which have been in use in the US since 2007 — are seen as the key method for land-constrained terminals, particularly those near urban East Coast ports, to expand. And now they are at the heart of another longshore labor dispute in North America. In a statement Monday, ILA Executive Vice President Dennis Daggett singled out RMGs for being “at the center of this [current] impasse” with the US Maritime Alliance (USMX) over resuming talks for a new master contract before a Jan. 15 deadline when the existing contract extension expires . The union broke off talks with the USMX over what it said was the employer group’s push for “semi automation” language in the new contract. Daggett said the equipment has failed to show it can outperform individual longshore machine operators. And in addition to taking away jobs, the RMGs, he said, are a target for hacking. He cast the fight against RMGs as existential for a union that under two previous administrations did not challenge the equipment’s rollout at the ports of Norfolk, Virginia, and Bayonne, New Jersey. “The ILA is not against progress, innovation, or modernization, but we cannot support technology that jeopardizes jobs, threatens national security, and puts the future of the workforce at risk,” Daggett said. “This is a pivotal moment in our history,” he added. “The decisions we make today will determine the future for generations to come.” No talks between the ILA and USMX are currently scheduled. ‘Sold the ILA a vision’ RMGs, two of which will straddle a long row of stacked containers, move boxes forward and backward between the berth and truck lanes. As truckers enter the terminal, the RMG picks out the box from each stack and delivers it to the front of the row for mounting on chassis, or in reverse for loading operations. Stacks can also be “groomed” by RMGs overnight to push containers for morning delivery to the front of the row. RMGs allow for much denser container yards as less space is required for the operation of straddle carriers or rubber tire gantry cranes, which require an individual operator on the machine. In contrast, the RMG is operated remotely from an office, with an operator also capable of operating several RMGs at once depending on volume. RMG operations are considered safer as fewer workers are required in the yard around rolling machinery. Breaks and shift changes can also be done faster as RMG operators just move away from desks rather than yard equipment. Maersk’s APM Terminals subsidiary was the first to roll out RMG technology in the US when it began developing the Portsmouth marine terminal in Norfolk. Opened in 2007, APM Portsmouth, which had design capacity of 1.5 million TEUs on 291 acres of land, originally had 30 RMG cranes and six ship-to-shore cranes. The Portsmouth terminal was developed years earlier under the then-current 1996–2001 master contract between the USMX and ILA under its previous president John Bowers. That contract had no language about technology. Daggett said in his Monday statement that “under a different ILA administration, the employers introduced semi-automated RMGs at a greenfield terminal on the East Coast.” “They sold the ILA a vision that this new terminal would create thousands of jobs,” Daggett said. “It was a loophole that came at a cost to ILA members and their families.” Increasingly aware of the potential for job losses, the union’s 2004–2010 master contract was the first to contain terms addressing technology usage at container terminals. Those original contract terms did not outright bar marine terminals from implementing new technology but require management to notify the affected local and the international longshore union about the new technology and work with the unions to mitigate any job losses. The ILA has the right to contest any technology implementation through a grievance process before a three-member panel comprised of ILA and USMX representatives and an arbitrator. Canal expansion drove RMG growth on East Coast APM eventually sold Portsmouth in 2014 to Alinda Capital Partners and a UK-based pension fund, which renamed it the Virginia International Gateway (VIG). The buyers said at the time the acquisition of the VIG was due to its “ modern design and high levels of automation, which ensure that the facility will be a key component of the port’s infrastructure now and in the future .” In 2016, as the Panama Canal’s expansion opened up the East Coast to larger ships, the Virginia Port Authority, which operates the VIG, began installing another 26 RMGs and four new ship-to-shore cranes that increased its capacity by another 500,000 TEUs. About that time, Virginia also began to convert the south berth of the nearby Norfolk International Terminal into an RMG operation. In 2014, Global Container Terminals (GCT) debuted the installation of 20 RMGs as part of a $325 million expansion of its Bayonne container terminal that also added 70 acres to its 100-acre footprint. The expansion more than doubled Bayonne’s effective capacity from 435,000 container lifts to 1.1 million container lifts per year, making what Bayonne’s executives called the most “ technologically advanced terminal in the United States. ” The rollout at Bayonne was not entirely without controversy, though. The ILA and GCT had to enter arbitration over whether the union had jurisdiction over an RMG safety device that required truckers to press a button that they were in a safe area when a container was being loaded . The 2012–2018 master contract negotiated by ILA President Harold Daggett, Dennis’ father, did not contain an outright ban on any type of automation at marine terminals or the RMGs at Bayonne. However, the language around technology implementation became stricter, requiring that any automation project at a marine terminal go before a 10-member committee of ILA and USMX members that would study the workforce effects of automation. By the time of the 2018–2024 contract, the ILA negotiated a prohibition on full automation at ports but still left the question of semi-automation technology open to collective bargaining. “We had learned from these mistakes,” Dennis Daggett said. “Under new leadership, the ILA secured workforce protections and guarantees, ensuring that automation would no longer be implemented without consideration of its impact on jobs. These agreements set clear limits on how far technology could go in replacing human labor.” Ports ‘must evolve’ The USMX, however, has laid out an opposite stance, seeing the ability to implement new technology as critical for land-constrained US ports and their workers to remain competitive. It, too, noted that RMGs were allowed under previous agreements and allowed one unidentified terminal to double its container throughput. “Port operations must evolve, and embracing modern technology is critical to this evolution,” the USMX said in a statement Tuesday in response to the ILA’s statement. “Due to the lack of available new land in most ports, the only way for US East and Gulf coast ports to handle more volume is to densify terminals.” “USMX is not, nor has it ever been, seeking to eliminate jobs, but to simply implement and maintain the use of equipment and technology already allowed under the current contract agreement and already widely in use, including at some USMX ports,” it added. Daggett said that the densification argument is designed to deflect from the job losses stemming from RMGs, which still require longshore workers at either end to move containers from the ship or onto chassis. Daggett said there’s no evidence that terminals with RMG technology are more efficient, adding that RMGs face the risk of hacking attacks due to their reliance on communications networks rather than longshore workers inside an operator’s cab. His warning comes after the ports of Houston and Charleston experienced multi-day gate outages that have gone mostly unexplained. “This isn’t about safety or productivity, it’s about job elimination,” he said. “The ILA has proven through data and real-world operations that RMGs are not more productive than traditional equipment operated by human workers.” Since their rollout, the VIG now has 56 RMGs and can handle 2.2 million TEUs per year on approximately the same amount of land it had since 2007. Virginia’s NIT now has 96 RMGs that allow it to handle 3.6 million TEUs per year on some 378 acres of land. GCT Bayonne handles about 1 million TEUs per year with its 20 RMGs. A third berth that will open in 2025 also means additional RMGs at the site that will further increase its capacity. CMA CGM purchased GCT Bayonne last year, citing its efficiency . A New Jersey terminal management source who asked not to be identified said that it’s not a matter of RMG operations being more efficient, but rather that it allows them to make the best use of available land and keep up with other operators. Maher Terminals, the largest privately operated marine terminal on the East Coast, uses over 200 straddle carriers operated individually to move over 3 million TEUs per year. But it has 450 acres of land to do so. The Bayonne terminal only moves one-third of that volume, but it does so on one-third of the land mass. “If you look at man-hours per lift, there’s very little difference,” the source said. RMGs have also been implemented at the fully automated Long Beach Container Terminal on the US West Coast , which has been the target of longshore union criticisms over productivity. DP World has also rolled out RMG technology at its Centerm facility in Vancouver , following a similar rollout of RMGs at the nearby GCT Deltaport facility in 2020. Longshore foremen at the Port of Vancouver, however, have unsuccessfully tried to negotiate a new staffing agreement with DP World over the RMG introduction, resulting in a port-wide lockout that ended as both sides have been forced by Canada’s government into arbitration . Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com .

ILA targets rail-mounted gantry cranes amid impasse in port labor talks

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Rising regional trade along the old Silk Road between China and Europe is driving up containerized rail volume on the middle corridor and the logistics infrastructure is struggling to keep up. </div>

Rising regional trade along the old Silk Road between China and Europe is driving up containerized rail volume on the middle corridor and the logistics infrastructure is struggling to keep up.

<div class="phx-topic">VIENNA — Geopolitics shaped the middle corridor rail network between China and Europe, but the route has evolved in the past two years from an alternative to the heavily sanctioned northern route through Russia into a critical lifeline for the booming economies of Central Asia. Huge investments are being made across the region as the logistics infrastructure struggles to catch up with demand, attendees at the European Silk Road Summit were told this week. “We see a future for the middle corridor, and we are putting our money where our mouths are and investing billions in projects in Central Asia,” said Luis Blancas, senior transport and logistics specialist at the World Bank. “The middle corridor is an entirely discretionary connection for China, but for Central Asia it is a lifeline connection to the world. It’s a lifeline for Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia. They want to trade more with Central Asia and the middle corridor is very important for that.” That the middle corridor was a viable trade route, as well as an improving option for China-Europe shippers, was a theme expressed time and again by speakers at the summit. Emil Mammadov, advisor to the chairman of Azerbaijan Railways, said the future of the middle corridor was “fully related” to the economies of Central Asia where demand was developing fast and rail capacity had to match that growth. “The middle corridor is not just an alternative, it is a working corridor,” he told the summit. “This year to date, we have had more than 260 block trains from China going through Azerbaijan and by the end of December that will have increased to 300 trains, more than 10 times higher than in 2023. “We are in discussions with China and with our counterparts in Central Asia to reach a minimum of 1,000 block trains next year,” he added. <h3>China attention moves to middle corridor </h3>Also under way is the development of the southern part of the middle corridor that will improve rail connections through Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, with significant investment being made by China in construction of the routes. “China’s participation in the middle corridor is making a huge difference,” Blancas told the summit. “China was primarily focused on the northern corridor for a long time, but over the last couple of years, with what’s going on in Ukraine, the China ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ is really targeting the middle corridor.” But the increase in rail volume flowing across Central Asian countries is placing growing pressure on key transit points. For instance, the Georgian port of Poti on the Black Sea where rail freight is transferred to ships is 99% utilized, according to Blancas. “We are one of the bottlenecks,” acknowledged Mario Escobar, business development manager for APM Terminals Poti. “It’s important that we accept that and work towards fixing it. Today, we have a port that can handle 600,000 TEUs per year, and in 2023 we handled 592,000 TEUs. It is a small port for the cargo that needs to transit this region, and the rail infrastructure is not sufficient to move all that cargo.” APM Terminals is planning to expand the capacity of its Poti terminals to 1.2 million TEUs, but Escobar said the improvement in infrastructure must be accompanied by investment from rail companies into locomotives, wagons and platforms to handle the rising volume. <h3>Reopening Red Sea will see cargo shift to ocean </h3>Martin Koubek, head of the Silk Road for intermodal operator Metrans, said the middle corridor would not be the choice for cargo from China to Europe once most container traffic returned to routing through the Red Sea. “It takes 21 days via the Suez from Shenzhen to Piraeus, so when the Red Sea is again used, why would you send rail cargo on the middle corridor that is longer and more expensive?” he told the Journal of Commerce on the sidelines of the summit. While the shift of cargo from rail to ocean would have a significant impact on the rail business, it would be barely noticed by container shipping with less than 1% of containerized trade between Asia and Europe transported by rail. But Koubek agreed that the middle corridor would be crucial for the Central Asian economies. “They are all growing, and the route will serve their increasing trade with China,” he said. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/rapid-rail-transit-via-sanctions-hit-russia-has-limited-appeal-for-european-shippers-5220672">containerized trade on the northern route from China to North Europe largely dried up</a>. Most of the cargo was moved to ocean but forwarders and rail freight operators began testing the middle corridor that runs from China, through Central Asia, the Caspian Sea, Black Sea and on into Turkey or eastern Europe. There remain significant hurdles to overcome, such as cross border customs issues, multiple cargo handovers from rail to ferry to road and back to rail, high rates and unreliable transit times. Those issues are being addressed by service providers, and the average transit time from Xian to Duisburg in southern Germany is now about 30 days. When the northern route is again fully utilized, most of the China to Europe containerized rail cargo using the middle corridor or ocean will quickly return to the Russian transit route, said Alona Toprak, director at DB Cargo Eurasia. “That means it is really important all the countries in Central Asia work together to address the issues still facing the middle route and increase volume travelling both ways, otherwise the rates will be high, and it won’t make sense,” she said. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

VIENNA — Geopolitics shaped the middle corridor rail network between China and Europe, but the route has evolved in the past two years from an alternative to the heavily sanctioned northern route through Russia into a critical lifeline for the booming economies of Central Asia. Huge investments are being made across the region as the logistics infrastructure struggles to catch up with demand, attendees at the European Silk Road Summit were told this week. “We see a future for the middle corridor, and we are putting our money where our mouths are and investing billions in projects in Central Asia,” said Luis Blancas, senior transport and logistics specialist at the World Bank. “The middle corridor is an entirely discretionary connection for China, but for Central Asia it is a lifeline connection to the world. It’s a lifeline for Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia. They want to trade more with Central Asia and the middle corridor is very important for that.” That the middle corridor was a viable trade route, as well as an improving option for China-Europe shippers, was a theme expressed time and again by speakers at the summit. Emil Mammadov, advisor to the chairman of Azerbaijan Railways, said the future of the middle corridor was “fully related” to the economies of Central Asia where demand was developing fast and rail capacity had to match that growth. “The middle corridor is not just an alternative, it is a working corridor,” he told the summit. “This year to date, we have had more than 260 block trains from China going through Azerbaijan and by the end of December that will have increased to 300 trains, more than 10 times higher than in 2023. “We are in discussions with China and with our counterparts in Central Asia to reach a minimum of 1,000 block trains next year,” he added. China attention moves to middle corridor Also under way is the development of the southern part of the middle corridor that will improve rail connections through Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, with significant investment being made by China in construction of the routes. “China’s participation in the middle corridor is making a huge difference,” Blancas told the summit. “China was primarily focused on the northern corridor for a long time, but over the last couple of years, with what’s going on in Ukraine, the China ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ is really targeting the middle corridor.” But the increase in rail volume flowing across Central Asian countries is placing growing pressure on key transit points. For instance, the Georgian port of Poti on the Black Sea where rail freight is transferred to ships is 99% utilized, according to Blancas. “We are one of the bottlenecks,” acknowledged Mario Escobar, business development manager for APM Terminals Poti. “It’s important that we accept that and work towards fixing it. Today, we have a port that can handle 600,000 TEUs per year, and in 2023 we handled 592,000 TEUs. It is a small port for the cargo that needs to transit this region, and the rail infrastructure is not sufficient to move all that cargo.” APM Terminals is planning to expand the capacity of its Poti terminals to 1.2 million TEUs, but Escobar said the improvement in infrastructure must be accompanied by investment from rail companies into locomotives, wagons and platforms to handle the rising volume. Reopening Red Sea will see cargo shift to ocean Martin Koubek, head of the Silk Road for intermodal operator Metrans, said the middle corridor would not be the choice for cargo from China to Europe once most container traffic returned to routing through the Red Sea. “It takes 21 days via the Suez from Shenzhen to Piraeus, so when the Red Sea is again used, why would you send rail cargo on the middle corridor that is longer and more expensive?” he told the Journal of Commerce on the sidelines of the summit. While the shift of cargo from rail to ocean would have a significant impact on the rail business, it would be barely noticed by container shipping with less than 1% of containerized trade between Asia and Europe transported by rail. But Koubek agreed that the middle corridor would be crucial for the Central Asian economies. “They are all growing, and the route will serve their increasing trade with China,” he said. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, containerized trade on the northern route from China to North Europe largely dried up . Most of the cargo was moved to ocean but forwarders and rail freight operators began testing the middle corridor that runs from China, through Central Asia, the Caspian Sea, Black Sea and on into Turkey or eastern Europe. There remain significant hurdles to overcome, such as cross border customs issues, multiple cargo handovers from rail to ferry to road and back to rail, high rates and unreliable transit times. Those issues are being addressed by service providers, and the average transit time from Xian to Duisburg in southern Germany is now about 30 days. When the northern route is again fully utilized, most of the China to Europe containerized rail cargo using the middle corridor or ocean will quickly return to the Russian transit route, said Alona Toprak, director at DB Cargo Eurasia. “That means it is really important all the countries in Central Asia work together to address the issues still facing the middle route and increase volume travelling both ways, otherwise the rates will be high, and it won’t make sense,” she said. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Booming Central Asian economies lend lifeline to China-Europe rail

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The selection of Oregon Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer is seen as favorable to unions, with the new administration potentially facing the need to intervene if ILA contract talks aren’t settled before Trump takes office.</div>

The selection of Oregon Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer is seen as favorable to unions, with the new administration potentially facing the need to intervene if ILA contract talks aren’t settled before Trump takes office.

<div class="phx-topic">The incoming Trump administration’s pick for US labor secretary has drawn mixed reactions from the logistics industry, with the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and Teamsters viewing Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer as solidly behind unions while trucking groups see a foe of the owner-operator driver model used widely by motor carriers. Last week’s announcement from President-elect Donald Trump that he would nominate the Oregon congresswoman drew praise from the ILA, which said in a statement, “Rep. Chavez-DeRemer built a strong pro-worker record protecting their rights to organize.” “We look forward to working with Ms. Chavez-DeRemer and [the Trump] administration on legislation and policies that protect workers’ rights, safety and honors their commitment to building a strong economy...,” ILA President Harold Daggett said in the statement. The ILA, of course, may have to draw on the incoming administration’s support in the event it’s not able to successfully settle on a new contract with maritime employers by the Jan. 15 expiration of the contract extension that ended October’s three-day port strike along the US East and Gulf coasts. While the ILA did not outright endorse either candidate in the 2024 presidential election, Daggett, who met with Trump last year, said the incoming president “<a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ila-looking-for-local-ports-to-bring-in-more-union-foremen-5244993">is looking to take care of things for the unions</a>.” The ILA also praised <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/behind-the-scenes-white-house-arm-twisting-got-ila-wage-deal-done-5747241">the Biden administration and acting Labor Secretary Julie Su</a> for helping settle wage discussions with maritime employers back in October. Sean O’Brien, president of the 1.3-million-member International Brotherhood of Teamsters, congratulated Chavez-DeRemer shortly after her nomination, saying in a statement that Trump “pledged to listen to workers and find common ground to protect and respect labor in America.” <h3>First term in Congress </h3>Chavez-DeRemer, who is serving her first term in Congress, co-sponsored 12 House bills that touched on labor and employment policy. Among union-focused activities, she co-sponsored a bill that would enshrine the rights of state public sector employees to organize and bargain collectively and another bill to ensure similar rights for state public safety employees. She has also supported the Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act, which has drawn some 218 co-sponsors in the House. The PRO Act expands federal protections for unions by preventing employers from requiring attendance at meetings designed to dissuade union organizing or making workers sign pledges against union organizing. It also prohibits retaliation against employees for union organizing. PRO also allows union members to participate in secondary strikes and prohibits claims against unions that conduct such strikes. More controversially, though, the PRO Act makes it more difficult for employers to classify a worker as an independent contractor rather than a full-time employee. The PRO Act will limit the independent contractor definition to those workers who are not under an employer’s direct control for how the service is performed, or when the service is not part of the employer’s regular course of work Those criteria mirror <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/proposed-federal-rule-threatens-independent-contractor-model-in-trucking-opponents-5242331">the so-called ABC test that is used in states including California</a> and <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/stg-shifting-from-drayage-carrier-to-broker-after-new-jersey-legal-challenge-5703212">New Jersey</a> to classify independent contractors and has been widely criticized for forcing motor carriers to drop owner-operator drivers in favor of employee drivers. The PRO Act also creates the new category of a “joint employer” that determines or controls how an employee of another firm performs their job. Critics have said that it could create a condition where a marine terminal can be classified as a joint employer of a port trucker due to the instructions and requirements for drivers entering their facility. The American Trucking Associations said in a statement following Chavez-DeRemer’s nomination that her “anti-trucking policies undermine our essential workforce, threaten the right of independent truckers to choose their own career path, and impede the efficiency of the supply chain.” Contact Michael Angell at <a href="mailto:michael.angell@spglobal.com ">michael.angell@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

The incoming Trump administration’s pick for US labor secretary has drawn mixed reactions from the logistics industry, with the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and Teamsters viewing Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer as solidly behind unions while trucking groups see a foe of the owner-operator driver model used widely by motor carriers. Last week’s announcement from President-elect Donald Trump that he would nominate the Oregon congresswoman drew praise from the ILA, which said in a statement, “Rep. Chavez-DeRemer built a strong pro-worker record protecting their rights to organize.” “We look forward to working with Ms. Chavez-DeRemer and [the Trump] administration on legislation and policies that protect workers’ rights, safety and honors their commitment to building a strong economy...,” ILA President Harold Daggett said in the statement. The ILA, of course, may have to draw on the incoming administration’s support in the event it’s not able to successfully settle on a new contract with maritime employers by the Jan. 15 expiration of the contract extension that ended October’s three-day port strike along the US East and Gulf coasts. While the ILA did not outright endorse either candidate in the 2024 presidential election, Daggett, who met with Trump last year, said the incoming president “ is looking to take care of things for the unions .” The ILA also praised the Biden administration and acting Labor Secretary Julie Su for helping settle wage discussions with maritime employers back in October. Sean O’Brien, president of the 1.3-million-member International Brotherhood of Teamsters, congratulated Chavez-DeRemer shortly after her nomination, saying in a statement that Trump “pledged to listen to workers and find common ground to protect and respect labor in America.” First term in Congress Chavez-DeRemer, who is serving her first term in Congress, co-sponsored 12 House bills that touched on labor and employment policy. Among union-focused activities, she co-sponsored a bill that would enshrine the rights of state public sector employees to organize and bargain collectively and another bill to ensure similar rights for state public safety employees. She has also supported the Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act, which has drawn some 218 co-sponsors in the House. The PRO Act expands federal protections for unions by preventing employers from requiring attendance at meetings designed to dissuade union organizing or making workers sign pledges against union organizing. It also prohibits retaliation against employees for union organizing. PRO also allows union members to participate in secondary strikes and prohibits claims against unions that conduct such strikes. More controversially, though, the PRO Act makes it more difficult for employers to classify a worker as an independent contractor rather than a full-time employee. The PRO Act will limit the independent contractor definition to those workers who are not under an employer’s direct control for how the service is performed, or when the service is not part of the employer’s regular course of work Those criteria mirror the so-called ABC test that is used in states including California and New Jersey to classify independent contractors and has been widely criticized for forcing motor carriers to drop owner-operator drivers in favor of employee drivers. The PRO Act also creates the new category of a “joint employer” that determines or controls how an employee of another firm performs their job. Critics have said that it could create a condition where a marine terminal can be classified as a joint employer of a port trucker due to the instructions and requirements for drivers entering their facility. The American Trucking Associations said in a statement following Chavez-DeRemer’s nomination that her “anti-trucking policies undermine our essential workforce, threaten the right of independent truckers to choose their own career path, and impede the efficiency of the supply chain.” Contact Michael Angell at michael.angell@spglobal.com .

Trump’s labor pick draws longshore and Teamster praise but trucker ire

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">An influx of seafood shipments, combined with several other market factors, is leaving US importers of refrigerated products from Asia scrambling for reefer equipment.</div>

An influx of seafood shipments, combined with several other market factors, is leaving US importers of refrigerated products from Asia scrambling for reefer equipment.

<div class="phx-topic">US shippers are finding it more difficult to secure refrigerated (reefer) containers for Asian exports as volumes surge by double-digit percentages ahead of a potential US port strike next month.US reefer imports from Asia surged 10% year over year in October and have been steadily climbing since March, according to PIERS, a sister product of the Journal of Commerce within S&amp;P Global. In September, seafood imports from Asia increased by nearly 30% compared with the same month in 2023, according to the National Fisheries Association.The tightening of equipment supply is also affecting shipments from China to Southeast Asia, Taiwan-based forwarder Dimerco Express Group warned customers in a recent briefing.Shippers moving goods through ports on the US East and Gulf coasts also face the <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ila-targets-rail-mounted-gantry-cranes-amid-impasse-in-port-labor-talks-5874742">prospect of a strike on Jan. 15</a> if the longshore union and employers fail to reach an agreement on a new coastwide contract. Despite some loosening in recent weeks, <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/us-retailers-prepare-for-new-ila-strike-threat-tariffs-on-china-imports-5822904">overall container capacity from Asia to the US remains tight</a>, challenging reefer and dry shippers alike.<h3>A ‘little bit’ of an issue</h3>Ahead of the potential interruption, some US exporters have reported difficulties in securing empty reefer containers and related generator equipment at East and Gulf coast ports, particularly the Port of Houston.“Philadelphia and Virginia are just a little bit [of an issue], but Houston is a problem,” said Eric Brown, president at JTP Transportation and chair member of the Meat Import Council of America, on generators for reefer equipment.Another source said she’s seeing some cargo rolled in Houston, something she described as an “ongoing issue” in the region. However, the source said cargo rolls are neither increasing nor significantly impacting the market.Bill Duggan, North American advisor at reefer market consultant Eskesen Advisory, said shippers can expect better reefer equipment availability in the Americas next year as equipment from Asia is repositioned, along with stronger volume growth across the board.“It seems the market for refrigerated continues strong through 2024 and up around 10% over 2023,” Duggan told the Journal of Commerce Tuesday. “And as supply of <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/perfect-storm-pushes-market-toward-q4-reefer-equipment-shortages-5725644">equipment to the southern hemisphere remains a challenge</a>, the USA should get some [equipment] supply from Asia.”Contact Laura Robb at <a href="mailto:laura.robb@spglobal.com">laura.robb@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

US shippers are finding it more difficult to secure refrigerated (reefer) containers for Asian exports as volumes surge by double-digit percentages ahead of a potential US port strike next month. US reefer imports from Asia surged 10% year over year in October and have been steadily climbing since March, according to PIERS, a sister product of the Journal of Commerce within S&P Global. In September, seafood imports from Asia increased by nearly 30% compared with the same month in 2023, according to the National Fisheries Association. The tightening of equipment supply is also affecting shipments from China to Southeast Asia, Taiwan-based forwarder Dimerco Express Group warned customers in a recent briefing. Shippers moving goods through ports on the US East and Gulf coasts also face the prospect of a strike on Jan. 15 if the longshore union and employers fail to reach an agreement on a new coastwide contract. Despite some loosening in recent weeks, overall container capacity from Asia to the US remains tight , challenging reefer and dry shippers alike. A ‘little bit’ of an issue Ahead of the potential interruption, some US exporters have reported difficulties in securing empty reefer containers and related generator equipment at East and Gulf coast ports, particularly the Port of Houston. “Philadelphia and Virginia are just a little bit [of an issue], but Houston is a problem,” said Eric Brown, president at JTP Transportation and chair member of the Meat Import Council of America, on generators for reefer equipment. Another source said she’s seeing some cargo rolled in Houston, something she described as an “ongoing issue” in the region. However, the source said cargo rolls are neither increasing nor significantly impacting the market. Bill Duggan, North American advisor at reefer market consultant Eskesen Advisory, said shippers can expect better reefer equipment availability in the Americas next year as equipment from Asia is repositioned, along with stronger volume growth across the board. “It seems the market for refrigerated continues strong through 2024 and up around 10% over 2023,” Duggan told the Journal of Commerce Tuesday. “And as supply of equipment to the southern hemisphere remains a challenge , the USA should get some [equipment] supply from Asia.” Contact Laura Robb at laura.robb@spglobal.com .

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