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Fourth Quarter Trucking Report: Analyzing the Peak Season
Partner:

Trucking’s “peak” season traditionally ran from Labor Day through Thanksgiving, when holiday goods needed to be in stores for Black Friday sales. That schedule has been upended and extended over the past decade by e-commerce and now by fluctuations in freight scheduling caused by US tariffs. The peak now may run beyond the holidays and into January, though the extended shipping season is sometimes less “peaky.” The fourth quarter for trucking this year looks more like a bump in the road than a peak, with excess capacity and weak demand for both truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) service. But what are the chances for a “November surprise”? Will consumers prove resilient in the face of economic uncertainty and increase their spending? Will they change how and where they spend in a search for greater value? Or will they cut back? How much of an increase in demand is needed to shrink retail inventories to the point of replenishment? Are factories using up raw materials at a pace that could spark higher demand for inputs? On the supply side, will tighter enforcement of truck driver licensing laws finally reduce excess capacity and lead to spot market rate hikes in late 2025 or early 2026? Are there signs in this year’s trucking peak of a market inflection in 2026? This webcast will examine all of these questions and more as shippers plan their transportation strategies for the new year and beyond.
Moderator:
William Cassidy, Senior Editor, Trucking and Domestic Transportation, Journal of Commerce by S&P Global
Speaker(s):
Dean Croke, Principal Analyst, DAT Freight & Analytics
Keith Prather, Managing Partner and Co-Founder, Armada Corporate Intelligence
*Check back soon for more information! Interested in sponsoring this webcast? For more information, please visit: https://subscribe.joc.com/mediasolutions/
AI and the Shipper: Where Automation is Making a Difference
Virtually every single discussion about logistics technology today eventually circles around to one subject: AI. The topic is everywhere as the industry wrestles with what AI means to core processes and the future workforce at shippers and their service providers. But peel back the layers a bit, and the discussion gets even more complicated. Questions arise left, right and center:
- Do shippers need an AI layer across our existing systems?
- Are partners equipped, from a data quality perspective, to support automation goals?
- Are new, AI-native solutions better than incumbent products that are adding AI features?
- Should shippers invest in these tools themselves, or rely on 3PLs to innovate on their behalf?
- What is the ROI from these tools?
- And, of course, how does this affect current employees?
In this one-hour session, the Journal of Commerce will discuss all this and more with a panel of technology experts across disciplines in the global logistics industry.
Moderator:
Eric Johnson, Senior Editor, Technology, Journal of Commerce by S&P Global
Speaker(s):
Jaison Augustine, EVP & Business Unit Head – Shipping & Logistics, WNS Global Services
Bryn Heimbeck President and Co-Founder, Trade Tech
Maneet Singh, Chief Information Officer and Chief Digital Officer, Odyssey Logistics
Interested in sponsoring this webcast? For more information, please visit: https://subscribe.joc.com/mediasolutions/
European Shipping and Trade Outlook: The Trans-Atlantic
The 15% baseline tariff on EU exports to the US agreed upon in July between President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen should finally bring clarity to shippers on both sides of the Atlantic. The traditionally stable trade lane has faced volatility in rates and demand for much of this year during increasingly fractious negotiations between the US and EU that saw threats of 30% tariffs from Trump and Brussels preparing to launch its own wide-ranging retaliatory measures against the US. Carmakers in Europe were hammered financially in the first half, halting US sales of some models that were not commercially viable at the tariff levels. Under the new trade agreement, car exports to the US that were taxed at 27.5% will see tariffs reduced to 15%, while US exports of cars to Europe will be duty-free. Tariffs on EU steel and aluminum and related products remain at 50%. The EU appears to have come off second best in what is being described by analysts as an “asymmetrical deal,” but at least it has averted a destructive trans-Atlantic trade war and allows shippers to get back to business. This hour-long webcast, led by Journal of Commerce senior Europe editor Greg Knowler, will analyze how trans-Atlantic business, and the shipping services that support it, is shaping up.
Moderator: Greg Knowler, Europe Editor, Journal of Commerce by S&P Global
Speaker(s):
Michael Britton, Head of Ocean Products North America, Maersk
Scott Dudley, Head of Ocean Freight, North America, Rhenus Logistics USA
Destine Ozuygur, Product Marketing Manager, Xeneta
Interested in sponsoring this webcast? For more information, please visit: https://subscribe.joc.com/mediasolutions/
Breakbulk and Project Cargo Outlook: How Tariffs and Geopolitical Strife Will Impact the Rest of 2025
Tariffs, intensifying conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine, a slowing global economy and increased competition from the container shipping fleet are all driving heightened uncertainty in the multipurpose and heavy-lift market. Project investors started the year with a wait-and-see attitude and shippers rushed to frontload some commodities in the first half even as charter indices rose, fell and rose again.
This webcast will examine cargo demand and multipurpose/heavy-lift fleet supply and makeup amid a tumultuous geopolitical environment. Join Breakbulk and Project Cargo Senior Research Analyst Susan Oatway as she presents the latest forecast from the Journal of Commerce Breakbulk Quarterly Report. Joining Susan will be well-known industry analysts Niclas Prehm, head of research at Toepfer Transport, publisher of the Toepfer Multipurpose Index (TMI) and numerous other reports and indices; and Peter Molloy, Senior Associate - Breakbulk & Heavylift with Drewry. Peter is the main contributor to Drewry’s Multipurpose Shipping Forecaster and produces the Drewry Breakbulk Sea Transport Indices. They will discuss their indices and their expectations for the remainder of the year.
Moderator:
Carly Fields, Associate Editor-Breakbulk, Project and Heavy-Lift Shipping, Journal of Commerce by S&P Global
Speaker(s):
Peter Molloy, Senior Associate - Breakbulk & Heavylift, Drewry
Susan Oatway, Senior Research Analyst-Breakbulk and Project Cargo, Journal of Commerce by S&P Global
Yorck Niclas Prehm, Head of Research, Toepfer Transport,
*Check back soon for more information! Interested in sponsoring this webcast? For more information, please visit: https://subscribe.joc.com/mediasolutions/
Midyear Trucking Report: The Second-Half Outlook
Partner:

US truck shippers have enjoyed a historic stretch of pricing power since 2022 and the start of a three-year freight downturn. That downturn has dragged on, despite multiple predictions of its end, well into 2025, as uncertainty over tariffs and trade and rising costs keep a lid on US economic growth. Is that about to change as 2025 draws to a close and 2026 begins? Shippers and trucking suppliers are looking for hard evidence of future demand. Will lower taxes and interest rate cuts make 2026 look more like 2018 than 2025? Will US manufacturing generate more demand for goods shipping? How are shippers and carriers thinking about the market as they approach talks for 2026 contracts? Do they foresee, finally, a significant change in the supply-demand equation for trucking? This hour-long webcast will address these questions and more in the run-up to the Journal of Commerce Inland Distribution Conference on Sept. 29-Oct. 1 in Chicago.
Moderator: William B. Cassidy, Senior Editor-Trucking and Domestic Transportation, Journal of Commerce by S&P Global
Speaker(s):
Paul Bingham, Director, Global Insight, Transportation Consulting, S&P Global Market Intelligence
Keith Prather, Managing Partner and Co-Founder, Armada Corporate Intelligence
Interested in sponsoring this webcast? For more information, please visit: https://subscribe.joc.com/mediasolutions/
Recent News and Analysis
Maritime News
- FMC searching for new members to serve on shipper advisory board
- Beyond the terminal gate: Why the future lies in logistical ecosystems
- Rising container dwells hobble vessel flows at India’s Nhava Sheva, Mundra ports
- Softer freight rates push Evergreen to 71% decline in Q1 net profit
- Eroding connections expose Canada’s ports, shippers: central bank
Surface News
- War-driven fuel prices send trucking PPIs, shipper costs skyward
- Supreme Court ruling strips broker protection linked to carrier safety
- Rising container dwells hobble vessel flows at India’s Nhava Sheva, Mundra ports
- Supply-side changes to US truck market called ‘structural,’ not temporary
- Domestic intermodal share improvement remains elusive, for now
Air Cargo News
- Asia-Europe air cargo rates remain elevated as Gulf tensions escalate
- Air freight supply-demand factors adjust to war-disrupted market
- DHL targeting US data center development to boost group revenues: CEO
- More job cuts in the works for Q2 as DSV-Schenker integration continues: Lund
- K+N develops new ocean markets, air freight measures to offset war impact
Supply Chain News
- FMC searching for new members to serve on shipper advisory board
- Supreme Court ruling strips broker protection linked to carrier safety
- Beyond the terminal gate: Why the future lies in logistical ecosystems
- IMO carbon pricing mechanism ‘dead in the water’: DNV
- AI throwing wrench into arbitrage machine for forwarding labor




