<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">For years, North American shippers were warned a truck capacity crunch was coming, but that crunch never materialized. This year, with the accelerating US economy, that crunch finally arrived. That is pushing up inland supply chain costs and transport rates across the board, and shippers should not expect relief soon.</div>

For years, North American shippers were warned a truck capacity crunch was coming, but that crunch never materialized. This year, with the accelerating US economy, that crunch finally arrived. That is pushing up inland supply chain costs and transport rates across the board, and shippers should not expect relief soon.

<div><div><img></div>For years, North American shippers were warned a truck capacity crunch was coming, but that crunch never materialized. This year, with the accelerating US economy, that crunch finally arrived. Photo credit: Shutterstock.For years, North American shippers were warned a truck capacity crunch was coming, a crunch that never materialized, thanks to a stop-and-go, slow US economic recovery. After three quarters of steady economic growth, however, that crunch finally arrived this year, clenching supply chains with a vise-like grip, and shocking shippers who expected a slow first quarter.That is pushing up inland supply chain costs and transport rates across the board,...

For years, North American shippers were warned a truck capacity crunch was coming, but that crunch never materialized. This year, with the accelerating US economy, that crunch finally arrived. Photo credit: Shutterstock. For years, North American shippers were warned a truck capacity crunch was coming, a crunch that never materialized, thanks to a stop-and-go, slow US economic recovery. After three quarters of steady economic growth, however, that crunch finally arrived this year, clenching supply chains with a vise-like grip, and shocking shippers who expected a slow first quarter. That is pushing up inland supply chain costs and transport rates across the board, and shippers should not expect relief soon. These market conditions are likely to last into 2019, most experts say. In order to not be washed away by the oncoming wave, shippers will have to rigorously rethink how they ship goods, gather detailed data on their operations, and collaborate. Not since 2014 have US shippers and beneficial cargo owners seen such disruption to domestic and international containerized freight movement. And what they have seen starting in the autumn of 2017 and early 2018 makes 2014 look like “a blip compared with the environment we’re in now,” said Jeffrey Tucker, president and CEO of logistics firm Tucker Company Worldwide. Shippers ripped through trucking routing guides in January looking for space for freight. They found little relief on rails, as drayage truck capacity at either end of the tracks seemed to vanish, especially in Chicago, the largest US transportation hub. The impact of the capacity crunch rippled back to ports and ocean shipping lines, affecting plans for store-door deliveries. Tight capacity and high freight demand are propelling pricing for truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), drayage, and intermodal rail services skyward. Dry van truckload rates across the United States were up 17 to 25 percent on average in January, according to the Trans-Logistics Group North American Truckload Rate Index. “There is no place that rates are the same or lower than a year ago,” said Charles W. “Chuck” Clowdis Jr., founder and managing director of Trans-Logistics Group. The group’s analysis of contract and spot market prices in 14,700 unique origin-and-destination-point lanes shows a surge in medium-range hauls and rates, with lanes running 450 to 550 miles, Clowdis said. Networks out of kilter Some of that was caused by e-commerce, he suspects. But the electronic logging device (ELD) mandate, imposed on truck drivers Dec. 18, also is lengthening and shortening lanes and exacerbating shortages of trucks, equipment, and drivers, throwing shipping networks out of whack. One reason capacity is tight is because it is not where shippers expect. “This may well be one of the most unpredictable and quickly changing freight environments that many of us have ever experienced,” Douglas R. Waggoner, chairman and CEO of Echo Global Logistics, said last month. “January and February are traditionally the slowest months of the year, and right now the market is not as tight as [the fourth quarter], but it’s still tight.” “This was an entirely predictable surprise,” said Mike Regan, chief relationship officer at TranzAct Technologies and advocacy chair for the National Shippers Strategic Transportation Council. Shippers knew trucking conditions, especially a shortage of qualified drivers, would likely lead to a sharp contraction in capacity if the US economy expanded faster. Click to enlarge But many shippers, lulled perhaps by the failure of a driver or capacity crisis to materialize in 2015, and the steep drop in US surface transportation rates in 2016, did not expect the market to swing so suddenly. “The reality is it’s going to get a lot worse over the next couple of months,” Regan said. “People are worried about how they’re going to move freight in April and June.” Large retailers, he said, “to a person will tell you they’re not going to run out of trucks. They’re going to pay what they need to pay to get the trucks they need to move the freight they have. The question then becomes, if large shippers are willing to pay above-market rates to guarantee capacity, what does that say about what’s coming to the small to midsize shipper?” Higher costs are inevitable, Regan said, especially for those shippers who book freight on a mostly transactional, load-to-load basis, rewarding low bidders. “If you’re a great customer, a collaborative shipper, you might see an increase of 5 percent” in truckload rates, he said. “If you’re a transactional customer, you can expect your rates to rise 15 percent or more.” Another measure of truckload pricing, the Cass Truckload Linehaul Index, dropped from 134.5 in December to 133.5 in January, but was still up 6.5 percent year over year, compared with 6.2 percent in December. The Cass Intermodal Pricing Index hit an all-time high of 141.4 in January, a 5 percent year-over-year gain and a 5.3 percent increase from December. “In just the last seven months, our pricing forecast has increased from minus 1 to 2 percent, to 6 to 8 percent, and now we have reason to believe the risk to our estimate continues to be on the upside,” said Donald Broughton, managing partner at Broughton Capital and commentator for the Cass indices. “Contract pricing should keep rates in positive territory well into 2018.” In the fourth quarter, truckload rates paid by C.H. Robinson Worldwide, the largest US freight broker, rose 15 percent year over year. The logistics provider boosted its own truckload charges to shipper customers by 14.5 percent. “We continue to be active in repricing business where appropriate across all our modes and services,” CEO John Wiehoff said Jan. 31. ELD out-of-service enforcement nears Shippers are racing the clock to find ways to lock in capacity and restrain pricing before full-fledged out-of-service enforcement of the ELD mandate begins April 1. “I’m not waiting for trucking companies to come to me, I’m going to them,” said John Janson, global logistics director at SanMar, an Issaquah, Washington-based supplier of apparel and accessories. But their options are narrower than ever before. Domestic intermodal rail traffic began 2018 with a 7.4 percent year-over-year jump in January, according to the Intermodal Association of North America, compared with a 3.7 percent expansion in January 2017. Railcar provider TTX forecasts the number of 53-foot containers will rise 4.4 percent to 309,000 by year’s end. The ability to shift more freight off the highway to rail is limited by intermodal’s reliance on drayage — which faces the same capacity constraints as over-the-road trucking and the extra burden of chassis — and rail service reliability issues. “The trains are not running on time right now,” Ron Joseph, chief operating officer at Direct ChassisLink (DCLI), said in late February. “If you’ve got them running behind, it’s hard to make projections on when to move chassis in and have them ready,” Joseph said. “If we’re planning a train arriving at a certain time and it gets delayed for some reason, if they don’t tell us that, we can’t get the right amount of chassis to the right place at the right time.” That is the US capacity problem in an intermodal nutshell. Shippers told The Journal of Commercevariable service makes it tough to shift freight off-highway to intermodal containers, especially when they face increasingly stringent delivery requirements from retail customers. “Truck plus one is fine, but when you don’t know if it’s going to be plus one or plus three, that volatility kills us,” said a shipper who requested anonymity. Click to enlarge “Shippers have two challenges: rate increases and more and more demanding delivery times,” said Ben Cubitt, senior vice president of engineering and procurement at third-party logistics (3PL) company Transplace. “They need highly capable service-oriented carriers, so they can’t offset the prices. There’s lots of discussion about how to lock in capacity, but still no resolution.” In February, some shippers said it took days to get containers out of Chicago railyards. Other midwestern markets were disrupted. DCLI shifted chassis from the East Coast to several Midwest locations in reaction to the disruption, reallocating 450 chassis from the South Atlantic and Northeast by late February, with plans to move about 1,600 chassis to the Midwest. “We continue to work with our supply chain partners to manage traffic flows and alleviate the delays,” Canadian National Railway said in a statement. “We are working to secure more driver power in the Chicago area to increase terminal fluidity, and have encouraged carters to schedule appointments at off hours such as nights and weekends,” the railroad told customers. Drivers contemplate shift Just as shippers look to expand use of intermodal rail, more drayage drivers are thinking of moving to over-the-road trucking. “I would say 50 percent of the drivers or more are considering flipping [to over-the-road] to avoid the ramps,” Susan Keldani, vice president of On Track Transportation in Illinois, told The Journal of Commerce. “Owner-operators just get fed up.” Among several factors influencing the capacity crunch, two identifiable causes stand out: the US economy and a resurgent driver shortage. “The ELD is easy to blame for all of our sins, but the root problem is not recruiting, training, and paying drivers enough,” Clowdis said. If real GDP was still growing at 2016 rates, the ELD’s arrival might have gone unnoticed. But with the slack gone from the US economy, which expanded between 2.6 and 3.2 percent over the last three quarters and is expected to continue growing at a faster pace this year, the ELD mandate adds a new layer of complexity to the transportation capacity issue. The mandate’s add-on impact may be enough to keep capacity tight when freight demand ebbs. For one, the effect of the mandate is very broad. The mandate covers more than 3 million commercial truck drivers who kept (or keep) paper logs to track their working hours. The introduction of the mandate is arguably the biggest regulatory change for US truckers since the introduction of the commercial drivers license and mandatory random drug testing in the 1980s. The main obstacle to hiring more truck drivers is money. Plenty of factors feed the driver shortage, from the demographics of an aging workforce to a tightening regulatory net, led by the ELD mandate. But pay is the axle on which all those factors turn. For proof, just look at the current wave of truckload driver pay and benefit increases and bonuses. “The driver market is really in flux,” said Lana Batts, co-president of Driver iQ, a driver screening and monitoring service. “Motor carriers are trying a lot of different things to recruit drivers. They’re all adding pay. About 50 percent are doing sign-on bonuses. I think, basically, motor carriers are optimistic they can find drivers. I don’t think they’re optimistic they can keep them.” Time, not trucks, trailers, chassis or containers, terminal doors or drivers, may be the determining factor in capacity. The biggest impact on capacity from the ELD mandate is loss of time for those drivers still behind the wheel. Less time means fewer weekly turns, which means more trucks and drivers are needed simply to haul the same number of shipments. Ken Spicer, director of transportation and carrier management at chemicals distributor Univar, saw three small motor carriers shut down in December. “It’s a shame these carriers came to us too late in the game,” Spicer said in an interview available on TranzAct Technologies’ Market Storm Center website. “We could have paved the way for them to run our dedicated lanes.” “Before the ELD mandate took effect, I thought the primary impact would be carriers leaving the marketplace,” Regan said. “That’s still a legitimate concern. But the real impact is how the ELD mandate is changing lanes and equipment utilization. We had several lanes that were one-day lanes before Dec. 18 that now are two-day lanes because carriers won’t risk log violations.” In a detailed analysis of the impact of the ELD mandate on shipping lanes, Zipline Logistics found transit times creeping up. “We’ve been able to identify the subset of lanes that will be most drastically affected,” Zipline president Andrew Lynch said, “anything between 450 and 550 miles,” the same length of haul highlighted by Clowdis’s Trans-Logistics Group. On those lanes, transit times on average rose from 1.05 transit days before Dec. 18, when the ELD mandate took effect, to 1.22 transit days after the mandate, a 16.2 percent increase. That accounts to about four additional hours of transit time, on average, enough to turn a seven-hour haul into an 11-hour trip, pushing drivers to the limit of their daily legal driving time. Tripping the time limits Truckers would likely clock out beyond the legal limit when any delays or unexpected stops come into play. That’s enough to turn a same-day trip into a next-day delivery. “That’s a pretty big impact,” Lynch said. “The cost to run the truck hasn’t changed, so these guys are just losing time.” That additional time alone translates to a 4 percent increase in freight costs, he said. That is real money to SanMar’s Janson. “We didn’t expect as big of an impact [from the ELD mandate] on five- to six-hour runs,” he said. “We would have expected it on longer hauls, but these shorter runs are well within the legal limits and have always been acceptable. Now they’re getting turned down.” When he asked truck drivers why, the answer surprised him. Although the five- to six-hour length of haul was well within the 11-hour daily driving limit, extra hours were easily racked up because of unexpected delays at pickup and delivery points and because of congestion, especially on multistop routes, Janson said. That meant drivers often found themselves short of the time needed to deliver goods and find backhauls. “In the past, I think they pushed the envelope, or maybe they fudged their logs a little bit to get home. Now they can’t do that,” Janson said. Now SanMar is looking for niche carriers that need freight “that balances their network,” he said. The apparel shipper found one such carrier that needed freight between Southern California and Phoenix, for example, and signed it up. Click to enlarge SanMar also dropped its former 3PL. “We kept getting calls from our 3PL that drivers were running out of hours. That caught the 3PL off guard. We believe the asset-based carriers provide better control over the situation,” Janson said. And SanMar is considering a modal shift as it tries to meet delivery deadlines. “Our LTL business is seeing some growth,” he said. From Zipline to Transplace to TranzAct, companies arranging shipments and processing payments for shippers can provide dozens of similar examples of supply chains thrown off-kilter by the sudden dislocation of resources. It is the shipping lines’ container matchback problem writ large and across modes throughout the inland supply chain and domestic transportation. For some shippers, “it’s getting harder to move loads over the weekend,” Cubitt said. “Carriers are putting embargoes on certain destinations based on time constraints.” They are also taking a page from the books of the parcel carriers, FedEx and UPS, and adding more accessorial surcharges and fees to recover rising costs that often are not covered by rates alone. Reports are rife that surface transportation providers, over-the-road and intermodal, are reaching into their rules tariffs for little-used accessorial charges, such as congestion fees levied in certain markets, and also refusing new business as peak-level demand in January and February limited their ability to reposition tractor-trailers and containers to meet requests. For example, intermodal marketing company Hub Group told The Journal of Commerce it charges certain customers fees that might total hundreds of dollars to move freight not covered by contracts in certain highly congested markets, including Chicago, Los Angeles, Seattle, Dallas, and Atlanta. The charges are dynamic and depend on the cost of getting equipment. Changing behavior “There are going to be times in which we will have to do unique things to provide capacity that comes with an additional cost, especially with surge capacity like the market we’re seeing today,” said Brian Meents, Hub Group senior vice president of enterprise customer solutions. The issue is being able to allocate drivers and equipment. “I personally see a shift away from using assessorials to cover your costs, to trying to drive a change in the behavior of the shipper,” said Brian Broadhurst, vice president of transportation solutions at consulting firm Spend Management Experts. Broadhurst and others see that accessorial trend starting in the parcel business and extending to LTL and truckload. Increasingly, truckers simply refuse loads. “There’s been a real drop in shipment tender acceptance,” Cubitt said. “Everything has changed in this market. Last year, if your primary carrier didn’t take a load, you could get a secondary carrier quickly. This year, you go to that secondary, and then a third carrier. On some lanes you can go to 50 carriers and not get a yes.” The tightness that gripped US supply chains in January eased somewhat in February, but “peak-like” conditions persisted in many markets during what is usually the slowest month of the year. With spring imports moving inland, the produce season on the horizon, and the April 1 deadline for full ELD enforcement coming fast, shippers are bracing for more disruption. “People are in panic mode,” Clowdis said. With more than 50 years of experience in trucking, Clowdis has seen tight markets before as economic cycles come and go, but this capacity crunch is “unprecedented,” he said. Surviving it will require long-term thinking and lasting changes from shippers as well as their transportation and logistics partners. “I’ve had a shipper tell me he’s considering creating a 160-truck private fleet to ensure he has capacity when he needs it,” Clowdis said. “I asked him, ‘Where will you get the drivers?’ He didn’t know. I asked him why he didn’t go to a dedicated operation. ‘It costs too much,’ he said. You’ll have to ask what’s really going to cost ‘too much’ if you want to keep freight moving.” “We’re no longer going to be able to push the easy button,” Janson said. He said shippers need to look at transportation less from a one-way perspective and think more holistically. “You need to look at the complete network now,” including how the shipper’s freight plans overlay and match up with truckers’ transportation network and needs. “If our business is meaningful to the carrier, that makes a difference,” he said. “A strong relationship means a lot. We have to ask, does our freight balance their network” in terms of backhauls and the forward positioning of equipment, Janson said. “It’s more than just trucking behavior that is changing,” he said. “This situation is changing a lot of things.” Contact William B. Cassidy at bill.cassidy@ihsmarkit.com and follow him on Twitter: @wbcassidy_joc .Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@ihsmarkit.com and follow him on Twitter: @ariashe_joc.

Logistics Technology News

Trucking News

US shippers face unprecedented truck, intermodal cost hikes

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">But other Class I railroads will likely be vocal in their opposition to any deal and look to rally support from shippers to block the move, setting the stage for a contentious regulatory battle. </div>

But other Class I railroads will likely be vocal in their opposition to any deal and look to rally support from shippers to block the move, setting the stage for a contentious regulatory battle.

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<div class="phx-topic">Union Pacific (UP) is in preliminary discussions to acquire Norfolk Southern (NS), according to <a href="https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/railroad-operator-union-pacific-exploring-deal-for-norfolk-southern-1d06e822?mod=Searchresults_pos2&amp;page=1">The Wall Street Journal</a>, in what could become the largest freight rail merger in American history. If a deal happens, it would create the first coast-to-coast US rail network and mark a dramatic shift in the structure of US freight railroads. The transaction, which would create a mega-railroad valued at $200 billion, would far exceed the $31 billion merger between Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/us-regulators-approve-cp-kcs-merger-to-form-first-us-canada-mexico-rail-5192986">completed in 2023</a>. However, UP and NS bring different freight portfolios to the table, and any proposed deal is expected to draw intense scrutiny from regulators. <div class="wrapper-narrow float-right-element"><img src="/images/phoenix/6046006_0.1.jpg"></img></div>Other Class I railroads BNSF Railway, CSX Transportation and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) will likely be vocal in their opposition to any deal and look to rally support from shippers to block the move, setting the stage for a contentious regulatory battle. UP and NS share a common commitment to the principles of precision scheduled railroading (PSR), an operations philosophy that emphasizes efficiency, asset utilization and cost control. But some in the analyst community have speculated that CSX could be a potential target of UP. UP might also see more upside acquiring NS, which has underperformed CSX for several years financially and operationally. But from a freight mix perspective, UP more closely resembles CSX. Since 2018, non-intermodal cargo has accounted for 53.8% of CSX’s volume, nearly identical to Union Pacific’s 55%, according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR). Non-intermodal accounts for just 43.4% of Norfolk Southern volume, with the majority being containerized freight. UP CEO Jim Vena has been critical of intermodal at times because it doesn’t generate the high margins of commodities such as agricultural products, petrochemicals, plastics and construction materials. “In the intermodal piece, I don’t know. I like the industrial and the bulk business,” Vena said last month at the Wells Fargo Industrials &amp; Materials Conference. “I think the railroads have made some real strategically impactful decisions on how they handle intermodal that are not helpful.” After a brief interjection from his chief financial officer, Vena added, “I didn’t say I didn’t love [intermodal customers].” UP’s CEO is a protégé of the late E. Hunter Harrison, the creator of precision scheduled railroading. PSR practitioners measure operating ratios — i.e. the percentage of revenue that is absorbed by expenses. Lower operating ratios mean more revenue flows to the bottom line, driving profits. “We have long believed that the larger carload footprint, better chemicals, autos, and export ag connectivity makes CSX a better target from a freight flow perspective,” David Vernon, an industry analyst with investment bank Bernstein Societe Generale, wrote in a note published Friday. “While the potential synergy value of a UP and CSX combination is slightly greater, it’s not that much greater.” <h3>Intermodal implications would be profound </h3>If it were approved, a transcontinental US freight railroad would cause a significant reshuffling of the domestic and international intermodal markets. Ocean carriers, for example, often sign long-term contracts for inland rail services. If a carrier currently uses BNSF on the West Coast and Norfolk Southern on the East Coast for international business, the fate of those contracts in a post-merger landscape would be uncertain. The implications for domestic intermodal would be even messier. Hub Group, Swift Intermodal and parcel giant UPS are already customers of Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern, but Schneider National and STG Logistics are locked into multi-year deals with CSX in the eastern US. The shakeup could be substantial for non-asset brokers, also known as intermodal marketing companies (IMCs). Union Pacific controls the EMP and UMAX 53-foot container pools, which are shared with CSX, NS, and Canadian National. A UP-NS merger could limit or eliminate CSX’s access to those pools, potentially impacting significant volumes of freight. “While intermodal channel partners would need to adapt, single line trans-con service would likely be more competitive to the highway and accelerate share shifts,” Bernstein’s Vernon noted. The largest unknown would involve J.B. Hunt Transport Services, the largest US intermodal provider. J.B. Hunt exclusively partners with BNSF in the West and relies heavily on NS in the East, although it does put a portion of business on CSX. J.B. Hunt is unlikely to sever ties with BNSF because their relationship spans nearly four decades and includes joint Quantum service offerings in the US and Mexico. J.B. Hunt has also been critical of the PSR model employed by UP and CPKC. While J.B. Hunt could shift its East Coast operations to CSX, a combined Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern could wield unprecedented pricing power, potentially creating the first company with enough leverage to compete with J.B. Hunt on pricing negotiations with shippers. Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Union Pacific (UP) is in preliminary discussions to acquire Norfolk Southern (NS), according to The Wall Street Journal , in what could become the largest freight rail merger in American history. If a deal happens, it would create the first coast-to-coast US rail network and mark a dramatic shift in the structure of US freight railroads. The transaction, which would create a mega-railroad valued at $200 billion, would far exceed the $31 billion merger between Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern completed in 2023 . However, UP and NS bring different freight portfolios to the table, and any proposed deal is expected to draw intense scrutiny from regulators. Other Class I railroads BNSF Railway, CSX Transportation and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) will likely be vocal in their opposition to any deal and look to rally support from shippers to block the move, setting the stage for a contentious regulatory battle. UP and NS share a common commitment to the principles of precision scheduled railroading (PSR), an operations philosophy that emphasizes efficiency, asset utilization and cost control. But some in the analyst community have speculated that CSX could be a potential target of UP. UP might also see more upside acquiring NS, which has underperformed CSX for several years financially and operationally. But from a freight mix perspective, UP more closely resembles CSX. Since 2018, non-intermodal cargo has accounted for 53.8% of CSX’s volume, nearly identical to Union Pacific’s 55%, according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR). Non-intermodal accounts for just 43.4% of Norfolk Southern volume, with the majority being containerized freight. UP CEO Jim Vena has been critical of intermodal at times because it doesn’t generate the high margins of commodities such as agricultural products, petrochemicals, plastics and construction materials. “In the intermodal piece, I don’t know. I like the industrial and the bulk business,” Vena said last month at the Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference. “I think the railroads have made some real strategically impactful decisions on how they handle intermodal that are not helpful.” After a brief interjection from his chief financial officer, Vena added, “I didn’t say I didn’t love [intermodal customers].” UP’s CEO is a protégé of the late E. Hunter Harrison, the creator of precision scheduled railroading. PSR practitioners measure operating ratios — i.e. the percentage of revenue that is absorbed by expenses. Lower operating ratios mean more revenue flows to the bottom line, driving profits. “We have long believed that the larger carload footprint, better chemicals, autos, and export ag connectivity makes CSX a better target from a freight flow perspective,” David Vernon, an industry analyst with investment bank Bernstein Societe Generale, wrote in a note published Friday. “While the potential synergy value of a UP and CSX combination is slightly greater, it’s not that much greater.” Intermodal implications would be profound If it were approved, a transcontinental US freight railroad would cause a significant reshuffling of the domestic and international intermodal markets. Ocean carriers, for example, often sign long-term contracts for inland rail services. If a carrier currently uses BNSF on the West Coast and Norfolk Southern on the East Coast for international business, the fate of those contracts in a post-merger landscape would be uncertain. The implications for domestic intermodal would be even messier. Hub Group, Swift Intermodal and parcel giant UPS are already customers of Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern, but Schneider National and STG Logistics are locked into multi-year deals with CSX in the eastern US. The shakeup could be substantial for non-asset brokers, also known as intermodal marketing companies (IMCs). Union Pacific controls the EMP and UMAX 53-foot container pools, which are shared with CSX, NS, and Canadian National. A UP-NS merger could limit or eliminate CSX’s access to those pools, potentially impacting significant volumes of freight. “While intermodal channel partners would need to adapt, single line trans-con service would likely be more competitive to the highway and accelerate share shifts,” Bernstein’s Vernon noted. The largest unknown would involve J.B. Hunt Transport Services, the largest US intermodal provider. J.B. Hunt exclusively partners with BNSF in the West and relies heavily on NS in the East, although it does put a portion of business on CSX. J.B. Hunt is unlikely to sever ties with BNSF because their relationship spans nearly four decades and includes joint Quantum service offerings in the US and Mexico. J.B. Hunt has also been critical of the PSR model employed by UP and CPKC. While J.B. Hunt could shift its East Coast operations to CSX, a combined Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern could wield unprecedented pricing power, potentially creating the first company with enough leverage to compete with J.B. Hunt on pricing negotiations with shippers. Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

Rail News

North-American rail

Intermodal providers

Surface

Potential UP-NS tie-up would cause major shift in US intermodal market

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">MSC’s orders at two Chinese shipyards continue the carrier’s long association with Chinese shipbuilders, with the liner seemingly undeterred by US proposals to levy hefty port fees on Chinese-built ships. </div>

MSC’s orders at two Chinese shipyards continue the carrier’s long association with Chinese shipbuilders, with the liner seemingly undeterred by US proposals to levy hefty port fees on Chinese-built ships.

<div class="phx-topic">Three container lines, including Mediterranean Shipping Co. and Taiwan’s Yang Ming, are spending close to $4 billion on a raft of new ships to be built by Chinese and South Korean shipyards, carriers and shipyards have confirmed. The largest deals, which shipbrokers estimate at more than $1.7 billion combined, have been awarded by MSC for six 22,000-TEU liquefied natural gas-powered vessels. Four will be built by Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding (SWS) and two by Hengli Heavy Industry in Dalian, China. The world’s largest container line has also upsized six LNG-fueled container ships ordered from SWS last year from 19,000 TEUs to 22,000 TEUs, the shipyard said. MSC’s orders at the two Chinese shipyards continue the carrier’s long association with Chinese shipbuilders, with the liner seemingly undeterred <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/revised-china-tonnage-tax-less-disruptive-still-costly-6005402">by US proposals to levy hefty port fees on Chinese-built ships</a>. They also take to about 30 the number of ships ordered by MSC at Chinese yards in the past year and increase MSC’s order backlog to 135 vessels totaling more than 2.3 million TEUs, according to the latest Alphaliner figures. <div class="wrapper-narrow"><dynamic-object type="jocchartid" resource-id="e01ed4f0-6075-42bf-a2f7-a63be815f7e0"></dynamic-object></div>Meanwhile, Yang Ming said it ordered seven 15,000-TEU dual-fuel container ships at a cost of up to $1.5 billion from South Korean shipyard Hanwha Ocean as part of its fleet renewal and expansion plan. The latest ships “will replace aging vessels and advance Yang Ming’s strategic development” when they are delivered in 2028 and 2029, the carrier said in a statement Thursday. The cost of each ship is between $194.8 million and $218.7 million, Yang Ming said in a filing to the Taiwan stock exchange. The vessels will be deployed on east-west routes alongside five LNG dual-fuel container ships ordered earlier and due for delivery beginning next year, the carrier said in its statement. Yang Ming said the LNG-fueled ships will achieve a 20% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared with traditional fuel. Continuing the ordering spree, South Korean intra-Asia operator Sinokor Merchant Marine has contracted Hyundai Heavy Industries to build four 13,000-TEU scrubber-fitted container ships at a total cost of $610 million for delivery between January and June 2028. Contact Keith Wallis at <a href="mailto:keithwallis@hotmail.com">keithwallis@hotmail.com</a>. </div>

Three container lines, including Mediterranean Shipping Co. and Taiwan’s Yang Ming, are spending close to $4 billion on a raft of new ships to be built by Chinese and South Korean shipyards, carriers and shipyards have confirmed. The largest deals, which shipbrokers estimate at more than $1.7 billion combined, have been awarded by MSC for six 22,000-TEU liquefied natural gas-powered vessels. Four will be built by Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding (SWS) and two by Hengli Heavy Industry in Dalian, China. The world’s largest container line has also upsized six LNG-fueled container ships ordered from SWS last year from 19,000 TEUs to 22,000 TEUs, the shipyard said. MSC’s orders at the two Chinese shipyards continue the carrier’s long association with Chinese shipbuilders, with the liner seemingly undeterred by US proposals to levy hefty port fees on Chinese-built ships . They also take to about 30 the number of ships ordered by MSC at Chinese yards in the past year and increase MSC’s order backlog to 135 vessels totaling more than 2.3 million TEUs, according to the latest Alphaliner figures. Meanwhile, Yang Ming said it ordered seven 15,000-TEU dual-fuel container ships at a cost of up to $1.5 billion from South Korean shipyard Hanwha Ocean as part of its fleet renewal and expansion plan. The latest ships “will replace aging vessels and advance Yang Ming’s strategic development” when they are delivered in 2028 and 2029, the carrier said in a statement Thursday. The cost of each ship is between $194.8 million and $218.7 million, Yang Ming said in a filing to the Taiwan stock exchange. The vessels will be deployed on east-west routes alongside five LNG dual-fuel container ships ordered earlier and due for delivery beginning next year, the carrier said in its statement. Yang Ming said the LNG-fueled ships will achieve a 20% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared with traditional fuel. Continuing the ordering spree, South Korean intra-Asia operator Sinokor Merchant Marine has contracted Hyundai Heavy Industries to build four 13,000-TEU scrubber-fitted container ships at a total cost of $610 million for delivery between January and June 2028. Contact Keith Wallis at keithwallis@hotmail.com .

Container Shipping News

Container lines

Maritime

MSC, Yang Ming lead nearly $4 billion ordering spree for new vessels

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">US drayage truckers say costs and competition have been on the rise since the pandemic, while at the same time their pricing power is under downward pressure. </div>

US drayage truckers say costs and competition have been on the rise since the pandemic, while at the same time their pricing power is under downward pressure.

<div class="phx-topic">Drayage providers across the US say their survival is under increasing threat amid rising cost pressures driven by new competition, including technology-enabled platforms. To stay in business, operators are more often turning to mergers or acquisitions to bolster their companies in a bid to hold off competitors, market players told the Journal of Commerce. Drayage truckers say their costs have been rising since COVID-19, while at the same time their pricing power is under downward pressure. “We are in a situation where new entrants, brokers and AI [artificial intelligence] are in competition with us,” said Matt Schrap, CEO of the West Coast-based Harbor Trucking Association (HTA). “The lowest price wins.” Ken Kellaway, cofounder, chairman and president of RoadOne IntermodaLogistics, which has drayage operations across the country, said a price difference of as little as $50 among competitors will win the business. “The cost pressures are the largest I have seen in my career,” Kellaway said. Last week’s announcement <a href="https://www.ajot.com/insights/full/ai-gsc-shutdown-shocks-port-of-oakland-maritime-community">by Oakland-based drayage provider GSC Enterprises that it was shutting down its operations</a> has traditional operators wondering who is next. “It’s surprising that others haven’t fallen yet,” said Robert Loya, chief operating officer at TGS Logistics. <h3>Technology threat </h3>Traditional drayage companies in Los Angeles and Long Beach, many of whom have been operating for decades in the largest US port complex, are seeing market share erode as their contract-based customers seek lower prices from brokers, some of whom use tech-enabled platforms that allow freight interests to book freight directly with their competitors, Schrap said. RoadOne, based in the Northeast, sees the technology marketplace as the latest threat because it allows brokers to increase market share without investing in trucks, facilities or equipment. “Technology platforms position themselves as tech providers, but they’re really just brokers,” he said. “They’re taking market share as fast as they can. This is not sustainable [for traditional drayage providers].” But Michael Kroul, CEO of the truck broker KTI, said technology platforms are useful in that they help brokers see where the pricing market is in each region and where the freight opportunities are. He emphasized, though, that most brokers do not use the platforms as a tool to force rates lower at the expense of traditional drayage operators. “It’s not brokers who are causing rates to go down,” he said. “We’re not the lowest rate out there.” Kroul said the pricing pressure is due to the excess capacity that came into the drayage market during the post- COVID-19 boom when cargo volumes surged. “Everyone came into the market with COVID and many of them did not leave,” he said. Because drayage capacity exceeds demand, prices continue to trend lower while operating costs over the past three years have risen. “We see what costs operators are operating at, and it’s a tragedy,” Kroul said. Operating costs in California are rising faster than in many regions due to environmental rules that require the use of cleaner fuels, with the <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/new-clean-truck-rule-puts-california-dray-capacity-on-chopping-block-5221564">ultimate goal being to phase out the sale of diesel trucks by 2035</a>. New truck sales by then must be zero-emission heavy-duty trucks. Drayage operators are also affected by <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/la-lb-port-interests-spar-with-agency-over-emissions-rule-under-development-5223229">“indirect source rules”</a> under which drayage operators serving the ports and warehouses must contribute to overall reductions in emissions at those locations. “California’s drayage truckers continue to be subject to the most stringent environmental rules of any state in the country,” the California Trucking Association said in a statement. “A prolonged, challenging rate downturn combined with a crushing, unpredictable regulatory environment is endangering our members’ ability to keep cargo flowing at some of the nation’s largest and most important port complexes.” <h3>Smaller companies in danger </h3>In today’s drayage environment, both in California and nationally, smaller drayage companies are being bought out by operators with “larger bankrolls,” TGS Logistics’ Loya said. “The bigger ones are going to get bigger and the smaller ones are going to go away,” he said. “Those companies with fewer than 50 trucks are struggling.” Kellaway said brutal price competition in the industry is the root problem in drayage, and, unfortunately, bankruptcies may be the result. “If bankruptcies accelerate, then maybe customers will start to take note,” he said. Added HTA’s Schrap: “This race to the [pricing] bottom has to end.” Contact Bill Mongelluzzo at <a href="mailto:bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com">bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com</a>. </div>

Drayage providers across the US say their survival is under increasing threat amid rising cost pressures driven by new competition, including technology-enabled platforms. To stay in business, operators are more often turning to mergers or acquisitions to bolster their companies in a bid to hold off competitors, market players told the Journal of Commerce. Drayage truckers say their costs have been rising since COVID-19, while at the same time their pricing power is under downward pressure. “We are in a situation where new entrants, brokers and AI [artificial intelligence] are in competition with us,” said Matt Schrap, CEO of the West Coast-based Harbor Trucking Association (HTA). “The lowest price wins.” Ken Kellaway, cofounder, chairman and president of RoadOne IntermodaLogistics, which has drayage operations across the country, said a price difference of as little as $50 among competitors will win the business. “The cost pressures are the largest I have seen in my career,” Kellaway said. Last week’s announcement by Oakland-based drayage provider GSC Enterprises that it was shutting down its operations has traditional operators wondering who is next. “It’s surprising that others haven’t fallen yet,” said Robert Loya, chief operating officer at TGS Logistics. Technology threat Traditional drayage companies in Los Angeles and Long Beach, many of whom have been operating for decades in the largest US port complex, are seeing market share erode as their contract-based customers seek lower prices from brokers, some of whom use tech-enabled platforms that allow freight interests to book freight directly with their competitors, Schrap said. RoadOne, based in the Northeast, sees the technology marketplace as the latest threat because it allows brokers to increase market share without investing in trucks, facilities or equipment. “Technology platforms position themselves as tech providers, but they’re really just brokers,” he said. “They’re taking market share as fast as they can. This is not sustainable [for traditional drayage providers].” But Michael Kroul, CEO of the truck broker KTI, said technology platforms are useful in that they help brokers see where the pricing market is in each region and where the freight opportunities are. He emphasized, though, that most brokers do not use the platforms as a tool to force rates lower at the expense of traditional drayage operators. “It’s not brokers who are causing rates to go down,” he said. “We’re not the lowest rate out there.” Kroul said the pricing pressure is due to the excess capacity that came into the drayage market during the post- COVID-19 boom when cargo volumes surged. “Everyone came into the market with COVID and many of them did not leave,” he said. Because drayage capacity exceeds demand, prices continue to trend lower while operating costs over the past three years have risen. “We see what costs operators are operating at, and it’s a tragedy,” Kroul said. Operating costs in California are rising faster than in many regions due to environmental rules that require the use of cleaner fuels, with the ultimate goal being to phase out the sale of diesel trucks by 2035 . New truck sales by then must be zero-emission heavy-duty trucks. Drayage operators are also affected by “indirect source rules” under which drayage operators serving the ports and warehouses must contribute to overall reductions in emissions at those locations. “California’s drayage truckers continue to be subject to the most stringent environmental rules of any state in the country,” the California Trucking Association said in a statement. “A prolonged, challenging rate downturn combined with a crushing, unpredictable regulatory environment is endangering our members’ ability to keep cargo flowing at some of the nation’s largest and most important port complexes.” Smaller companies in danger In today’s drayage environment, both in California and nationally, smaller drayage companies are being bought out by operators with “larger bankrolls,” TGS Logistics’ Loya said. “The bigger ones are going to get bigger and the smaller ones are going to go away,” he said. “Those companies with fewer than 50 trucks are struggling.” Kellaway said brutal price competition in the industry is the root problem in drayage, and, unfortunately, bankruptcies may be the result. “If bankruptcies accelerate, then maybe customers will start to take note,” he said. Added HTA’s Schrap: “This race to the [pricing] bottom has to end.” Contact Bill Mongelluzzo at bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com .

Drayage

Port News

Drayage stakeholders say industry under threat from falling rates, increased costs

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The decision cuts against what Schneider announced when it acquired Cowan last November, that Cowan’s brand would be retained and the company would operate as a wholly owned subsidiary.</div>

The decision cuts against what Schneider announced when it acquired Cowan last November, that Cowan’s brand would be retained and the company would operate as a wholly owned subsidiary.

<div class="phx-topic">Schneider National is dissolving the brokerage division of Cowan Systems, a company it <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/schneider-bolsters-us-east-coast-business-by-acquiring-cowan-systems-5824223">acquired for $390 million last November</a> to expand its dedicated truckload division. Employees of Cowan Logistics, the acquired company’s brokerage unit, were informed on Tuesday at an internal meeting that Cowan would be rebranded from Oct. 1. The decision cuts against what Schneider announced at the time of the acquisition, when it indicated that Cowan’s brand would be retained and that the company would operate as a wholly owned subsidiary. “As part of our ongoing efforts to strengthen and streamline our brokerage operations, Cowan Logistics will be fully integrated into Schneider Brokerage effective Oct. 1, 2025,” a spokesperson for Wisconsin-based Schneider told the Journal of Commerce. The spokesperson said the move allows Schneider to “unify our capabilities under a single brand, expand our service offerings, and better support our customers and carrier partners.” The change is specific to the brokerage division and will not affect Cowan Systems’ trucking operations, which will continue to operate independently. A company email to employees explaining the consolidation that was viewed by the Journal of Commerce said, “it became clear there were numerous opportunities to the business and [employees] to expedite growth by combining both groups and rebranding Cowan Logistics to Schneider Brokerage.” <h3>Fate of employees unclear </h3>The absorption of Cowan’s brokerage division into Schneider’s comes amid a prolonged period of intense competition among brokers as they vie for truckload freight in a market constrained by muted demand. It’s not immediately clear how many of Cowan’s brokerage employees Schneider plans to retain. A Cowan source who did not want to be identified told the Journal of Commerce Schneider “is basically retaining key employees, trucks [and] key accounts of Cowan’s.” The source said Schneider’s intent is to eliminate redundancies within its own brokerage division, and that its employees were instructed to push off discussions with customers about the dissolution of the Cowan Logistics brand until closer to October. At the time of the acquisition, the 100-year-old, Baltimore-based Cowan provided logistics, trucking, shipping and warehousing services, with a fleet of more than 1,800 trucks and about 7,500 trailers. Schneider will take over Cowan’s motor carrier (MC) number and standard carrier alpha code (SCAC), along with any of Cowan’s retained employees, clients and contracts. Until the rebranding is complete, Cowan’s leadership will largely remain in place but will report to Ben Schuchart, senior vice president of Schneider Transportation Management, and Jim Nicholson, vice president of brokerage operations for Schneider, according to the company email. Schneider is due to release its second-quarter earnings July 31. Contact Clarissa Hawes at <a href="mailto:clarissahawes@gmail.com">clarissahawes@gmail.com</a>. </div>

Schneider National is dissolving the brokerage division of Cowan Systems, a company it acquired for $390 million last November to expand its dedicated truckload division. Employees of Cowan Logistics, the acquired company’s brokerage unit, were informed on Tuesday at an internal meeting that Cowan would be rebranded from Oct. 1. The decision cuts against what Schneider announced at the time of the acquisition, when it indicated that Cowan’s brand would be retained and that the company would operate as a wholly owned subsidiary. “As part of our ongoing efforts to strengthen and streamline our brokerage operations, Cowan Logistics will be fully integrated into Schneider Brokerage effective Oct. 1, 2025,” a spokesperson for Wisconsin-based Schneider told the Journal of Commerce. The spokesperson said the move allows Schneider to “unify our capabilities under a single brand, expand our service offerings, and better support our customers and carrier partners.” The change is specific to the brokerage division and will not affect Cowan Systems’ trucking operations, which will continue to operate independently. A company email to employees explaining the consolidation that was viewed by the Journal of Commerce said, “it became clear there were numerous opportunities to the business and [employees] to expedite growth by combining both groups and rebranding Cowan Logistics to Schneider Brokerage.” Fate of employees unclear The absorption of Cowan’s brokerage division into Schneider’s comes amid a prolonged period of intense competition among brokers as they vie for truckload freight in a market constrained by muted demand. It’s not immediately clear how many of Cowan’s brokerage employees Schneider plans to retain. A Cowan source who did not want to be identified told the Journal of Commerce Schneider “is basically retaining key employees, trucks [and] key accounts of Cowan’s.” The source said Schneider’s intent is to eliminate redundancies within its own brokerage division, and that its employees were instructed to push off discussions with customers about the dissolution of the Cowan Logistics brand until closer to October. At the time of the acquisition, the 100-year-old, Baltimore-based Cowan provided logistics, trucking, shipping and warehousing services, with a fleet of more than 1,800 trucks and about 7,500 trailers. Schneider will take over Cowan’s motor carrier (MC) number and standard carrier alpha code (SCAC), along with any of Cowan’s retained employees, clients and contracts. Until the rebranding is complete, Cowan’s leadership will largely remain in place but will report to Ben Schuchart, senior vice president of Schneider Transportation Management, and Jim Nicholson, vice president of brokerage operations for Schneider, according to the company email. Schneider is due to release its second-quarter earnings July 31. Contact Clarissa Hawes at clarissahawes@gmail.com .

Schneider National to ‘dissolve’ Cowan brokerage arm Oct. 1 in rebranding move

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Bigger carriers have more services and transshipment hubs and are generally able to offer more efficient connecting services, although there is still room to prosper for small and midsize carriers, writes Jeremy Masters.</div>

Bigger carriers have more services and transshipment hubs and are generally able to offer more efficient connecting services, although there is still room to prosper for small and midsize carriers, writes Jeremy Masters.

<div class="phx-topic">Cross-trades served by transshipment can be of varying sizes and often feature transshipment between two deep-sea services. Some will always remain small, but others linking fast-growing developing economies with each other (or mature markets) will reach a point at which direct services become viable. This is an important opportunity for carriers, transshipment hubs and end ports to be at the ground floor of high-charged growth. <div class="wrapper-narrow float-right-element"><img src="/images/phoenix/6045854_0.1.jpg"></img></div>The following cross-trades and key lanes were selected to look at how carriers serve these emerging trades in both directions using their online schedules: US Gulf to South Africa (Houston to Durban) India to Central America (Mundra to Veracruz) South Africa to Australia (Durban to Sydney) East Coast of South America to West Africa (Santos to Abidjan) Except for Mundra to Veracruz, where one carrier is offering a direct product, all the other lanes/products are transshipment. These lanes give a good idea of the significant variation we see in the top five carriers’ products and why — in these particular trades at least — some are more successful than others. These excerpts will give you a flavor: For Houston to Durban, southbound transit times as advertised varied over multiple sailings, from a low of 32 days to a high of 79 days, with northbound transit from 42 to 82 days. Transshipment in both directions was offered in the Caribbean, Europe, Asia and South America and included, in some cases, double transshipment. For Mundra to Veracruz, westbound transit times varied between 48 and 82 days, with eastbound from 40 to 100 days. For the transshipment products, North Europe, Mediterranean and Asian hubs were used westbound and North Europe and Mediterranean hubs for eastbound. Double transshipment also featured in some cases. There are some common themes in the above cases and other cross-trades reviewed: <h3>Unique products create positive differentiation </h3>Having a different product that directly connects core markets also allows sub-trades operating through transshipment hubs on that service to also establish product advantage. For example, CMA CGM’s and Mediterranean Shipping Co.’s North Europe/Med/Indian Ocean/Australia service not only provides a strong product in the Med to Indian Ocean and Australia trade, but enables Southern/Eastern Africa export cargo to access a fast eastbound product over Port Louis Mauritius. A similar example is Hapag-Lloyd (with Maersk as slotter) being the only direct operator in the Brazil to South Africa and Angola market, thus giving them the driving seat in the core trade but also enabling them to open sub-markets such as Argentina and Uruguay with very strong transshipment products. <h3>Where transshipment takes place is crucial </h3>The ideal transshipment point for cross-trades is one where there is minimal diversion from the most direct route. For example, the big carriers are all routing Brazil to West Africa over Europe, but MSC has an edge on eastbound transit times because it connects in Las Palmas, Spain, which slightly reduces transit time on both legs. In the US Gulf to South Africa trade, MSC also has the best product because it transships from its direct US East Coast to South Africa service at Freeport (Bahamas), whereas other carriers are transshipping in Europe, Asia or South America. <h3>How transshipment products are constructed is critical </h3>Direct products normally trump transshipment products, but rotations of connecting services are important. If carriers are able to design services allowing the first leg to hit a transshipment point early in its rotation and the second leg calls there late in its rotation, the transshipment product can have a competitive transit time. We see in the Mundra-to-Veracruz pairing that Maersk, CMA CGM and Hapag-Lloyd’s transshipment transit times stack up okay versus MSC’s direct service. The most obvious overall observation is that the bigger carriers have more services and more transshipment hubs, so they are generally able to offer more efficient connecting services. Their larger fleet sizes also allow them to deploy innovative products and tweak them until they have a profitable service covering both direct and transshipment lanes. Is there hope for the midsized and smaller carriers? There are a number of niche direct products from smaller carriers in some trades and specific port pairs that the bigger guys treat solely as cross-trades. For the nimble, there is still room to prosper, but they will need to adapt again if the big guys lumber into town. Contact Jeremy Masters at <a href="mailto:jeremy@shippingmastershk.com">jeremy@shippingmastershk.com</a>. </div>

Cross-trades served by transshipment can be of varying sizes and often feature transshipment between two deep-sea services. Some will always remain small, but others linking fast-growing developing economies with each other (or mature markets) will reach a point at which direct services become viable. This is an important opportunity for carriers, transshipment hubs and end ports to be at the ground floor of high-charged growth. The following cross-trades and key lanes were selected to look at how carriers serve these emerging trades in both directions using their online schedules: US Gulf to South Africa (Houston to Durban) India to Central America (Mundra to Veracruz) South Africa to Australia (Durban to Sydney) East Coast of South America to West Africa (Santos to Abidjan) Except for Mundra to Veracruz, where one carrier is offering a direct product, all the other lanes/products are transshipment. These lanes give a good idea of the significant variation we see in the top five carriers’ products and why — in these particular trades at least — some are more successful than others. These excerpts will give you a flavor: For Houston to Durban, southbound transit times as advertised varied over multiple sailings, from a low of 32 days to a high of 79 days, with northbound transit from 42 to 82 days. Transshipment in both directions was offered in the Caribbean, Europe, Asia and South America and included, in some cases, double transshipment. For Mundra to Veracruz, westbound transit times varied between 48 and 82 days, with eastbound from 40 to 100 days. For the transshipment products, North Europe, Mediterranean and Asian hubs were used westbound and North Europe and Mediterranean hubs for eastbound. Double transshipment also featured in some cases. There are some common themes in the above cases and other cross-trades reviewed: Unique products create positive differentiation Having a different product that directly connects core markets also allows sub-trades operating through transshipment hubs on that service to also establish product advantage. For example, CMA CGM’s and Mediterranean Shipping Co.’s North Europe/Med/Indian Ocean/Australia service not only provides a strong product in the Med to Indian Ocean and Australia trade, but enables Southern/Eastern Africa export cargo to access a fast eastbound product over Port Louis Mauritius. A similar example is Hapag-Lloyd (with Maersk as slotter) being the only direct operator in the Brazil to South Africa and Angola market, thus giving them the driving seat in the core trade but also enabling them to open sub-markets such as Argentina and Uruguay with very strong transshipment products. Where transshipment takes place is crucial The ideal transshipment point for cross-trades is one where there is minimal diversion from the most direct route. For example, the big carriers are all routing Brazil to West Africa over Europe, but MSC has an edge on eastbound transit times because it connects in Las Palmas, Spain, which slightly reduces transit time on both legs. In the US Gulf to South Africa trade, MSC also has the best product because it transships from its direct US East Coast to South Africa service at Freeport (Bahamas), whereas other carriers are transshipping in Europe, Asia or South America. How transshipment products are constructed is critical Direct products normally trump transshipment products, but rotations of connecting services are important. If carriers are able to design services allowing the first leg to hit a transshipment point early in its rotation and the second leg calls there late in its rotation, the transshipment product can have a competitive transit time. We see in the Mundra-to-Veracruz pairing that Maersk, CMA CGM and Hapag-Lloyd’s transshipment transit times stack up okay versus MSC’s direct service. The most obvious overall observation is that the bigger carriers have more services and more transshipment hubs, so they are generally able to offer more efficient connecting services. Their larger fleet sizes also allow them to deploy innovative products and tweak them until they have a profitable service covering both direct and transshipment lanes. Is there hope for the midsized and smaller carriers? There are a number of niche direct products from smaller carriers in some trades and specific port pairs that the bigger guys treat solely as cross-trades. For the nimble, there is still room to prosper, but they will need to adapt again if the big guys lumber into town. Contact Jeremy Masters at jeremy@shippingmastershk.com .

High variance exists in carriers’ cross-trade products

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The world of LTL is slow to embrace change. Business anachronisms permeate current supply chain processes. These vestiges of the way things used to work define the LTL freight transportation procurement process of many modern shippers.David Knuth, logistics specialist at IEWC, a global supplier of cable and wire based in Wisconsin, is happy to have modernized the RFP process, automating the entire LTL bidding procedure with Bid$ense, SMC³’s automated truckload and LTL freight transportation sourcing solution. But when prompted, he can still recall what once was.In his previous job, a large part of his duties were consumed by creating an intermodal bid package for carriers. In a spreadsheet, Knuth detailed the company’s volumes lane by lane, taking care to delete any errant keystrokes or misleading data. He would then email out the information to each carrier, taking time to respond to detailed technical questions about the spreadsheet data. Finally, he had to compile all the results, create an algorithm that would compare the carriers on each lane, and award the business.“It was a huge undertaking. It took about four months to do,” Knuth said of the old process. “It was almost a full-time job for that part of the year, every year.”In his new job at IEWC, he sat down with Bid$ense on day one and was amazed at the capabilities. Knuth had never before used a bid tool. SMC³’s latest versions of Bid$ense automate the process even further, taking truckload and LTL RFPs entirely online. The tool draws on RFP best-practices protocols to streamline the bidding communication process, enabling bidding carriers to respond accurately and promptly to shipper requests. The solution also does all the distribution work automatically, electronically submitting shipper bid data to carriers based on their actual service capabilities and performance records. Carriers are alerted with timely prompts for RFP deliverables, so shippers aren’t waiting by the phone for responses.Another benefit of automating the process is the data-cleansing assistance. When Knuth sent spreadsheets to carriers, data errors might cloud the bidding process; he might have to resend data or simply accept a price that did not truly reflect the costs of doing business. Data cleansing is incredibly beneficial, he said.The spreadsheet technique also made bidding analysis an onerous task. Since Bid$ense automates and streamlines the entire RFP process, intensive examination is now simple. SMC³ knows that each bid has more than one best outcome. With uniform responses from each carrier, shippers can quickly rank results and create an unlimited quantity of what-if scenarios to make the optimal procurement decision.Jesse Burnett of Central Garden &amp; Pet experiences many of the same benefits. Founded in 1980, Central Garden &amp; Pet has spent the last three decades growing from a small garden supply company to a provider of a range of products from dog chews and bird seed to soil supplements and natural insecticides. For much of its life, the company shipped these disparate goods via LTL and truckload carriers to retailers throughout the country, relying on each business unit to negotiate directly with their freight transportation providers. This arrangement worked fairly well for a small company, but as Central Garden &amp; Pet expanded, leadership decided to consolidate decision making.Burnett helped centralize the transportation decision making in 2015 with SMC³’s Bid$ense. Before Bid$ense, every business unit operated independently as far as negotiating with carriers.“There were a lot of different things just floating around,” he said. “We didn’t have master agreements in place; no national pricing at all. The pricing from carriers was just all over the place, depending on where you were.”The transformations he saw with Bid$ense were immediate. Burnett has been using the tool about every other year since its implementation at the company. Central Garden and Pet’s $19.6 million 2019 LTL bid saved the company just more than 9 percent when compared to its historical average. For Burnett, though, bid automation extends far beyond savings.“We knew that we weren’t getting the best pricing offer from our carriers just because nothing was centralized,” he continued. “We knew that if we combined everything from all these business units and paired it with one corporate offering, then it would drive some cost benefit with it.”When the company initially decided to centralize bid procurement, executives researched a number of different methodologies and technologies. In the end, though, Burnett found that Bid$ense was both widespread and well known, and that his carrier partners already knew how to use the application. Burnett also highlighted the data-cleansing process as a major benefit, saying the rigorous process ensures that carriers always return the best price.“It definitely has helped drive savings,” he said. “Any time you go out there and you drive that competitiveness with the carriers and they know they’re in a bid environment, it seems to sharpen their pencils.”Transportation procurement is an integral part of the modern supply chain. With Bid$ense, shippers can develop a strategic implementation plan that saves them time and money, but also helps them create strong relationships with their carrier partners. These carriers appreciate the solution’s data-cleansing process; when carriers receive a complete shipment history and future volume forecast, they don’t have to guess on pricing. Carriers that receive more data from shippers get a complete picture of that shipper’s freight, allowing them to accurately plan instead of simply preparing for the worst-case scenario. Clean data presented through an automated system can lead to both bigger shipment savings and a lasting partnership between carrier and customer.Whether customers are looking to streamline over-the-road transportation bidding by automating the RFP process or create an entirely new, centralized sourcing process, Bid$ense has the analytical horsepower to get the job done.SMC³ 2020 Customer Case Study

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Shippers save money, time with automated transportation bidding tools

If there’s one immutable truth in the world of logistics, it’s this: LTL is an inherently complex form of transportation. Tariffs, rates, DIM weights, transit times — it’s enough to confuse even seasoned logistics professionals. The solution to this knowledge gap has historically been on-the-job training or university supply chain education, but for a variety of reasons there is now a pressing need for third-party, remote LTL training that prepares logistics workers for transportation success. Global Scope Can Overlook Local Intricacies In the past, professionals looking to move into a supply chain career learned about the basics of supply chain from universities. However, many of these college supply chain programs are now global in scope, focusing on worldwide supply chain management instead of the intricacies of specialized domestic transportation. And even these programs, which used to be widespread, are becoming less common. LTL is not an industry of broad-brush strokes; supply chain professionals really need a pointillistic understanding of the logistics of LTL in order to excel in the industry. Accelerating Need for Dedicated LTL Education This lack of specified training put the onus on employers to prepare new hires with the LTL knowledge needed to do their jobs. Dedicated LTL study is a necessity, not a luxury. At the same time, changes in LTL and the broader supply chain world are accelerating. The reliance on e-commerce has ballooned since the start of the pandemic, and last-mile LTL shipments and related e-commerce strains on the supply chain won’t diminish once social distancing abates. That genie isn’t going back into the bottle. So supply chain employers need logistics workers that are fully versed in all aspects of the industry, ready to solve unique shipping and delivery problems based on their extensive supply chain knowledge But why care about LTL? It’s been reported that some shippers in today’s world are no longer concerned with what mode is used to ship their goods. A Multimodal Approach Ensures On-Time Delivery This mode agnosticism means supply chain stakeholders have to be well versed in all modes of transportation. As unforeseen weather events and other disruptions, such as protests, become more common, savvy logistics employees will need to be armed with familiarity of all modes, not just the most popular, to ensure that freight is delivered on time, without damage, and in the most financially expedient way possible. Offerings like SMC³’s LTL online education courses cover a wide range of topics from LTL basics and operations to more advanced concepts like pricing analytics and transportation law. The company also has plans to continually refresh content, adding new expert presenters and taking the feedback of students to make the courses even better as time goes on. Learn more about&nbsp;<a href="https://logisticstrainingcenter.com/smc3-courses/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">SMC³’s LTL Online Education program</a>&nbsp;and view the 2021 hybrid schedule, featuring live industry experts,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.smc3.com/onlinelearning2021/" rel="noreferrer" class="joc_admin__link">here.</a>

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Filling the Supply Chain Education Gap with LTL Education Courses

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