THE ECONOMY

THE ECONOMY

SLOW '90 GROWTH SEEN,

BUT RISK OF SLIDE CITEDThe U.S. economy will grow slowly during 1990 and avert a recession over the next three years, even though it is hovering in a "danger zone," a panel of economists predicted Monday.

The 65 economists, surveyed by the National Association of Business Economists, also predicted inflation will hold near 4 percent this year, echoing the opinion of Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, and maintain that level through 1991.

"The general shape of the economy in 1990 remains one of slow growth with a somewhat lower rate of inflation," the Cleveland-based association reported in releasing its quarterly economic survey.

DURABLE GOODS ORDERS

EXPECTED TO DECLINE

CHICAGO - Economists expect U.S. durable goods orders to have fallen an average 3.1 percent in January, pressured by a retreat in aircraft orders

from bloated November and December levels.

Estimates from 11 economists ranged from down 2.2 percent to down 4.5 percent for January's orders, following increases of 2.5 percent in December and 5.1 percent in November. The Commerce Department report is scheduled for release today.