<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Lenders are being choosy about which domestic logistics deals they finance, giving an edge to acquirers with cash saved up from the pandemic.</div>

Lenders are being choosy about which domestic logistics deals they finance, giving an edge to acquirers with cash saved up from the pandemic.

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<div>Elevated interest rates and low freight rates are pushing the US logistics market into an opportunistic phase of merger and acquisition activity. But for shippers, deals where one service provider buys another are of more consequence than deals where a company’s owner merely changes hands between private equity firms. “Having new investors can help a shipper feel more confident about a [third-party logistics provider’s] business and that it is looking to grow or invest in technology,” said Marc Iampieri, a partner and managing director at AlixPartners, who leads the firm’s North American transportation business. “If there are no fundamental operational...

Elevated interest rates and low freight rates are pushing the US logistics market into an opportunistic phase of merger and acquisition activity. But for shippers, deals where one service provider buys another are of more consequence than deals where a company’s owner merely changes hands between private equity firms. “Having new investors can help a shipper feel more confident about a [third-party logistics provider’s] business and that it is looking to grow or invest in technology,” said Marc Iampieri, a partner and managing director at AlixPartners, who leads the firm’s North American transportation business. “If there are no fundamental operational changes announced, that’s good for a shipper.” The contrast in deals being made was symbolized by Ascent Global Logistics , a freight broker specializing in expedited shipments, being acquired by a new private equity firm two weeks after Forward Air acquired one of its customer s, forwarder Omni Logistics. The latter deal is one that could have a material impact on shipper customers of the two companies. “If I’m a shipper, the most important thing is I want communication about what they expect to change,” Iampieri said, in general, about deals involving a merging of two operators. “The key thing to ask [is] if you’re a company that relies on either provider, or are they transactional at best? The more core they are, the more important it is to have that dialogue.” Cashing in Outside of the direct impact to customers is the larger question of what the freight and financial environment means to a domestic logistics services industry fragmented by mode, region and type of service offered. Ascent’s sale, for instance, was an example of its previous owner, Elliott Investment Management, capitalizing on the company’s growth in the expedited freight services market and its new buyer wanting exposure to the sector. “This was about taking meaningful chips off the table for Elliott at a time when [Ascent] had performed well,” Chris Wofford, managing partner at Wofford Advisors and an advisor on the Ascent deal, told the Journal of Commerce. “The expedited market is a premium priced market. It’s admittedly more volatile, but customer relationships are very sticky and that makes it highly attractive.” In that situation, the sale was not just opportunistic — based on Ascent’s performance during the pandemic after it was spun off from less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier Roadrunner Transportation Systems in the summer of 2020 — but also part of the natural cycle of 3PLs changing hands between private equity holders every three to five years. There are likely more to come in that area, such as holding companies with access to debt making moves at attractive purchase prices on assets they’ve been eyeing for years. High interest rates, rather than deterring those sales, make it easier for strategic buyers because there are fewer bidders. Wofford said that strategic investors could make long-term defining investments in the market. “Generally speaking, with private equity somewhat sidelined, it’s a good time for strategic investors,” he said. “With rising interest rates and banks not lending as much, PE [private equity] buyers are less competitive on purchase price right now, and that gives the strategics a leg up.” Debt a harder sell On the operator acquisition front, companies that have hoarded cash earned before and during the pandemic are clearly in a better position than those having to chase debt financing from a smaller circle of creditors willing to finance deals, Iampieri said. “If you’re a 3PL that had high margins and great revenue, but now have margin compression and are seeing volume drops, it will be tougher to get debt financing,” he said. “If you’re cash-rich, it’s less of an issue and it presents an opportunity. There could be 3PLs looking to buy companies where they have more of a strategic reason to buy it, but don’t have the same deep pockets as other bidders.” In general, Iampieri said there is more scrutiny over deals in the 3PL space and more strings attached on loans, with more “tactical and distressed sales” and “fewer mega deals.” “It’s a freight recession,” he said. “For companies that think in decades, not in quarters, this is a good time to buy an asset for less than book value.” Iampieri, meanwhile, said any notion that M&A activity in domestic logistics will dry up because of high interest rates is misguided. “There’s a whole industry that relies on facilitating financial transactions, so they’re going to happen,” he said. “But they’re just not going to be as juicy or frequent.” Contact Eric Johnson at eric.johnson@spglobal.com and follow him on Twitter: @LogTechEric .

Supply chain

Tactical M&A activity likely to surface in under-pressure US 3PL market

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Stakeholders say a contract with Oregon Container Terminal to manage the state’s only box terminal should herald a new era of stability and cargo growth. </div>

Stakeholders say a contract with Oregon Container Terminal to manage the state’s only box terminal should herald a new era of stability and cargo growth.

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<div class="phx-topic">The formal handover of stevedore management at Portland’s sole container terminal to a third-party operator on Wednesday ensures state agriculture exporters have access to a weekly Asian service after financial challenges threatened the Oregon port. Harbor Industrial Services on Monday took over operation of the port-managed Terminal 6 — now renamed Oregon Container Terminal (OCT) -- and will oversee vessel and rail services for importers and exporters in Oregon, southwest Washington State and Idaho. “Securing a long-term operator for container service at Terminal 6 means exporters and importers across the state and region can keep moving their goods efficiently, competitively and closer to home while supporting thousands of family-wage jobs,” Port of Portland Executive Director Curtis Robinhold said during handover ceremonies Wednesday. The port did not provide specifics on the length of the contract with Harbor Industrial Services, only referring to it as a “long-term lease.” SM Line currently serves OCT with a weekly service that brings in imports from Asia such as tires, electronics, furniture and supplies used by businesses in their production processes. The vessels return to Asia with containerized exports such as grain, hay, berries and wood products, according to a statement from the port. Mediterranean Shipping Co. also had a weekly service from Asia to Portland earlier in 2025, but that service was paused due to tariffs and related federal trade policies as the carrier shifted space on the vessels to serve countries where it did not face high fees, the port said. Portland reached a “framework agreement” with Harbor Industrial Services in late 2024 to oversee operation of Terminal 6. The port had registered <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/port-of-portland-strikes-deal-with-stevedore-to-operate-container-terminal-5897345">losses of $26 million from 2023 through 2024.</a><h3>Troublesome venture with first private operator </h3>Portland for more than 30 years was an operating port, but it consistently lost money, and the port signed a lease with Philippine-based ICTSI in 2010 to manage Terminal 6. In a 2015 interview with the Journal of Commerce, Portland Executive Director Bill Wyatt said when the port first went out to bid for a private sector terminal operator, it was <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/outgoing-portland-port-president-predicts-box-service-return-5193131">losing as much as $17 million a year.</a>But the situation did not improve under a private operator. As a <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ilwu-action-disrupts-work-at-portlands-terminal-6-5232355">result of non-stop labor turmoil</a>, Portland <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/sm-line-returns-container-service-to-portland-in-wake-of-ilwu-ruling-5243887">was without a regular liner service for about three years</a> until 2018. Its three carriers pulled out of the port while labor action continued and litigation between ICTSI and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union dragged on. A costly, decade-long case was settled in February 2024 when the <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/ilwu-ictsi-oregon-end-legal-dispute-bankruptcy-case-with-205-million-settlement-5244722">ILWU agreed to pay ICTSI $20.5 million in damages.</a>Container volumes at Terminal 6 suffered during the tumultuous decade. Portland last year through November handled 60,734 laden TEUs, according to PIERS, a Journal of Commerce sister product within S&amp;P Global. That’s a far cry from 2000 to 2005 <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/labor-peace-drives-portlands-container-recovery-5245968">when the port handled more than 300,000 TEUs annually</a>, according to PIERS data. “OCT is about reliability, growth and partnership,” OCT President Tim McCarthy said at Wednesday’s ceremonies. “This terminal gives shippers from Oregon and inland locations a stable, efficient and competitive gateway, backed by 210 acres of already-developed infrastructure, experienced operators and a skilled workforce with a proven record of productivity.” “This is one of the good outcomes that can be achieved when government, business and labor work together for the benefit of Oregonians,” said Stuart Strader, speaking on behalf of ILWU Local 8. Contact Bill Mongelluzzo at bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com </div>

The formal handover of stevedore management at Portland’s sole container terminal to a third-party operator on Wednesday ensures state agriculture exporters have access to a weekly Asian service after financial challenges threatened the Oregon port. Harbor Industrial Services on Monday took over operation of the port-managed Terminal 6 — now renamed Oregon Container Terminal (OCT) -- and will oversee vessel and rail services for importers and exporters in Oregon, southwest Washington State and Idaho. “Securing a long-term operator for container service at Terminal 6 means exporters and importers across the state and region can keep moving their goods efficiently, competitively and closer to home while supporting thousands of family-wage jobs,” Port of Portland Executive Director Curtis Robinhold said during handover ceremonies Wednesday. The port did not provide specifics on the length of the contract with Harbor Industrial Services, only referring to it as a “long-term lease.” SM Line currently serves OCT with a weekly service that brings in imports from Asia such as tires, electronics, furniture and supplies used by businesses in their production processes. The vessels return to Asia with containerized exports such as grain, hay, berries and wood products, according to a statement from the port. Mediterranean Shipping Co. also had a weekly service from Asia to Portland earlier in 2025, but that service was paused due to tariffs and related federal trade policies as the carrier shifted space on the vessels to serve countries where it did not face high fees, the port said. Portland reached a “framework agreement” with Harbor Industrial Services in late 2024 to oversee operation of Terminal 6. The port had registered losses of $26 million from 2023 through 2024. Troublesome venture with first private operator Portland for more than 30 years was an operating port, but it consistently lost money, and the port signed a lease with Philippine-based ICTSI in 2010 to manage Terminal 6. In a 2015 interview with the Journal of Commerce, Portland Executive Director Bill Wyatt said when the port first went out to bid for a private sector terminal operator, it was losing as much as $17 million a year. But the situation did not improve under a private operator. As a result of non-stop labor turmoil , Portland was without a regular liner service for about three years until 2018. Its three carriers pulled out of the port while labor action continued and litigation between ICTSI and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union dragged on. A costly, decade-long case was settled in February 2024 when the ILWU agreed to pay ICTSI $20.5 million in damages. Container volumes at Terminal 6 suffered during the tumultuous decade. Portland last year through November handled 60,734 laden TEUs, according to PIERS, a Journal of Commerce sister product within S&P Global. That’s a far cry from 2000 to 2005 when the port handled more than 300,000 TEUs annually , according to PIERS data. “OCT is about reliability, growth and partnership,” OCT President Tim McCarthy said at Wednesday’s ceremonies. “This terminal gives shippers from Oregon and inland locations a stable, efficient and competitive gateway, backed by 210 acres of already-developed infrastructure, experienced operators and a skilled workforce with a proven record of productivity.” “This is one of the good outcomes that can be achieved when government, business and labor work together for the benefit of Oregonians,” said Stuart Strader, speaking on behalf of ILWU Local 8. Contact Bill Mongelluzzo at bill.mongelluzzo@spglobal.com

Port News

Container lines

Trans-Pacific

North American ports

Marine terminals

Container Shipping News

Maritime

Operator switch gives renewed hope to Portland’s Terminal 6

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The action is tied to WiseTech’s acquisition of E2open in 2025, which included software that Australia’s competition commission deemed gave WiseTech too much control of the market.</div>

The action is tied to WiseTech’s acquisition of E2open in 2025, which included software that Australia’s competition commission deemed gave WiseTech too much control of the market.

<div class="phx-topic">Australian regulators are forcing WiseTech Global to sell an Oceania-based customs and forwarding software unit it took over as part of its $2.1 billion <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/wisetech-notches-biggest-acquisition-with-21-billion-deal-for-e2open-6011581">acquisition of E2open</a> in mid-2025. The company, Expedient, was initially acquired by BluJay Solutions in 2020, prior to BluJay <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/e2open-acquires-blujay-solutions-for-17-billion-5249821">being acquired in 2021 by E2open.</a> Forwarders in Australia argued to the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) that WiseTech’s ownership of Expedient gave it too large a share of the market that software forwarders and customs brokers use to run their businesses. WiseTech’s flagship product, CargoWise One, is the most used forwarding software globally. Expedient will be sold, subject to ACCC approval, to a purchaser that will be able to operate it as a viable competitor to WiseTech in Australia, according to a statement from the regulator this week. “The ACCC considers that WiseTech already has substantial market power in the supply of logistics software, and the acquisition has the effect of removing the competition between CargoWise and Expedient and significantly reduced the choice available to Australian customers,” ACCC Chairwoman Gina Cass-Gottlieb said in the statement. “The ACCC received significant concerns from users of logistics software during the investigation, and was concerned that the acquisition could lead to higher prices or lower quality services.” WiseTech’s rollup of core customs compliance software in various regions has been a key foundation of its ascent to become <a href="https://www.joc.com/article/cargowises-pricing-model-change-could-mark-final-milestone-in-market-ascent-6133279">the biggest forwarding software provider globally</a>. Contact Eric Johnson at <a href="mailto:eric.johnson@spglobal.com">eric.johnson@spglobal.com.</a></div>

Australian regulators are forcing WiseTech Global to sell an Oceania-based customs and forwarding software unit it took over as part of its $2.1 billion acquisition of E2open in mid-2025. The company, Expedient, was initially acquired by BluJay Solutions in 2020, prior to BluJay being acquired in 2021 by E2open. Forwarders in Australia argued to the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) that WiseTech’s ownership of Expedient gave it too large a share of the market that software forwarders and customs brokers use to run their businesses. WiseTech’s flagship product, CargoWise One, is the most used forwarding software globally. Expedient will be sold, subject to ACCC approval, to a purchaser that will be able to operate it as a viable competitor to WiseTech in Australia, according to a statement from the regulator this week. “The ACCC considers that WiseTech already has substantial market power in the supply of logistics software, and the acquisition has the effect of removing the competition between CargoWise and Expedient and significantly reduced the choice available to Australian customers,” ACCC Chairwoman Gina Cass-Gottlieb said in the statement. “The ACCC received significant concerns from users of logistics software during the investigation, and was concerned that the acquisition could lead to higher prices or lower quality services.” WiseTech’s rollup of core customs compliance software in various regions has been a key foundation of its ascent to become the biggest forwarding software provider globally . Contact Eric Johnson at eric.johnson@spglobal.com.

Logistics Technology News

Australian regulators force WiseTech to sell software vendor

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The storm is bringing fierce winds and Arctic conditions to the region, impacting ocean, road and rail freight transport.</div>

The storm is bringing fierce winds and Arctic conditions to the region, impacting ocean, road and rail freight transport.

<div class="phx-topic">Heavy snow, ice and freezing temperatures are disrupting port and inland operations and grounding flights across Northern Europe as a winter storm hammers the region. Hundreds of flights in France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany were canceled Wednesday because of snow, high winds and icy conditions that are also affecting container terminal handling and road and rail networks. Maersk noted in an advisory that operations at key terminals, particularly in Rotterdam and Hamburg, were being disrupted. “As a result, productivity at terminals and depots has been reduced, while snow and icy road conditions are causing traffic congestion and delays for trucks,” the carrier said. “Rail services are also being affected by frozen track switches, leading to service disruptions and cancellations,” the advisory added, with the rail woes contributing to longer waiting times for import and export cargo and increasing yard congestion at hub ports in Northern Europe. <h3>Hamburg disruptions</h3>Terminal operator Eurogate is facing disruptions from snow, ice and strong winds at its Port of Hamburg facilities, but a spokesperson said its other German locations have so far been spared from the severe weather. “This may change, as the weather forecast for the coming days predicts very low temperatures, precipitation and strong winds for the whole of northern Germany,” the Eurogate spokesperson told the Journal of Commerce. “We are preparing as well as possible for these weather conditions but in some cases, we may have to pause operations.” A spokesperson for the Port of Hamburg said heavy snowfall restricted rail traffic last weekend, and while rail operations were “gradually returning to normal,” it will take time to clear backlogs. “Operations are running at the container terminals, but weather conditions are causing delays in handling across all modes of transport,” the port spokesperson said. “Winter service teams at the terminals are currently working flat out to ensure that handling operations continue as smoothly as possible.” Maersk highlighted challenging inland operating conditions in Northern Europe, warning of slower processing of trucks at Antwerp and Rotterdam, disrupted rail services between Rotterdam and Venlo, and delays between Rotterdam and Duisburg. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

Heavy snow, ice and freezing temperatures are disrupting port and inland operations and grounding flights across Northern Europe as a winter storm hammers the region. Hundreds of flights in France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany were canceled Wednesday because of snow, high winds and icy conditions that are also affecting container terminal handling and road and rail networks. Maersk noted in an advisory that operations at key terminals, particularly in Rotterdam and Hamburg, were being disrupted. “As a result, productivity at terminals and depots has been reduced, while snow and icy road conditions are causing traffic congestion and delays for trucks,” the carrier said. “Rail services are also being affected by frozen track switches, leading to service disruptions and cancellations,” the advisory added, with the rail woes contributing to longer waiting times for import and export cargo and increasing yard congestion at hub ports in Northern Europe. Hamburg disruptions Terminal operator Eurogate is facing disruptions from snow, ice and strong winds at its Port of Hamburg facilities, but a spokesperson said its other German locations have so far been spared from the severe weather. “This may change, as the weather forecast for the coming days predicts very low temperatures, precipitation and strong winds for the whole of northern Germany,” the Eurogate spokesperson told the Journal of Commerce. “We are preparing as well as possible for these weather conditions but in some cases, we may have to pause operations.” A spokesperson for the Port of Hamburg said heavy snowfall restricted rail traffic last weekend, and while rail operations were “gradually returning to normal,” it will take time to clear backlogs. “Operations are running at the container terminals, but weather conditions are causing delays in handling across all modes of transport,” the port spokesperson said. “Winter service teams at the terminals are currently working flat out to ensure that handling operations continue as smoothly as possible.” Maersk highlighted challenging inland operating conditions in Northern Europe, warning of slower processing of trucks at Antwerp and Rotterdam, disrupted rail services between Rotterdam and Venlo, and delays between Rotterdam and Duisburg. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

Rail News

Surface

International ports

International rail

Severe winter storm disrupts North Europe port, inland operations

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">Contract shippers have not felt the impact of the surge last month in spot market truckload rates, but that could change amid market uncertainty as 2026 begins.</div>

Contract shippers have not felt the impact of the surge last month in spot market truckload rates, but that could change amid market uncertainty as 2026 begins.

<div class="phx-topic">The newfound strength in US truckload pricing could become a turning point if it lasts until mid-February, long enough that shippers could see it in their contracts, but there are also plenty of hazards that could cause the freight recession to linger into a fourth year, analysts warn. Truckload spot rates were largely tepid between February and November, but shot up 19 cents per mile in December from November, which was also a 9.1% increase year over year, according to a Journal of Commerce analysis of truckload data from DAT Freight and Analytics and managed transportation provider Loadsmart. The average national rate paid by shippers last month was $2.46 per mile across the US, including fuel, on lanes 250 miles or greater. “I do think a lot of [the] rate increase in December was weather driven ... winter weather hitting the Midwest and Northeast,” David Spencer, vice president of market intelligence at Arrive Logistics, said Tuesday on the Meet Me for Coffee podcast hosted by Samantha Jones. “Rates are going to come back down. I think it’s a short-lived season volatility.” Jason Miller, professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University, said the key month to watch is February. Rates tend to remain slightly elevated in January because of the reverse logistics involved in returning Christmas gifts. But if rates remain elevated through February — which Miller doesn’t believe will happen — then pricing power could shift to the carriers. “We’re entering this year, from a manufacturing standpoint, in a worse position today than we were entering last year,” Miller said on the podcast. A shipper who did not want to be identified told the Journal of Commerce that his contract truckload carriers have not broached the subject of raising contract rates based off the December spot market surge. <h3>Data picture is cloudy </h3>Economists are working through the backlog of data that accumulated during the 43-day government shutdown in October and November. “The hard part is that we’re still waiting for a lot of government data that we’d love to have,” Miller said. “New single family home permits were down 10% year over year last August, but that feels like ancient history.” The S&amp;P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index was in expansion territory in December at 51.8, but the outlook was much more cautious. “Something of a Wile E. Coyote scenario has developed, whereby — just like the cartoon character continues to run despite chasing the roadrunner off a cliff — factories are continuing to produce goods despite suffering a drop in orders,” wrote Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. The gap between production and new orders was the widest since the Great Recession of 2008–09, indicating “current factory production levels are clearly unsustainable,” Williamson wrote. That’s relevant because industrial freight powers the trucks and railroads, hauling raw materials and intermediate products used to make durable and non-durable consumer products. There are other signs that could cool the December euphoria of carriers, including the federal government this month beginning to garnish the wages of those who are delinquent on their student loans, a practice that was halted during the COVID-19 pandemic. “Holiday shopping is often on credit cards, and so when we start seeing wage garnishments to pay student loans, it’s going to create real strain on some consumers,” Aaron Terrazas, an independent economist who previously worked for companies such as Convoy, Glassdoor and Zillow, said on the Jones webcast. <h3>Things could change fast </h3>Despite the lackluster macroeconomic picture, there are unknowns that could quickly shock the market and shift pricing power back to carriers. The US Supreme Court must rule on whether President Donald Trump had the authority to use the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to apply reciprocal tariffs across dozens of trading partners last year. The Court will hand down a series of rulings this Friday, but it is unknown if the tariffs case will be one of them. If the Court rules against Trump, and the Federal Reserve continues to lower interest rates, it could create a one-two punch that could shock the markets. “There will be a window which I think shippers will just force as much they can through the pipe before the administration finds another way to get tariffs in place,” Terrazas said. “If the pipe opens, even if it’s for just two or three months, I think you’ll see just an absolute bonanza ... It’ll be absolute and total hell on all transportation managers [shippers].” If the Court rules for Trump, however, the administration has floated the idea of issuing tariff rebate checks of up to $2,000 to US citizens. If people receive that money, it could be the demand catalyst to kickstart a freight recovery, according to Terrazas and Miller. There is also the battle between the US Department of Transportation (USDOT) and several states over rescinding non-domiciled commercial driver’s licenses (CDLs) to asylum seekers and other visa holders that were previously qualified. California announced a 60-day extension on canceling the non-domiciled CDLs, kicking the issue to March, while the USDOT has threatened to withhold federal funds over that decision. It is unclear what the impact on both truckload and port drayage would be if California canceled as many as 17,000 non-domiciled CDLs.“I think vulnerability to sustained disruption is a major issue,” Spencer said on the webcast. “Use this past little stretch in December as a good indicator of what to expect because there are going to be periods of volatility.” Contact Ari Ashe at <a href="mailto:ari.ashe@spglobal.com">ari.ashe@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

The newfound strength in US truckload pricing could become a turning point if it lasts until mid-February, long enough that shippers could see it in their contracts, but there are also plenty of hazards that could cause the freight recession to linger into a fourth year, analysts warn. Truckload spot rates were largely tepid between February and November, but shot up 19 cents per mile in December from November, which was also a 9.1% increase year over year, according to a Journal of Commerce analysis of truckload data from DAT Freight and Analytics and managed transportation provider Loadsmart. The average national rate paid by shippers last month was $2.46 per mile across the US, including fuel, on lanes 250 miles or greater. “I do think a lot of [the] rate increase in December was weather driven ... winter weather hitting the Midwest and Northeast,” David Spencer, vice president of market intelligence at Arrive Logistics, said Tuesday on the Meet Me for Coffee podcast hosted by Samantha Jones. “Rates are going to come back down. I think it’s a short-lived season volatility.” Jason Miller, professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University, said the key month to watch is February. Rates tend to remain slightly elevated in January because of the reverse logistics involved in returning Christmas gifts. But if rates remain elevated through February — which Miller doesn’t believe will happen — then pricing power could shift to the carriers. “We’re entering this year, from a manufacturing standpoint, in a worse position today than we were entering last year,” Miller said on the podcast. A shipper who did not want to be identified told the Journal of Commerce that his contract truckload carriers have not broached the subject of raising contract rates based off the December spot market surge. Data picture is cloudy Economists are working through the backlog of data that accumulated during the 43-day government shutdown in October and November. “The hard part is that we’re still waiting for a lot of government data that we’d love to have,” Miller said. “New single family home permits were down 10% year over year last August, but that feels like ancient history.” The S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index was in expansion territory in December at 51.8, but the outlook was much more cautious. “Something of a Wile E. Coyote scenario has developed, whereby — just like the cartoon character continues to run despite chasing the roadrunner off a cliff — factories are continuing to produce goods despite suffering a drop in orders,” wrote Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. The gap between production and new orders was the widest since the Great Recession of 2008–09, indicating “current factory production levels are clearly unsustainable,” Williamson wrote. That’s relevant because industrial freight powers the trucks and railroads, hauling raw materials and intermediate products used to make durable and non-durable consumer products. There are other signs that could cool the December euphoria of carriers, including the federal government this month beginning to garnish the wages of those who are delinquent on their student loans, a practice that was halted during the COVID-19 pandemic. “Holiday shopping is often on credit cards, and so when we start seeing wage garnishments to pay student loans, it’s going to create real strain on some consumers,” Aaron Terrazas, an independent economist who previously worked for companies such as Convoy, Glassdoor and Zillow, said on the Jones webcast. Things could change fast Despite the lackluster macroeconomic picture, there are unknowns that could quickly shock the market and shift pricing power back to carriers. The US Supreme Court must rule on whether President Donald Trump had the authority to use the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to apply reciprocal tariffs across dozens of trading partners last year. The Court will hand down a series of rulings this Friday, but it is unknown if the tariffs case will be one of them. If the Court rules against Trump, and the Federal Reserve continues to lower interest rates, it could create a one-two punch that could shock the markets. “There will be a window which I think shippers will just force as much they can through the pipe before the administration finds another way to get tariffs in place,” Terrazas said. “If the pipe opens, even if it’s for just two or three months, I think you’ll see just an absolute bonanza ... It’ll be absolute and total hell on all transportation managers [shippers].” If the Court rules for Trump, however, the administration has floated the idea of issuing tariff rebate checks of up to $2,000 to US citizens. If people receive that money, it could be the demand catalyst to kickstart a freight recovery, according to Terrazas and Miller. There is also the battle between the US Department of Transportation (USDOT) and several states over rescinding non-domiciled commercial driver’s licenses (CDLs) to asylum seekers and other visa holders that were previously qualified. California announced a 60-day extension on canceling the non-domiciled CDLs, kicking the issue to March, while the USDOT has threatened to withhold federal funds over that decision. It is unclear what the impact on both truckload and port drayage would be if California canceled as many as 17,000 non-domiciled CDLs. “I think vulnerability to sustained disruption is a major issue,” Spencer said on the webcast. “Use this past little stretch in December as a good indicator of what to expect because there are going to be periods of volatility.” Contact Ari Ashe at ari.ashe@spglobal.com .

Trucking News

Truckload

US truckload pricing remains unsettled despite red-hot December

<div class="phx-topic abstract-wrapper">The acquisition continues a wave of supply chain consolidation seen in Australia and New Zealand in recent years as service providers search for inorganic growth in a highly competitive market. </div>

The acquisition continues a wave of supply chain consolidation seen in Australia and New Zealand in recent years as service providers search for inorganic growth in a highly competitive market.

<div class="phx-topic">Medlog Oceania, a subsidiary of Mediterranean Shipping Co. operating in Australia and New Zealand, said Wednesday it has signed an agreement to acquire the intermodal business of Melbourne-based Seaway, significantly expanding its footprint in the region. The acquisition continues a wave of supply chain consolidation in Australia and New Zealand in recent years as service providers search for inorganic growth in a highly competitive market. Financial details of the acquisition were not disclosed, but the deal is expected to be completed in the first quarter. “This acquisition reinforces our ability to deliver value-added solutions and drive sustainable growth across Oceania,” Giuseppe Prudente, chairman of Medlog, said in a statement. Medlog Oceania provides integrated logistics for Australian businesses, managing supply chains through road, rail and port connectivity. It offers container transport and warehousing, including cold storage, and connects regional exporters to global markets from locations in Western Australia, Victoria and New South Wales. While the acquisition does not include Seaway’s Sea Freight Forwarding, Air Freight and Shipping Agencies divisions, it strengthens Medlog Oceania’s presence in the state of Victoria and in the agricultural heartland on the Victoria-New South Wales border known as Sunraysia. It also supports Medlog’s global sustainability strategy, with the rail component playing a critical role in reducing carbon emissions. Seaway’s intermodal business offers integrated logistics solutions through a combination of road, rail and warehousing services, connecting regional exporters and importers across key markets. Craig McElvaney, CEO of Seaway Group, highlighted the need for scale and investment in offering intermodal services to customers in the region. “The Seaway Board believes its intermodal business has reached a point where its next phase of growth will be best supported by an organization with the scale, resources, and infrastructure to invest in, and expand the business further,” he said in the joint statement. <h3>Acquisitions drive economies of scale </h3>The last few years have seen significant mergers and acquisitions within Oceania’s supply chain and logistics sectors. Medlog itself has been expanding rapidly across Australia with full-suite services introduced in the past two years in addition to acquiring an empty container park near VICT terminal in Melbourne in 2024 and setting up its own intermodal operation and container park in Sydney last September. Other supply chain acquisitions include DP World Australia acquiring Australian logistics provider Silk Logistics in a deal valued at US$115 million in late 2024; Dachser taking over ACA International in 2023 to add Australia and New Zealand to its air and sea network; DHL Supply Chain acquiring Glen Cameron Group in 2022 and last year opening a health logistics facility in Auckland. In 2021, Mondiale Freight Services and VISA Global Logistics merged their international transport and logistics services to launch an $800 million revenue operation reaching across Australia, New Zealand, North Asia, Southeast Asia, the Indian subcontinent and Europe. Contact Greg Knowler at <a href="mailto:greg.knowler@spglobal.com">greg.knowler@spglobal.com</a>.</div>

Medlog Oceania, a subsidiary of Mediterranean Shipping Co. operating in Australia and New Zealand, said Wednesday it has signed an agreement to acquire the intermodal business of Melbourne-based Seaway, significantly expanding its footprint in the region. The acquisition continues a wave of supply chain consolidation in Australia and New Zealand in recent years as service providers search for inorganic growth in a highly competitive market. Financial details of the acquisition were not disclosed, but the deal is expected to be completed in the first quarter. “This acquisition reinforces our ability to deliver value-added solutions and drive sustainable growth across Oceania,” Giuseppe Prudente, chairman of Medlog, said in a statement. Medlog Oceania provides integrated logistics for Australian businesses, managing supply chains through road, rail and port connectivity. It offers container transport and warehousing, including cold storage, and connects regional exporters to global markets from locations in Western Australia, Victoria and New South Wales. While the acquisition does not include Seaway’s Sea Freight Forwarding, Air Freight and Shipping Agencies divisions, it strengthens Medlog Oceania’s presence in the state of Victoria and in the agricultural heartland on the Victoria-New South Wales border known as Sunraysia. It also supports Medlog’s global sustainability strategy, with the rail component playing a critical role in reducing carbon emissions. Seaway’s intermodal business offers integrated logistics solutions through a combination of road, rail and warehousing services, connecting regional exporters and importers across key markets. Craig McElvaney, CEO of Seaway Group, highlighted the need for scale and investment in offering intermodal services to customers in the region. “The Seaway Board believes its intermodal business has reached a point where its next phase of growth will be best supported by an organization with the scale, resources, and infrastructure to invest in, and expand the business further,” he said in the joint statement. Acquisitions drive economies of scale The last few years have seen significant mergers and acquisitions within Oceania’s supply chain and logistics sectors. Medlog itself has been expanding rapidly across Australia with full-suite services introduced in the past two years in addition to acquiring an empty container park near VICT terminal in Melbourne in 2024 and setting up its own intermodal operation and container park in Sydney last September. Other supply chain acquisitions include DP World Australia acquiring Australian logistics provider Silk Logistics in a deal valued at US$115 million in late 2024; Dachser taking over ACA International in 2023 to add Australia and New Zealand to its air and sea network; DHL Supply Chain acquiring Glen Cameron Group in 2022 and last year opening a health logistics facility in Auckland. In 2021, Mondiale Freight Services and VISA Global Logistics merged their international transport and logistics services to launch an $800 million revenue operation reaching across Australia, New Zealand, North Asia, Southeast Asia, the Indian subcontinent and Europe. Contact Greg Knowler at greg.knowler@spglobal.com .

MSC’s Medlog Oceania inks deal for Seaway’s intermodal business

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