
East and Gulf Coast ports, predicting they will increase their share of the U.S.-Asia trade when the Panama Canal expansion is complete in three years, made a big pitch to industrial real estate developers meeting in Long Beach on Wednesday.
The Port of Los Angeles countered by defending its turf, with a port representative assuring warehouse and distribution center builders that infrastructure development at West Coast ports will keep any loss of market share after 2014 to a minimum.
Executives from the Virginia ports, Houston and Los Angeles agreed that encouraging development of distribution warehouses and transloading facilities goes hand-in-hand with expanding marine terminals and transportation infrastructure.
“With big ships you need big terminals, rail connectivity and deep channels, but you also need the right cargo base near the port,” said John Moseley, general manager of trade development at the Port of Houston Authority. Moseley addressed the Industrial Conference for Commercial Real Estate.
West Coast ports, which control about 70 percent of U.S. imports from Asia, are expected to lose some market share when the Panama Canal is enlarged to handle ships capable of carrying more than 11,000 20-foot equivalent units.
The main advantage of East and Gulf Coast ports is that they are close to the major U.S. population centers. About 66 percent of the population and 75 percent of the consumption base is in the eastern half of the country, said Curtis Spencer, president of industrial park consulting firm IMS Worldwide in Houston.
For East and Gulf Coast ports, the main task is to deepen access channels to 50 feet to accommodate 8,000-TEU vessels and greater and to develop intermodal double-stack rail capacity.
The Virginia ports have an early advantage because the channel depth is already 50 feet, and could go to 55 feet, said Kevin Burwell, director of business analysis and strategy. And Norfolk Southern Railway has completed its Heartland Corridor to the Ohio Valley and Chicago, and CSX will complete its National Gateway intermodal corridor by 2014 and Norfolk is within a day’s truck drive of two-thirds of the U.S. population, Burwell said.
Houston, which already has a thriving industrial real estate industry, is doubling the capacity of the port with its Bayport development, and is counting on rail connections to the Midwest to expand its hinterland, Moseley said.
This is an interesting dynamic...something I'm sure our friends in Bentonville (and others who pre-pre-allocate cargo regionally) are working on. Also something network designers at the carriers should be thinking about......
How will bigger ships effect rates to the East Coast, certainly they will go down, but how much?
Will ther rates go down below cost, or will there still not be enough vessel capacity to make it balanced?
How will the cost differentials between ports effect the balance? Between pier pass, clean air, and who knows what else seems like LA is in for a rude awakening....too bad, the business generated from port and ancillary activities seems to be the best thing California has going for it right now.
When relative costs go down, that imaginary continential cost divide will move westward, sending more cargo to the EC, but where will the line be? I'll bet a few people would be very interested in that.....oh and I didn't mention the impact on intermodal rail.....